Opinions Archives - Page 4 of 302 - Florida Politics

Leo Longworth, Matthew Surrency: Don’t be misled — Amendment 1 is a tax shift, not a tax cut

Here they go again. Our state politicians are calling Amendment 1 a “tax cut,” but it’s actually a tax shift. A few property owners will benefit, but millions of us will pay for it.

We believe that our tax system should be fair and work for all of us, not just a few.

Amendment 1, which will be on the November ballot, would give a tax break to only one-fourth of those who own Florida properties. That means three-quarters of us would NOT benefit. We believe Florida’s tax system should work for all homeowners, across the board, not just a few. Why should the state politicians get to pick who wins and who loses?

As leaders of statewide organizations, we’re hearing from our peers, and they know this plan doesn’t work. Most of us would carry a bigger tax burden … perhaps even a property tax hike. If you rent, you’re not off the hook either. Landlords are likely to pass on their increased share of the property tax burden to their tenants.

The state politicians have put us in a bad place: Either cut vital services or raise property taxes. Who wants either of those choices? The sponsors of Amendment 1 know that they’re putting us in this position. In fact, they even suggested that local governments raise taxes to pay for Amendment 1. That’s like giving away free coffee but charging $5 for the cup. Even if the communities don’t raise tax rates, those who aren’t one of Amendment 1’s “chosen few” will carry a larger tax burden. That’s just not fair. Why don’t the state politicians cut their spending instead?

We already know that Florida’s tax system is a complicated mess. Amendment 1 isn’t going to fix that. In fact, it would make the tax system worse, because it would be more complicated and less fair for Florida’s families, small business owners and manufacturers.

Make no mistake about it: Amendment 1 hits small businesses in a big way. These are our restaurants, retailers, dry cleaners and pet stores. Instead of rewarding these businesses that create jobs, Amendment 1 would expose them to bigger tax hikes. The reason? A business’ taxable value rises faster than that of a home. That’s just not good business, and it’s not good for our economy.

The state politicians concocted Amendment 1 as a one-size-fits-all scheme. We say one size doesn’t fit us. We were elected by our citizens for a reason. We know what works in our own communities. Amendment 1 goes against everything we believe. We support Home Rule. We believe our local communities should be trusted to set our own priorities and determine how to pay for them.

Don’t be led astray by the false promise of Amendment 1. Vote No.

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Bartow Mayor Leo Longworth is president of the Florida League of Cities. Hawthorne Mayor Matthew Surrency is president of the Florida League of Mayors.

Joe Henderson: Soil and Water Conservation District candidates, um, who are they?

As you peruse your ballot, either on Election Day or if you vote by mail, there is a chance you’ll hit a stumbling block when you get to the section marked “Soil and Water Conservation District.”

On the Hillsborough County ballot, there are 11 candidates divided over three districts. You’re supposed to vote for some of them, but odds are pretty good you won’t know who any of them are. This is the place to go for a politician who needs to be in witness protection.

No matter. You’ll still be expected to choose between “Who’s That?” and “Never Heard of Him/Her” because these folks are trying to win election to a post where they’ll be expected to work hard and decide important issues for no pay.

I mean it. Absolutely no pay.

You might wonder why someone would agree to do that even if their best friend asked, let alone actually put their name on a ballot and (sort of) campaign for the job?

I wondered that too. But there is no question that a lot of people look at a seat on this board as something to be valued, and I applaud their service.

I also applaud voters who take the time to try and learn about the candidates, which isn’t easy and explains why I received an email this morning from a nice lady asking how she could go to do her homework on these people.

Why was she writing to me? Because everything lives forever on Google, and that’s where she found a column I wrote about the Soil board a couple of years ago for this fine website.

Apparently, a lot of other people found it too, because Board Chairman Mark Proctor told me that because of that column, there was a surge in people who wanted to win a coveted spot there. No need to thank me.

And because there are more people wanting information and they don’t know who else to contact, they reach out to Proctor because he was quoted extensively in the original piece and he told board members it was OK for people to call him.

