A.G. Gancarski
The Republican presidential race is a one-sided affair according to polls, a reality not missed by the Donald Trump campaign.
In its regular “Sunday note” email, Team Trump is calling attention to the latest Harvard-Harris survey, noting the General Election side and the Primary side of the survey.
Regarding the General Election side, they note the poll “shows (former) President Trump beating Joe Biden by 4%. That same poll, by the way, shows Biden leading both Nikki Haley and Ron DeSantis by 4%.”
The issue for both DeSantis and Haley is an inability in this survey to consolidate Republicans, which may be a function of at least some GOP voters being Trump-only in their orientation. While Biden takes 82% of Democrats against DeSantis, for example, only 76% of Republicans say they would vote for DeSantis in the hypothetical. Haley, meanwhile, takes 66% of Republicans against Biden, while 80% of Democrats say they would support the President in that scenario.
Trump has no such problems consolidating his own party in this survey.
In a hypothetical two-way race against Biden, he takes 87% of Republicans overall, and 92% when “leaners” are factored in to the calculation.
When independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is added to the mix, Trump still holds much of that support, taking 77% of Republicans when leaners are not factored in, and 80% when they are. Conversely, less than 70% of Democrats commit to Biden under the same scenario.
The addition of a second independent, Cornel West, doesn’t change the math much either. Trump takes 78% of Republicans and 80% when the leaners are added, while Biden is below 70% even when leaners are added in.
Primary polling reflects the strong Trump preference of the Republican sample, and is consistent with most recent surveys of the race. The former President is the choice of 60% of respondents, up 3 points from September. DeSantis is at 11%, Haley at 7%, and other names are further back still.
9 comments
My Take
October 23, 2023 at 10:40 am
When the actual national-election campaign exposes Trump to the full nègative blast, and points oùt Bidèn’s successes, the situation will change. The directions are clear but how much is of course not yet known.
Earl Pitts "Florida's Big Voice Om The Right
October 23, 2023 at 2:00 pm
See America its all going according to my, Earl Pitts American’s master plan.
Omce the National/International situation gets to the WWIII level and/or just a little closer to the election I, Earl Pitts American, will give President Trump the high sign.
At that point, President Trump, will cite some bogus health concern, withdraw from the POTUS race, and order his voters to elect Desantis.
At that point in time the Dook 4 Brains Left will be caught totally flat-footed with their pants down at their knees.
Further more to add insult to injury soon after Ron and Casey move into The White House President Trump will announce a life saving cure and credit Dr. Fouchi.
EPA
Beverly Brevity
October 23, 2023 at 3:33 pm
A lot of words, Earl, not gonna read’m.
Earl Pitts "Florida's BIG VOICE on The Right" American
October 23, 2023 at 3:58 pm
Welcome home Bevs
rick whitaker
October 23, 2023 at 9:21 pm
WARNING ⚠ TROLL COMMENT BY EARL
My Take
October 23, 2023 at 8:15 pm
The national campaign should make Trump be running against the well- and repeatedly described Trump-Hell that is America’s fate if he wins. Oh, and against Biden too.
MH/Duuuval
October 23, 2023 at 8:16 pm
Dee needs to start calling out Trump for not debating him. After all, why should Trump be afraid of Dee? This could be settled right here, right now in the state of Florida with a verbal cage fight– until only one mud-smeared man emerges. (The winner gets to keep the gate.)
My Take
October 24, 2023 at 12:23 am
Prediction–
If, heavens forfend, Trump is elected, in addition to destroying America in 100 ways, I pteďict three hard pushes for his continued “honor”:
Rushmore
Currency note
Aircraft carrier
rick whitaker
October 24, 2023 at 9:52 am
and tearing down the statue of liberty
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