Latest Associated Industries poll of Florida GOP shows Donald Trump leading Marco Rubio 33%-27%

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A new poll privately funded by American Industries of Florida shows Donald Trump leading Marco Rubio in Florida, 33-27 percent, with Ted Cruz at 16 percent of the vote, and John Kasich at 12 percent.

The poll is remarkably different than other surveys released in the past couple of days, most showing Rubio losing by double digits, and in the case of a Quinnipiac survey released on Wednesday, shows Rubio trailing Trump by 23 percentage points, 45-22 percent.

The poll is strikingly similar to a previous AIF funded survey from 12 days ago with  Trump leading Rubio 34-27 percent.

“We continually monitor the makeup of our turnout in real time, and we are noticing a surge of non-usual primary voters in this electorate,” said pollster Ryan Tyson.

Studying the early voting numbers, Tyson said 7 percent of the GOP electorate in Florida  are newly registered voters since the 2014 midterm election, and 17 percent of the voters (132,262 voters) haven’t voted in any of the past three primary elections.

“These voters missed the 2012 Presidential primary, and the regular 2012 and 2014 Republican primaries, but for whatever reason they are casting ballots in this election,” he wrote in an email accompany the survey results. “We can logically conclude these are similar surge voters as have been seen in other states this cycle. These voters will likely not be friendly to the establishment-favored candidates.”

Tyson also notes that robocall-generated surveys consistently show Trump to be in the 40s in Florida, whereas those with live operators (like this one) have Trump rated lower.

The survey conducted by Tel Opinion Research of 631 likely voters took place between Sunday and Monday. The margin of error is at +/- 4 percent.

Mitch Perry

Mitch Perry has been a reporter with Extensive Enterprises since November of 2014. Previously, he served five years as political editor of the alternative newsweekly Creative Loafing. Mitch also was assistant news director with WMNF 88.5 FM in Tampa from 2000-2009, and currently hosts MidPoint, a weekly talk show, on WMNF on Thursday afternoons. He began his reporting career at KPFA radio in Berkeley and is a San Francisco native who has lived in Tampa since 2000. Mitch can be reached at [email protected]


2 comments

  • Jake

    March 9, 2016 at 5:14 pm

    Cruz is at 16, not 26. 26 would be major news.

  • David John Francis

    March 9, 2016 at 6:09 pm

    OBAMA HAS ALLOWED OUR COUNTRY TO BE INVADED BY MILLIONS OF ILLEGAL ALIENS, WHICH ARE STEALING JOBS, OR HANDING OUT H1-B TO GIVE WORK APPROVAL TO FOREIGN PROFESSIONALS. ON A MASSIVE SCALE AMERICAN JOBS ARE VANISHING OVERSEAS OR TO MEXICO AND OUR POLITICIANS HAVE DONE NOTHING TO STOP IT?

    EVERY WHITE COLLAR, BLUE COLLAR, AND MANUAL WORKER IS DISPENSABLE AS THE REPUBLICANS SEE IT, ILLUSTRATING AS YOUR JOBS AT RISK. WHETHER IT’S FLORIDA OR THE REMAINING STATES IN THE THIS ELECTION EVENT ONLY DONALD TRUMP HAS THE EXPERIENCE AND GUTS TO RETURN OUR JOBS OR FIGHT CONGRESS.

    The only reason the Republicans and Democrats are throwing derogatory remarks at Donald Trump, is their lucrative worlds are about to collapse. All the perks from the Special interests are falling apart, because the American people have had enough of ‘Business as Usual’ from the corporate and industrial entities, which buy the votes in Washington. We saw the beginning of this from the former Presidente of Mexico Vicente Fox and now the new Presidente Enrique Peña Nieto who is storming around, giving interviews and calling Trump Hitler, which shows to me their seriously worried about Trump reaching the Oval office and eroding their wealth of bribes and corruption offered to them by political partiers and the mega corporate manufacturing base.

    It doesn’t take the proverbial rocket scientist to apprehend that the Hierarchy in the Republican Party had allowed the development of the (NAFTA) treaty with jobs and parts of our industrial base shrinking and ending up in Mexico, especially the auto industry. However, the disintegration of our laws are still going on with the latest move of Carrier, moving out; Ford is building 2 Billion and joining its other plants across our border. King Obama has bypassed Congress since his coronation to press open borders for foreign nationals and unlawful practices in allowing more illegal aliens into our country, without prosecution or deportation.

    You don’t have to look that far to understand that there is sewer in Washington where corruption ferments as the Politicians sell the American people out to the highest bidder. To win a seat in Congress you really have no choice, but to sell your soul to a lobbyist, who is the wing man to some unknown wealthy donor who always want something in return for claiming a space in Washington–and that’s stealing American citizens vote. The Republican establishment has committed their own suicide, by playing along with Omnibus budget, allowing the Obama to fund all his objectives. Now with Obamas access to incomprehensible $2.2 trillion Mother Lode funds, which will pay for importation into the country unknown Syrian Refugees and the continued, pandering to illegal aliens. Lawmakers should have started impeachment on this rogue president in his first term, when they had a chance prior to given out freebies to anybody who ask for them–including illegal aliens.

    Why in the first place do you think we have had these massive surges in family units, unaccompanied children, and also criminals from the opposite side of the border? Obama signaled the world that if you could reach the United States, you wouldn’t be sent back.

Comments are closed.


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