The latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll of Florida shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump 45 percent to 42 percent, while Marco Rubio is ahead of Patrick Murphy by just two points in the race for the state’s U.S. Senate seat.
The survey was conducted before a video of Trump making vulgar, sexually-charged comment surfaced.
Breaking down the numbers, Clinton runs ahead of Trump in a two-way contest among African Americans (86 percent to 6 percent), Latinos (63 percent to 27 percent), likely voters ages 18-29 (63 percent to 31 percent) and women (51 percent to 41 percent).
Trump, meanwhile, leads among men (48 percent to 41 percent) and whites (55 percent to 36 percent). But there is an important difference here, Mark Murray notes: Trump is ahead among whites without a college degree by a 62 percent-to-29 percent margin. Yet among whites with a college degree, Trump is up by only four points, 48 percent to 44 percent.
Geographically, Trump holds the advantage in Florida’s Panhandle (52 percent to 42 percent) and the Tampa area (49 percent to 39 percent), while Clinton is ahead in the Miami area (57 percent to 34 percent) and Orlando (50 percent to 39 percent).