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World markets spooked as new U.S. tariffs escalate trade war.

Financial markets around the world are reeling Thursday following President Donald Trump’s latest and most severe volley of tariffs, and the U.S. stock market may be taking the worst of it.

The S&P 500 was down 3.3% in early trading, worse than the drops for other major stock markets. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 1,204 points, or 2.9%, as of 9:50 a.m. Eastern time, and the Nasdaq composite was 4.3% lower.

Little was spared as fear flared globally about the potentially toxic mix of higher inflation and weakening economic growth that tariffs can create. Prices fell for everything from crude oil to Big Tech stocks to small companies that invest only in U.S. real estate. Even gold, which has hit records recently as investors sought something safer to own, pulled lower. The value of the U.S. dollar also slid against other currencies, including the euro and Canadian dollar.

Investors worldwide knew Trump was going to announce a sweeping set of tariffs late Wednesday, and fears surrounding it had already pulled the S&P 500 10% below its all-time high last month. But Trump still managed to surprise them with “the worst case scenario for tariffs,” according to Mary Ann Bartels, chief investment officer at Sanctuary Wealth.

Trump announced a minimum tariff of 10% on imports, with the tax rate running much higher on products from certain countries like China and those from the European Union. It’s “plausible” the tariffs altogether, which would rival levels unseen in roughly a century, could knock down U.S. economic growth by 2 percentage points this year and raise inflation close to 5%, according to UBS.

Such a hit would be so frightening that it “makes one’s rational mind regard the possibility of them sticking as low,” according to Bhanu Baweja and other strategists at UBS.

Wall Street had long assumed Trump would use tariffs merely as a tool for negotiations with other countries, rather than as a long-term policy. But Wednesday’s announcement may suggest Trump sees tariffs more as helping to solve an ideological goal – wresting manufacturing jobs back to the United States, for example – than just an opening bet in a poker game.

If Trump follows through on his tariffs, stock prices may need to fall much more than 10% from their all-time high in order to reflect the global recession that could follow, along with the hit to profits that U.S. companies could take because of them.

“Markets may actually be underreacting, especially if these rates turn out to be final, given the potential knock-on effects to global consumption and trade,” said Sean Sun, portfolio manager at Thornburg Investment management, though he sees Trump’s announcement on Wednesday as more of an opening move than an endpoint for policy.

One wild card is that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates in order to support the economy. That’s what it had been doing late last year before pausing in 2025. Lower interest rates help by making it easier for U.S. companies and households to borrow and spend.

Yields on Treasurys tumbled in part on rising expectations for coming cuts to rates, along with general fear about the health of the U.S. economy. The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell to 4.02% from 4.20% late Wednesday and from roughly 4.80% in January. That’s a huge move for the bond market.

The Fed may have less freedom to move than it would like, though. While lower rates can goose the economy, they can also push upward on inflation. And worries are already worsening about inflation because of tariffs, with U.S. households in particular bracing for sharp increases. The Fed has no good tool to fix what’s called “stagflation,” where the economy stagnates and inflation stays high.

The economy at the moment is still growing, of course. A report on Thursday said fewer U.S. workers applied for unemployment benefits last week, the latest signal that the job market remains OK overall. Economist had been expecting to see an uptick in joblessness.

But worries about possible stagflation nevertheless knocked down stocks across industries, leading to drops for three out of every four stocks that make up the S&P 500.

Nike fell 12% because so many of its products are made outside the United States. United Airlines lost 10.6% because customers worried about the global economy may not fly as much for business or feel comfortable enough to take vacations. Discount retailer Dollar Tree tumbled 8.5% amid worries that its customers, already squeezed by still-high inflation, may be under even more stress.

Some of the heaviest weights on the market were those that had soared earlier in Wall Street’s frenzy around artificial-intelligence technology. Critics said they were looking the most egregious in a market that overall looked too expensive after prices ran so high in recent years.

Nvidia sank 4.6% to bring its loss for the year so far to nearly 22%. It had more than doubled last year after more than tripling in 2023.

In stock markets abroad, indexes fell sharply worldwide. France’s CAC 40 dropped 2.9%, and Germany’s DAX lost 2.1% in Europe.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 dropped 2.8%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng lost 1.5% and South Korea’s Kospi dropped 0.8%.

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Republished with permission of The Associated Press.

