Steve Schale, Author at Florida Politics - Campaigns & Elections. Lobbying & Government.

Steve SchaleOctober 28, 2016

To: Fans of Florida From: Steve Schale, Exhausted and Disgusted Jaguars Fan Re: 11 Days Out *0 days until Gus Bradley is fired, God willing. *11 days until the election *15 days until FSU basketball tips off. Another poll showed Clinton with a three-point lead. This means that since Bloomberg declared Trump leading Florida, four […]

Steve SchaleOctober 27, 2016

To: Fellow Data Nerds From: Steve Schale, #FloridaMan Re: Day Three of Early Voting *12 days until the election *16 days until FSU basketball tips off. Before we dive into the data, can I have a side conversation with the reporters reading this? Now, I get it, the national race for president is over, and […]

Steve SchaleOctober 25, 2016

Dear friends and casual Twitter followers: It is Florida election memo time! I know you all are excited. Fourteen days left. If Jaguars fans can survive the Gus Bradley era, America can do 14 days of this. Also of note: 18 days until FSU basketball tips off. So here are some notes on the first […]

Steve SchaleSeptember 20, 2016

MEMO TO: Reporters Covering Florida, Other Observers and the Nation of Twitter FROM: Steve, #FloridaMan and Disgruntled Jags Fan. RE: BREAKING, 2016 version: Florida is gonna be close For much of the window between 2000 and 2012, the conversation about Florida, driven at times by Nate Silver himself was “is it really a swing state?” This year, the new […]

Steve SchaleJuly 18, 2016

In the last two weeks, I’ve gotten more calls from reporters and political types wanting to talk about the political implications of the Everglades than I’ve gotten in the last 10 years. Algae is on everyone’s mind. Environmental issues tend to be the type that polls well. However, they aren’t the sort of issues that tend […]

Steve SchaleApril 20, 2016

The Bernie Sanders campaign is over. The commanding win by Hillary Clinton should bring an end to the nomination fight. Going into Tuesday night, her delegate lead was over 200, and her popular vote lead was over 2.4 million. We’ll see how the New York delegates get allocated, but her lead will significantly grow and she […]

Steve SchaleMarch 23, 2016

It was one of those conversations that changed everything. Watching a hockey game from a luxury box in Tampa Bay in late 2014, I asked the two Pakistani guys from a group I was hosting a simple question: Why does it seem to guys like me that countries like yours seem to have a lax […]

Steve SchaleMarch 8, 2016

There is an old saying that says that the definition of competent is understanding where your own personal competence ends, and one thing is for certain, the 2016 GOP primary has made many a smart person look foolish. Like him or not, Donald Trump has blown up the rule book and disrupted the political process like no […]

Steve SchaleMarch 8, 2016

There is an old saying that says that the definition of competent is understanding where your own personal competence ends, and one thing is for certain, the 2016 GOP primary has made many a smart person look foolish. Like him or not, Donald Trump has blown up the rule book and disrupted the political process like […]

Steve SchaleMarch 3, 2016

For the first time in a while, the Florida Democratic Primary will mean something. For Bernie Sanders, it is a chance to prove he can win a big diverse state. For Hillary Clinton, it is a chance to solidify her position as the party’s standard-bearer. And unless something dramatic changes, Clinton will win Florida and firmly […]

Steve Schale

Steve Schale: Notes on the fourth day of early voting in Florida

Steve Schale: Notes on the third day of early voting in Florida

Steve Schale: Notes on the first day of early voting in Florida

Steve Schale: Florida is gonna Florida, 2016 version

Steve Schale: Watching algae politics? Here is a race to watch.

Steve Schale: The Democratic primary is over, let’s go beat Donald Trump

Steve Schale: Terrorism is a grim fact of life around the world

Steve Schale: The dumpster fire comes to Florida

Steve Schale: The dumpster fire comes to Florida

Steve Schale: Hillary Clinton should easily defeat Bernie Sanders in Florida