“My phone is ringing off the hook. Thanks, Joe,” he said. “But I don’t really mind. All I can tell them is that I’ve met a few of the candidates and here are the ones I’m voting for. I don’t know all of them.”

It’s an important gig though.

The Soil and Water Conservation District concept was created by the Legislature to promote efficient use of the land and protect water resources; there are conservation districts throughout the state. Their mission, quoting directly from the soil handbook, is “ … to provide assistance, guidance, and education to landowners, land occupiers, the agricultural industry, and the general public in implementing land and water resource protection practices.”

With so much on the line, shouldn’t there be a way to find out more about the people who want your vote? After all, it would take an act by the Legislature to change these from elected to appointed, and that wouldn’t be such a good idea.

As awkward as the process of choosing members is now, it would be worse if the Governor of either party could stack these districts with buddies to push through an agenda.

But wouldn’t we like to know who we’re voting for? For all I know, someone’s idea of being qualified for this board would be the fact they mow their lawn. Or they could be like Kim O’Connor, who resigned from the board earlier this year over allegations she smoked a lot of pot while in an Okeechobee motel on official business.

She denied all that, by the way.

Proctor agreed it would be a good idea to have a central place to go for information about candidates.

Maybe candidates could submit background bios and answer a few form questions on things like “Why do you want to be on a board where you don’t get paid for doing lots of work?”

The information could be posted maybe on a central website or Facebook page.

It would be a start. If people want this badly enough to run for the job, we really ought to know more about them. Or, at least something about them.

That would be better than the current system of throwing a dart at the ballot when you get to the Soil and Water Conservation District, leaving that part blank, or calling Mark Proctor to ask if knows any of these people.

In the name of humanity and Mark’s eardrum, make it happen.

GILLUM DESANTIS

Dan Bongino: Andrew Gillum’s radical manifesto doesn’t belong in Florida — or America

America’s men and women in law enforcement have fallen under attack by a fringe movement that seems focused on radically reinventing our way of life. However, the threat of that new reality is no longer just a faraway possibility, it’s a choice facing voters in the state of Florida right now — a choice that, come Nov. 6, will be made one way or the other.

Back in August, Tallahassee’s Mayor Andrew Gillum did something that seems rather easy to do in Florida: he shocked the political establishment and the pundit-class by upsetting the anointed Democratic front-runner. Now, as the Democrats’ unlikely nominee for Governor, Gillum is doubling down on his support to a radical, anti-police manifesto that calls for defunding police and releasing tens-of-thousands of criminals.

Dream Defenders is a group started after the Travon Martin shooting by an anti-America extremist. The group is now funded by George Soros and is recruiting and supporting wannabe-Socialist politicians like Gillum. The founder’s Twitter is peppered with statements like, “F— the police,” “F— the police until those cowards kill me,” and “I hope that I never have a buddy that becomes a Police Officer. I’ve realized I have a deep hate for all of them.”

And, this manifesto that Gillum pledged his allegiance to isn’t any more grounded than the tweets from the founder. It reads, “Police were never meant to protect and serve me and you … Police and prisons have no place in ‘justice’ … Police and prisons aren’t just racist, but they work to enforce the separations of rich and poor.”

To be blunt, this is exactly the kind of rhetoric that gets cops killed. A tragedy that Florida is well-too familiar with. Earlier this year, two Sheriff’s deputies were assassinated while eating lunch in Gilchrist County. Already this year, police deaths from shootings are up 13 percent, according to the National Law Enforcement Officers Memorial Fund.

Now, it’s important to remember, Gillum isn’t just some irrelevant fringe candidate. He’s the Democrat’s nominee for Governor of the third largest state in the country. This is not normal and it’s not acceptable.

Unfortunately, while this pledge may be the most offensive part of this campaign, it’s not the only thing that should concern every red-blooded American. As the Mayor of Tallahassee, he put his beliefs into practice. Year-after-year, Gillum rejected pleas for help from the city’s police. Now, after four years of having the highest crime and murder rates in the state, Tallahassee is ranked as one of the least safe cities in the entire country.

