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Q-poll: Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders lead Donald Trump in Florida

Other Democrats lead Trump too, by closer margins

Hours before President Donald Trump takes the stage in Orlando to officially kick off his 2020 re-election campaign, a new poll finds he trails Democratic front-runner Joe Biden and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders.

The latest survey from Quinnipiac University, taken from last Wednesday through Monday of 1,279 Florida registered voters, finds former Vice President Biden leading Trump 50-41. The poll also shows Sanders ahead of Trump 48-42.

The poll also finds Trump trailing U.S. Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Kamala Harris and other leading Democratic candidates in Florida, though by lesser margins, some within the margin of error.

The poll finds that Floridians are generally pleased with the economy and feel they are better off. But they give Trump below-water approval ratings anyway.

The poll also finds that Floridians do not want Democrats pursuing impeachment proceedings against  Trump.

“Florida Republicans have won the last five major statewide elections, all by very close margins, but Sunshine State Democrats see these very early numbers as a sign that their losing streak might be coming to an end,” Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll, stated in a news release announcing the poll Tuesday.

“President Donald Trump trails both former Vice President Joseph Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders in general election matchups and basically ties other leading Democratic challengers,” Brown added.  “While most  Florida voters are feeling better financially, President Trump remains underwater with a 44 percent job approval rating and a 51 percent disapproval rating.”

The poll suggests that at this point those other Democratic candidates are nearly irrelevant to the 2020 presidential election, among Florida Democratic voters.

Biden leads the Democratic field with 41 percent. He’s followed by Sanders, the Vermont Senator, with 14 percent; Warren, of Massachusetts, with 12 percent; South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg with 8 percent and Harris, of California, with 6 percent.

None of the other 19 Democratic candidates that Quinnipiac listed got more than 1 percent.

The poll surveyed 417 registered Democratic voters. The margin of error for the Democratic question was 5.8 percent, Quinnipiac reported. The overall margin of error was 3.3 percent.

As has become common in such polls, Quinnipiac’s pollsters found large differences of opinion based on demographics. In a Trump-Biden matchup, Biden leads among women 58 percent to 34 percent, while Trump leads among men, 49-42. Trump leads among white voters 52-42. Biden leads among black voters 79-9 and among Hispanic voters, 57-32.

Both Trump and Biden get more than 90 percent of the vote among voters within their parties. Independent voters favor Biden 54-32.

When asked if they are better off financially than they were in 2016, voters said yes, 54 percent to 43 percent.

Yet the economy is not enough. Florida voters gave a 44 percent job approval rating for Trump, compared with a 51 percent disapproval. That is up from Quinnipiac’s previous poll, in March, which found a 41-53 spread.

As for impeachment, 62 percent say no, Democrats should not pursue it, while 32 percent said yes. The only two groups that topped majorities favoring impeachment were Democrats and black voters.

Written By

Scott Powers is an Orlando-based political journalist with 30+ years’ experience, mostly at newspapers such as the Orlando Sentinel and the Columbus Dispatch. He covers local, state and federal politics and space news across much of Central Florida. His career earned numerous journalism awards for stories ranging from the Space Shuttle Columbia disaster to presidential elections to misplaced nuclear waste. He and his wife Connie have three grown children. Besides them, he’s into mystery and suspense books and movies, rock, blues, basketball, baseball, writing unpublished novels, and being amused. Email him at scott@floridapolitics.com.

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