David Jolly polls 1 point ahead of Patrick Murphy in 2016 Senate race

David Jolly 10-21

A new poll released on the Florida Senate race shows Pinellas County GOP U.S. Rep. David Jolly with a narrow, 1-point lead over South Florida Democratic U.S. Rep. Patrick Murphy, 44-43 percent.

The survey was conducted by the polling firm of Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research, a polling firm with that includes Stan Greenberg, a longtime pollster for Bill Clinton. It was conducted for Women’s Voices Women Vote Action Fund and Democracy Corps.

The Florida race is one of four senate contests that the polling firm conducted, along with races in Colorado, Ohio and Wisconsin. All four states are considered to be extremely close Senate races in 2016, with the Democrats needing five to win back the Senate.

If the pollsters referred to other candidates in their poll of Florida senate candidates, it’s not listed in the poll, which was released Tuesday. There is no mention of Democratic U.S. Rep. Alan Grayson in the survey, nor any of the other Republican Senate hopefuls: U.S. Rep. Ron DeSantis, Lt. Gov. Carlos Lopez-Cantera or former CIA military contractor Todd Wilcox.

A Public Policy Polling survey of the Florida Senate race in September showed Grayson leading Murphy by six points, 33 to 27 percent, and Jolly leading DeSantis 18 percent to 15 percent, with Lopez-Cantera right behind at 14 percent.

The poll also shows Hillary Clinton with a narrow, two-point lead over Donald Trump in a perspective head-to-head presidential match-up in Florida next November. Clinton leads 46 to 44 percent over the New York City real estate magnate.

Sixty-five percent of Floridians in the survey say that the country is on the wrong track, while 29 percent say the country is on the right track.

The survey was taken between Oct. 24-28. Respondents were divided equally among states (n=400) of Colorado, Florida, Ohio and Wisconsin. Margin of error for each state sample= +/-4.9 percentage points at 95% confidence. Margin of error will be higher among subgroups.

Mitch Perry

Mitch Perry has been a reporter with Extensive Enterprises since November of 2014. Previously, he served five years as political editor of the alternative newsweekly Creative Loafing. Mitch also was assistant news director with WMNF 88.5 FM in Tampa from 2000-2009, and currently hosts MidPoint, a weekly talk show, on WMNF on Thursday afternoons. He began his reporting career at KPFA radio in Berkeley and is a San Francisco native who has lived in Tampa since 2000. Mitch can be reached at [email protected]


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