Crime isn’t even limited to the communities around City Hall. Gillum’s own administration has been under a multiyear, undercover FBI investigation into suspected corruption, bribes, and kickbacks to some of the Mayor’s closest allies, friends and family.

Believe it or not, this isn’t a script for the next John Grisham novel, this is Florida’s 2018 race for Governor. Luckily for all Americans, but especially for voters in Florida, he’s not the only choice.

Ron DeSantis, the Republican nominee, is someone who worked his way through college, earned a law degree from Harvard, and then decided to put service in front of self and join the U.S. Navy to serve as a JAG officer. After being honorably discharged, he went on to serve as a federal prosecutor, putting criminals behind bars.

Then, as a member of Congress, he fought to hold government bureaucrats and politicians accountable. He rejected the congressional benefits and proposed the “No Budget, No Pay Act.” He also introduced Congressional Term Limits, because he understands there is nothing more corrupt than career politicians.

America may be in a tough time, facing challenges to the very fabric of our nation. However, just like the race for Governor of Florida, we have the choice to decide our future. We just need to go out, get involved and elect leaders like Ron DeSantis.

 ___

Dan Bongino, a conservative commentator and former agent of the U.S. Secret Service, who is supporting Ron DeSantis for Florida Governor. For more information on Bongino, please visit bongino.com/about-dan.

Diego Echeverri: Ron DeSantis is the clear choice for Florida’s veterans

I first met Ron DeSantis a couple of years ago in his Washington office during a meeting to discuss legislation to reform the Department of Veterans Affairs. Most of the meetings our group had that day were with staff members, but Rep. DeSantis took time out of his schedule to meet with us face to face.

He listened to each of the veterans in the room as they shared their personal stories. He understood, as only another veteran can, the issues faced by the veteran advocates he met that day, and he vowed to support efforts to bring much-needed accountability to an embattled VA system.

The military and veteran communities are vibrant and important parts of Florida’s economic and civic life. Our state has more than 20 military installations, including four unified commands and the nation’s third largest veteran population. As a member of this distinguished population, DeSantis has built a reputation as a proven leader and dedicated champion for veterans across the state. From how (and when) they get health care, to working to remove bad actors from the VA, DeSantis has been a strong voice for veterans in Washington.

As the representative of the 6th Congressional District, DeSantis consistently supported expanding health care options for veterans, to ensure they aren’t forced into or trapped in failing VA hospitals. Early on, he understood the Veterans Choice Program was failing veterans, and he outlined more viable alternatives.

To make sure veterans can get the care they deserve, when and where they need it, he supported the VA MISSION Act. This critical new law stabilizes the Veterans Choice Program so no veteran falls through the cracks, phases it out after a year, and replaces it with a more accessible community care program. Signed into law earlier this year, the measure includes provisions like those DeSantis championed years earlier.

Additionally, in light of scandals showing the VA routinely overprescribed medication, DeSantis embraced alternative forms of treatment designed to mitigate medication-dependency issues, including an innovative public-private partnership to test the use of service dogs to treat PTSD.

DeSantis also co-sponsored multiple measures designed to make it easier to hold VA employees accountable when they engage in misconduct, and to ensure bad actors aren’t able to provide substandard care to veterans. He voted for the VA Accountability and Whistleblower Protection Act, signed into law by President Donald Trump in 2017, which brought a fundamental change to the VA — putting veterans first, not the bureaucracy.

Ron DeSantis understands firsthand the sacrifice and service of Florida’s 1.5 million veterans. He is an Iraq War veteran who honorably served in the U.S. Navy as a judge advocate at Guantánamo Bay and alongside Navy SEALs in Fallujah. He served six years on active duty and continues to serve as a lieutenant commander in the U.S. Navy Reserve.

On Election Day, I urge my fellow Florida veterans and military families to support Ron DeSantis for governor. We will be well-served in Tallahassee, as we have been in Washington, by this proven leader and unwavering champion.