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15 comments

Peachy
April 3, 2025 at 10:39 am

Equities are on sale. Buy! Buy! Buy! Should we find out what Pelosi is doing? She has outperformed every hedge fund manager. True brilliance and she doesn’t read a thing.
Bill
April 3, 2025 at 10:51 am

Gee … who would have expected that to happen?
PeterH
April 3, 2025 at 11:40 am

Fasten your seat belts…. prepare for impact. The Republican clown bus is headed for a cliff. 🚌
Linwood Wright
April 3, 2025 at 12:40 pm

You really have to be a special kind of stupid to have voted for Trump.

Anybody who hasn’t just been plugging their brain into Fox News, Newsmax, and AM talk radio to be told what to think saw this all coming from 10 miles away. But now that some of these boomers are going to lose their retirement while seeing their social security vanish too, they’ll wake up to the fact that billionaire elites in power are not your allies. Hope it’s not too late.
- Peachy
  April 3, 2025 at 12:49 pm
  
  So the peak of the Dow Jones was 45K. Now we are down to roughly 41K. What is that 10%? So how are boomers losing their retirement. Oh and what is this MSNBC, CNN propaganda about SSA going away?
  - Linwood Wright
    April 3, 2025 at 1:50 pm
    
    Keep licking those billionaires boot Peachy.
Michael K
April 3, 2025 at 12:49 pm

It’s called shorting the market. Of course, we’ll never know exactly how much Trump and his stable of economic “geniuses” stand to gain from this market manipulation.

It’s magical thinking to wish for an era of 1950s manufacturing jobs returning – stripped of any union benefits or protection, of course.

The billionaires will Hoover up cheap stocks, while average working Americans lucky enough to have retirement accounts will take a big hit. And the people at the very bottom will pay far more for almost everything. Bogus and dishonest accounting will “justify” more huge tax cuts… for billionaires. And our former friends and allies, tired of chaos and the petty tyrant, will seek and find new markets, and better friends.

Glad to see Congress is finally waking up.
Henry Lerner
April 3, 2025 at 1:53 pm

I’m no longer even worried about a recession at this point. By now we should be worried about a full on economic meltdown and an actual second Great Depression under this administration.

History has already shown us that tariffs make everything worse, and that everything Trump touches turns to sh*t.
Ocean Joe
April 3, 2025 at 3:15 pm

Trump Pearl Harbored the stock market, and ran off to play golf. Enjoy the cake!
- Michael K
  April 3, 2025 at 3:18 pm
  
  Yes more golfing and grifting.
PeterH
April 3, 2025 at 3:22 pm

Trump is celebrating with a long weekend in West Palm Beach. This incompetent hasn’t worked a day in his life.
- Michael K
  April 3, 2025 at 5:12 pm
  
  And playing with the $audi$. You know, the ones who brutally murdered Jamal Khashoggi, a WaPo journalist, during Trump’s first term.
Ron Ogden
April 4, 2025 at 1:33 pm

If the Democrats had been behind this then liberals like the ones above would have been talking about courageous leadership for the sake of the working man, and they would have been laughing at the market movements. The View would have been jumping out of the chairs to say the bloodthirsty capitalists deserve every loss they suffer. All the economists would have been praising their visionary efforts to rescue America, at long last, from Republican free trade profiteers, billionaires who reduced the hardworking, once-proud American working class to penury for the sake of their mansions and yachts. All this hoopla hasn’t a damm thing to do with economics, It’s all about attacking Trump any way possible, and to h–l with reality.
- JD
  April 4, 2025 at 1:54 pm
  
  No they would not. Why? They would have not done something so self-centered and reckless.
  
  Right-tard express is heading for the cliff. While being cheered on by it’s passageners. God Damn I could not have made this up.
- Michael K
  April 5, 2025 at 11:15 pm
  
  No other president in the past 100 years has intentionally sabotaged and wrecked global and domestic financial markets. Presidents do their best to stabilize and grow the economy, not destroy it. Same with jobs. Trump is intentionally wreaking havoc and couldn’t care less. His own people cannot even explain or justify what he’s doing, because he clearly doesn’t what he’s doing. No one else knows either. He’s a mad man run amok. Even six Republican Senators are pushing back. Time to take the keys away from the old geezer and let Congress decide if tariffs are needed.