A.G. Gancarski
You may not be chanting “four more years” for Joe Biden, but a new poll suggests that if you dislike both him and Donald Trump, you’ll likely vote for that outcome.
That’s a takeaway from the latest national poll from the University of North Florida’s Public Opinion Research Lab, which analyzed a group of what pollsters call “double-haters” and ascertained some potentially interesting micro-trends.
For starters, one in nine of the “double-haters” will break from the much derided two-party duopoly.
“Only 11% of these double-haters said they were voting for a third candidate, with 43% indicating they would vote for Biden, and 30% going to Trump,” said UNF PORL Director Michael Binder.
That’s despite a lack of enthusiasm even among those 741 “likely voters” polled between April 8 and April 20, he added.
“Voters across the board don’t seem to be huge fans of any of these candidates, even within their own parties,” said Binder. “In fact, a substantial portion—15%—said they have an unfavorable opinion of both Biden and Trump, and 5% don’t like any of the three.”
Though Biden is more likely to swing double-haters, it’s Trump with a marginal 47% to 45% lead, well inside the poll’s +/- 4.2% margin of error.
However, voters will have one eye on the courtroom, given the former President’s historically unprecedented legal gauntlet.
“A sizable majority said a criminal conviction for Trump wouldn’t affect their vote, which makes sense for folks who have their minds made up,” Binder stated.
“What could dramatically impact the election is the 9% of Trump voters who said they’d be less likely to vote for him if he’s convicted.”
Overall, 24% said a guilty verdict would negatively affect their willingness to vote for Trump, while 7% would see it as a rally cry for the embattled former President.
8 comments
Tom
April 25, 2024 at 7:38 am
Sounds fair enough to me. The country can take four years of bad policy but another four years of trump attacking democracy? Not so much.
John L
April 25, 2024 at 9:18 am
Don’t forget that Trump is a Putin asset that owns 400 million of his debt so if we don’t want to be speaking Russian in our life, vote Biden.
MH/Duuuval
April 25, 2024 at 5:52 pm
That’s why I am sold on confiscating Russian money abroad and passing it to the Ukrainians.
PeterH
April 25, 2024 at 6:43 pm
Totally agree with MH! Russia and it’s complicit oligarchs should be responsible for funding Ukraine’s reconstruction.
Dont Say FLA
April 25, 2024 at 1:25 pm
Yeah most folks would prefer four years of yawning rather than four years of whatever side deals produced Jared’s Billions and LIV Golf among innumerable other scams, both known and yet to be known.
PeterH
April 25, 2024 at 1:31 pm
It is imperative to keep Donald Trump out of the Oval Office. Any vote for a third Party candidate like anti-vaccine propaganda proponent RFK ….is effectively a vote for Trump! The 2024 election is not the election to fool around with a third party candidate.
Monday news
April 26, 2024 at 10:49 pm
The question is how muck longer can I take mugshots.com. Mug -=shot
Hayley
April 27, 2024 at 12:06 pm
They didn’t poll me, a female, suburban, millennial white woman who voted for Biden in 2020.
I would never vote for the racist, Trump, but Biden has failed on so many fronts, particularly his handling of the ongoing genocide in Gaza.
My vote this year goes to RFK Jr.
Comments are closed.