 ___

Diego Echeverri is a U.S. Army veteran who served in Afghanistan with the 10th Mountain Division. He is an adviser to Concerned Veterans for America Action in Florida.

Karen Cyphers: Breaking down the impact of Hurricane Michael on Panhandle voting

The entire state is focused appropriately on hurricane recovery, relief, and repair efforts. But with less than three weeks before Election Day, what does this mean for the hundreds of thousands of people in the affected regions?

Gov. Rick Scott, Mayor Andrew Gillum, CFO Jimmy Patronis, and many other elected officials have been actively working on recovery efforts in the state, and while many of them have (at least temporarily) suspended their campaigns, a big question that remains unanswered is whether Hurricane Michael will disenfranchise voters in the Florida Panhandle.

Secretary of State Ken Detzner — the state’s go-to official on elections issues — said this week that he is waiting to hear from local supervisors of elections before making proposed changes, but in some of the areas that were hit the hardest — like Bay County — many of the buildings and facilities used for precincts are either damaged or being used for emergency shelters.

According to the News Service of Florida, Okaloosa County Supervisor of Elections Paul Lux is asking the state to consider potential creative solutions like email vote-by-mail ballots or combining precincts. While those determinations will ultimately be made after careful consideration by various state and local officials, some data casts light on the upcoming elections. 

In the 11 counties FEMA has designated as needing Individual Assistance (as opposed to just Public Assistance), there are more than 270,000 registered voters. Looking solely at party registration numbers, these voters are fairly “purple” — 43 percent Republican, 40 percent Democrat, and 17 percent registered with minor parties or no party at all. 

Voters in these 11 counties typically have a higher turnout than the rest of the state, and a higher frequency of voting on Election Day rather than via mail or early voting. In 2016, 39 percent of voters who cast a ballot in these counties did so on Election Day, compared with 35 percent of voters in all other Florida counties. Another 41 percent voted early, compared with 40 percent elsewhere. This is important because nearly half of a million Floridians have already cast ballots — approximately 4 percent of voters statewide, but just 1 percent of voters in the counties hit hardest by Michael.

These differences may seem slim, but they represent tens of thousands of people, and in a state that is routinely decided by razor-thin margins, those votes can make a big difference. For example, in 2014, Scott beat Charlie Crist by just over 64,000 votes. In these 11 most impacted counties, Scott’s margin over Crist was 39,467 — equivalent to 62 percent of Scott’s entire margin. 

Regardless of your political preferences, a devastating hurricane shouldn’t hinder a voter’s ability to cast a ballot in any election. That’s especially true for the countless people whose homes are damaged or those who have been forced to relocate outside of their community, at least for now.

There’s only a few weeks to go, and while many areas like Mexico Beach and Panama City may not be the same for a long time, one thing is clear: The ability to exercise one’s constitutional right on Election Day should not be among Hurricane Michael’s extraordinary losses. 

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Karen Halperin Cyphers, Ph.D., is a partner and vice president of research with Sachs Media Group in Tallahassee. 

Joe Henderson: Supreme Court ruling brings out Mini-Me in Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis hasn’t mentioned President Donald Trump much now that the general election for Florida Governor is getting closer, but that might change after Monday’s stinging slap by the Florida Supreme Court at Gov. Rick Scott.

After lawsuits by the Florida League of Women Voters and Common Cause, the state’s highest court ruled that Scott cannot nominate replacements for three justices set to retire at midnight on Jan. 8, 2019 — the same day Scott vacates the Governor’s Mansion and the winner of the gubernatorial race between DeSantis and Democrat Andrew Gillum moves in.

The new guy gets to choose.

Those are the rules, darn the luck.

When in doubt, break out the boogeyman. That’s straight out of Trump’s playbook and Ron DeSantis put on his best Mini-Me imitation after the ruling by quickly tweeting Gillum would be pressured by “out-of-state, radical groups” to appoint “activist judges” who would “legislate from the bench to fit their own ideology.”

First off, that ignores the Judicial Nominating Committee, which will present the new Governor a list of candidates from which he must choose. As the Tampa Bay Times reported Wednesday, the JNC — which is top-loaded with Scott appointees — stays on into the new year. That bunch is unlikely to care what Gillum or “out-of-state, radical groups” would want. Gillum would have little or no say in the matter.

For now, though, let’s roll with the idea of legislating from the bench — a pet phrase of Republicans, and one that DeSantis just invoked.

I assume  “radical” would be defined by any ruling with which he disagrees.

Or, does he mean the current Supreme Court ruling that declared, “Governor Scott exceeded his authority by directing the Supreme Court Judicial Nominating Commission submit its nominations to fill these vacancies by November 10, 2018” was legislating from the bench?

By his logic, I guess so.

That is, of course, opposed to the good ol’ American conservative judges DeSantis would favor. He is implying they would be more inclined to see things through a Republican lens.

Would such judges have allowed Scott to pack the Court with conservatives just as he was leaving office? Is that what DeSantis is saying should have happened?

But … but … that violated state law. It would have been wrong.

The ruling sort of blows a hole in the theory that only conservative judges follow the law while those pesky liberals make it up as they go along while humming Taylor Swift tunes.

It’s the same fear-and-smear tactic Trump used to push the nomination of Brett Kavanaugh to fill a vacancy on the U.S. Supreme Court, though. Anyone who opposed him, the president declared, and his supporters parroted, was part of a “liberal mob” — which, I guess, makes the National Council of Churches part of that vast left-wing rabble because that group opposed Kavanaugh.

Republican animosity against the Florida Supreme Court has been going on for many years.

In 2012, for instance, the state GOP launched an unprecedented campaign against justices Barbara Pariente, R. Fred Lewis and Peggy Quince – the same three who are being forced into retirement at the end of this year because of age limits.

Why?

One reason they were so mad was that the court ruled against allowing a referendum against Obamacare to go on the statewide ballot because the language was misleading (it was later rewritten).

This was after Republicans tried, and failed, to expand the court to 10 so Scott could pick three additional members.

In 2016, the Court struck down Florida’s death penalty provision that said capital punishment could be imposed with only a majority of 12 jurors voted in favor. When the state reworked the law to make it 10 out 12 the Court said nope, it had to be unanimous.

The ruling party doesn’t like to be told no.

With Republicans controlling both houses of the Legislature and the Governor’s mansion for the last 20 years, the Supreme Court often is the firewall between a Republican lawmaking rampage that ignores the other half of the state that might think differently.

So, yeah, the Court is going to get a makeover, and it may not matter much who wins the Governor’s race.

But what the heck. Scare ’em anyway, right?

Carlson Spano

Joe Henderson: If Florida CD 15 flips, blue wave could be coming

If you see Florida CD 15 starting to turn in favor of Democrat Kristen Carlson as election results pour in on Nov. 6, better get out your rain gear because the blue wave could be coming.

Carlson is the underdog against Republican Ross Spano, but three major national outlets — FiveThirtyEight.com, the Sabato Crystal Ball, and the Cook Political Report — continue to agree that the race is close. They all have it leaning Spano’s way, but not convincingly. For instance, FiveThirtyEight has Spano ahead 51.2 to Carlson’s 48.8 percent.

That’s consistent with a poll in early October that showed Spano with a 3-point lead.

It should be noted that conservative  Club For Growth Action poll earlier this month gave Spano a 7-point lead.

This, mind you, is the seat held by the retiring Dennis Ross and it has been as safely Republican as most any you could find. He won re-election 2016 with 57 percent of the vote in this district that covers parts of conservative East Hillsborough, Polk and Lake counties.

Although the boundaries of Florida CD 15 have changed a few times over the years, the result has not. This seat has been in Republican hands since 1995, and the fact it is even competitive is a bit of an eyebrow-raiser.

So, what changed?

A lot of things, starting with Lakeland — Polk’s largest city.

Lakeland’s demographics and attitudes aren’t as rock-ribbed conservative as they used to be. It has a growing LGBT community and Polk Pride celebration to go with an eclectic downtown and thriving arts scene.

And while conservative firebrand Sheriff Grady Judd remains as popular as ever, it’s worth noting that he feuded with Spano during the primary campaign over what Judd said was a misleading mailer that suggested he was endorsing Spano.

Spano is well known in eastern Hillsborough but less so in Polk, and that’s an advantage to Carlson whose roots run deep there.

She was the chief counsel of the Florida Department of Transportation in Bartow, was general counsel for Florida Department of Citrus, was a prosecutor in Pasco County, and has served on the boards of Boys and Girls Clubs of Lakeland and the Polk Museum of Art.

She also has the backing of Emily’s List, which has been promoting women candidates throughout the country for high-profile offices. That brought in needed money and helped put Republicans in the unusual position of having to battle hard for a seat they have been able to take for granted in the past.

Democrats have targeted this as a seat they believe they can flip as part of an overall strategy to regain control of the U.S. House, and Carlson is running hard. Her TV ads are beginning to show up with increasing frequency.

Will it be enough?

That’s hard to say.

But Florida CD 15 is close, and that might speak volumes for could lie ahead on Nov. 6.

Joe Henderson: Hey, guess what? Hillsborough transportation is an issue!

I’m going to take a guess, but it looks like Ken Hagan has made Hillsborough transportation his signature issue in what is starting to look like a lifetime term on the governing body.

Take the colorful mailer that said, “Ken Hagan’s plan to invest infrastructure will create jobs, improve safety and improve our quality of life.” 

Or the one that said, “Last year Ken Hagan helped steer $800 million into projects currently underway that will help relieve some of Hillsborough’s most congested roadways.”

Or the one that boasts Ken Hagan “is the only candidate who has invested billions in our county infrastructure.”

And I shouldn’t leave out his fellow Commissioner Victor Crist, who brags in a mailer about delivering “billions” in new road construction to “alleviate traffic.”

Well, OK.

But both men have been on the Commission for a long time, and if they’ve directed so much dough and effort into upgrading Hillsborough transportation, shouldn’t our traffic be “alleviated” by now — at least a little bit?

But we know why it isn’t, don’t we?

Because, the governing agency has actually never addressed Hillsborough transportation in a systematic way, and long-serving commissioners like Hagan and Crist have exacerbated the problem by allowing unchecked growth that brought more congestion to roads that simply can’t handle the stress.

This might be a good time to note that thanks to loophole wide enough to drive a semi tractor-trailer though in the county’s term-limit rule, Hagan and Crist are essentially trying to swap seats.

Hagan, who is term-limited for his countywide seat, is running the District 2 chair in northern Hillsborough that Crist currently holds, while Crist is running for a countywide spot.

See how that works?

Interesting that Crist notes his “new” plan involves “getting Tallahassee and Washington to send us our fair share of road money” and “forcing developers to pay their fair share of road improvements when they develop, not after.”

You know, Mr. Commissioner, a good time to collect the “fair share” from developers might have been many years ago. Crist has been on the Commission since 2010, and development has exploded without the roads to handle the growth. And why is that?

Well, you can’t be a Republican these days without being pro-development and in favor of low taxes, and it’s impossible to build a comprehensive system to handle the mess we have here without the money to pay for it.

Other than a lot of “harrumphs” and some serious hand-wringing, the traffic problem has been allowed to keep expanding until now voters are going starting to ask tough questions to the people in charge while this happened. And that’s why a citizen’s group got enough signatures on a petition to put

It probably won’t keep Hagan from extending a stay on the Commission, where he has served since being first elected in 2002.

You know those mailers I mentioned earlier? He can afford them because he has raised more than $500,000 to fuel his campaign, much of it coming from (surprise!) developers, real estate interests, and construction companies.

By contrast, his Democratic opponent, Angela Birdsong, has raised only $30,000 and is almost out of cash.

Crist faces a tougher test against Democrat Mariella Smith. The Tampa Bay Times, in endorsing Smith, noted she is “among the most informed and articulate candidates for local office this year.”

There also isn’t much of a money gap, and Smith is well known and outspoken on transportation needs, so it could be tough for Crist to get any traction on that issue.

And transportation is the issue.

The guys who were in charge when it became one promise, now, to fix it.

Joe Henderson: Michael’s wrath the latest warning to Tampa Bay

While watching the unfolding catastrophe Hurricane Michael brought to Panama City, a familiar fear crept back into my mind: What if this thing had come up the mouth of Tampa Bay instead of veering west?

It’s a warning people there need to take seriously.

That in no way minimizes what the people of Panama City and the Panhandle went through and all aid and comfort need to be directed to that area. But if past is prologue, a storm the size and intensity of Michael washing ashore in downtown Tampa or close it would bring unimaginable devastation to the densely populated Tampa Bay area, and I’m not sure that’s something that this area can adequately prepare for.

I think about that every time one of these hurricanes comes up the Gulf coast. A year ago, the Washington Post reported on what will happen when Tampa Bay’s century-long string of luck runs out. A World Bank says Tampa is one of 10 cities on the planet most at risk for utter devastation by a major hurricane.

It almost happened last year with Hurricane Irma, but the meteorological gods gave the area a last-minute break when the storm unexpectedly wobbled ashore at Naples, knocking it down a bit.

And in 2004, Tampa Bay had a bullseye on it from Hurricane Charley which, like Michael, suddenly strengthened from a Category 2 to 4 in the snap of a finger. But just as it seemed the worst-case scenario was about to happen for this area, Charley turned inland at Port Charlotte and left major damage in its wake.

The Tampa Tribune, where I worked then, produced an investigative piece shortly after that with a large, bold headline that read: “We’re Not Ready.”

Experts said then that if Charley had stayed on its course, most of Pinellas County would have experienced catastrophic flooding. Water would have been up to at least the second floor of every downtown office building in Tampa.

Tampa would have been just like New Orleans was a year later when Hurricane Katrina struck, and everyone who lives here understands the warning that one day we won’t get lucky. Of course, I guess – as the good people of Panama City and other parts of the Panhandle learned Wednesday – you can say that about anywhere in the state.

Some parts of Florida’s east coast around St. Augustine are still struggling to recover from Hurricane Matthew in 2016. The same is true from parts of the state that were clobbered by Irma last year.

And now we see the nearly unimaginable force generated by Michael, and how the only defense against a storm of that size to leave. The problem for Panama City is that the hurricane exploded in strength in a short time, leaving residents and visitors little time to get out of the way.

The Red Cross estimated as many as 325,000 people in the evacuation zone did not leave. Maybe it was bravado for some, but it’s also a safe bet that many simply didn’t have the financial resources for a prolonged motel stay. And now many roadways are blocked, widespread power outages could last for weeks, stores are empty and probably couldn’t function anyway – the list of problems goes on.

Now, take that carnage and imagine it in an area of more than 3 million people, with an inadequate road system, major buildup along coastlines and waterways, no way to run and nowhere to hide.

Experts tell us it’s going to happen one day. The Tampa Bay area will be under water.

I hope they’re wrong, but I fear they aren’t.

felon voting rights (Large)

Susan Frederick-Gray: Our opportunity to support Florida’s modern-day suffragists

There is a direct link from the work of my namesake and relative Susan B. Anthony, who fought for a woman’s right to vote in the mid-1800s, and the modern-day suffragists urging us to pass Amendment 4 on the ballot this November in Florida.

Growing up, I was told the stories of Anthony and Lucy Stone, as well as Ida B. Wells and Frederick Douglass; people who fought for the right to vote for women and people of color. It always left me wondering what I would do if I were alive at a time when a whole class of people were denied the ability to have a say in our democracy.

For the Sunshine State, this is not a rhetorical question.

Florida is one of three states that indefinitely bans former felons from voting, even after they have fully served their sentences. Amendment 4, the Second Chances Amendment, would repeal this Jim Crow era ban and re-enfranchise more than a million Floridians — one in 10 of the state’s adults — who have served their time but are still sentenced to a civil death. This would be the largest expansion of voting rights since women earned the right to vote in 1920.

Alongside those childhood stories of our family’s connection to voting rights, I was also raised a Unitarian Universalist, a faith where I now serve as national President.

At the core of our faith is a belief that no one is ever cast out of the circle of love. One can make mistakes, lose one’s way, but that never separates us from God’s love. As Universalists, we are taught that love, community, and forgiveness — the possibility of redemption — is essential for humanity and a healthy society.

That is why to learn of people who have permanently lost their citizenship rights because they have come into contact with a criminal justice system that we know is uneven at best and discriminatory at worst rings so wrong to me.

A parable I often draw on when I preach about forgiveness and redemption is that of the Prodigal Son. In the story, a younger son takes his inheritance early, leaves his family and squanders it all in wild living. Penniless and starving, the son returns home hoping to at least work as a servant for his father. Instead, when the father sees his son, he is filled with compassion, and rather than punishing him, he welcomes him home, offering a new beginning. Yes, we may all struggle to live this unconditional love as fully as the father, but all of us, at different times in our lives, are in need of forgiveness and second chances. And just like in a family, society and community begin to fall apart without practices of restoration and redemption.

In Florida, like in many states, too many people do not receive such a welcome. A criminal justice system that is not focused on successful re-entry can neither be considered just nor a service to our common good. Barriers to housing, employment, and the pride and ownership that comes with civic engagement erode our society rather than protect it.

I myself have spent a short time in jail as a result of religious acts of conscience. I have witnessed firsthand how our criminal justice system dehumanizes and punishes. I’ve known people beaten in jail and I carried scars on my wrists for years after, even though as a faith leader, I was handled with ‘relative’ care.

I am coming to Florida to support Amendment 4, because I do not want us to become a society where we so harden our hearts that one’s citizenship, and democracy itself, is withheld as a lifelong punishment with no chance for redemption.

Even when politics frustrates me and I feel disheartened by leadership, I keep voting. I do it because I remember that someone fought hard for me to have this right. I remember the women who organized, who marched, who went to jail and faced torture so that I would have the right to vote. The 15th Amendment which gave voting rights to African-Americans wasn’t passed until 1870, after the Civil War. The rights it enshrined weren’t extended to women until 1920. Native Americans didn’t gain the right to participate in elections until 1924. And it took the civil rights movement and the Voting Rights Act of 1965 to overcome the legal barriers that prevented black Americans from fully participating in citizenship and democracy.

Now in 2018, Floridians, more than a million of them, are fighting hard for their voting rights. And I will be there to support them.

As an American, we can see this moment as a chance to bring our laws closer in line with our highest values and proclamations. As a faith leader, I see this as a moment to bring the values of redemption more fully to our society for all citizens. Through the lens of criminal justice, Amendment 4 is a step forward toward a system with greater emphasis on rehabilitation, restoration, and reintegration.

And as a relative of Susan B. Anthony, I see Amendment 4 as a crucial contribution to the democratic promise of this country, one that has never been achieved without people organizing and pushing for it.

I will be in Florida because I do not believe that anyone should be permanently cast out. I will be there because the purpose of the 13th, 14th, 15th and 19th amendments was to prevent us from becoming the two Americas we’ve witnessed ourselves becoming. Amendment 4 will end disenfranchisement and strengthen democracy not just in Florida but nationwide.

I ask that all those who can vote, vote yes on Amendment 4, so others too will have that right to vote again.

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Rev. Susan Frederick-Gray is the President of the Unitarian Universalist Association based in Boston Massachusetts. She is a first cousin, five generations removed, of Susan B. Anthony, a leader of the women’s suffrage movement.

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