Jacob Ogles
A Florida-based Republican pollster finds Republican Donald Trump leading Democrat Kamala Harris by just 2 percentage points. Additionally, U.S. Sen. Rick Scott holds less than a 1-point edge on Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell.
Victory Insights, which has an office in Naples, said in a polling memo that Florida has morphed from a swing state to a red state. Yet, it’s entirely possible the state in 2024 remains in play, according to the firm’s latest survey results.
Senior pollster Ben Galbraith noted that both races are within the survey’s margin of error.
President
The poll finds Trump winning just under 47% of likely voters in his home state, while nearly 45% intend to vote for Harris.
“Another 8% of voters remain undecided,” Galbraith wrote. “The overwhelming majority of these undecided voters are nonpartisans; 60% say they don’t tend to support either of the major parties, while the other 40% are split approximately equally between Democrats and Republicans.”
The poll of 600 likely voters has a 4.4-percentage-point margin of error.
Pollsters also found greater enthusiasm among Trump’s base — those with a positive view of Trump who rate him with a 5 out of 5 in favorability — than is found among Harris supporters. However, the Republican has an even higher “hatred index,” those respondents who give candidates a 1 on the scale.
Trump has an enthusiasm index of about 76%, but a hatred index above 92%, while Harris has about a 71% enthusiasm index and a 90% hatred index.
“Florida has morphed into more and more of a red state, and Republicans’ registration advantage in the state has been ever increasing,” Galbraith noted. “In 2024, many people are wondering: do Democrats even have a shot to win Florida? Our polling suggests that it’s not outside the realm of possibility.”
Senate
Scott, a Naples Republican, also seems in serious danger of losing a second term, the poll shows. Less than 45% of voters plan to vote for the Republican candidate, while just under 44% plan to support Mucarsel-Powell, who won her party’s nomination in August.
The former two-term Florida Governor holds much higher name recognition that rivals that of the presidential nominees, according to the poll. But Scott also similarly elicits strong emotions among voters.
More than 32% of voters have a positive view of Scott, but 43% have a negative view. About 10% of voters hold no opinion about the incumbent, while more than 35% of respondents say the same of Mucarsel-Powell. Of those who did have feelings about the Democrat, more than 26% have a positive view and some 25% have a negative view.
In the signature enthusiasm and hatred scores for the pollsters, Mucarsel-Powell has the better score in both. With a 69% enthusiasm index to Scott’s 65%, and with a 76% hatred index to the incumbent’s 90%.
“Scott’s underperformance as compared to Trump can be largely attributed to lower party loyalty,” Galbreath wrote. “Trump pulls in 94% of the vote among Republican-aligned voters, but Scott only gets 88% among the same group.”
PollReport FL GE 09-30-24 by Jacob Ogles on Scribd
46 comments
Bobblehead Kammy
September 30, 2024 at 9:12 am
Time to look for work Debbie. The party is over. It actually never began.
A day without Libturds
September 30, 2024 at 1:21 pm
Watching them loose the senate is going to be glorious.
4 more years of excuse making and a blue wave of tears.
AM
September 30, 2024 at 3:04 pm
At least spell it right, its lose.
Michael Coulson
September 30, 2024 at 11:06 pm
He loves the uneducated
A day without Libturds
October 1, 2024 at 1:44 pm
So he loves you.
Jojo
October 1, 2024 at 10:25 am
Guess what Kammie… it’s not going to make any difference who wins the election because vice president Harris is going to certify the election in her favor.
Remember what the orange one was asking vice president Pence to do? What good for the goose…
A Day without MAGA
September 30, 2024 at 10:01 am
Another Cat 5 will wipe the GOP off their foundation,as early as next weekend, Florida will be visited by the Ghost of hurricane past , present and Future,MAGA Mafia arrested by DOJ for threatening Congress woman Paulina Google Braddock Paulina Google Trump Sexual Assaults Campaign Ad Google NAR Trump Cult
A day without Libturds
September 30, 2024 at 11:17 am
Your Blue party promotion technique is both sad and pathetic. Any normal candidate would be up by 20 points against a convicted felon yet you are on track to be defeated. That’s how bad your candidate is!
The Cat In The MAGA Hat
September 30, 2024 at 12:16 pm
Because people like support rapist, Trump if you have not raped your yourself
A day without Libturds
September 30, 2024 at 12:20 pm
You’re flailing and proving you flunked English.
The Cat In The MAGA Hat
September 30, 2024 at 12:27 pm
Any man that do not care about their , mother, wife ,grandmother,sister niece and any other significant female in their life and vote for the Rapist Trump , probably have hatred of women generally like you
A day without Libturds
September 30, 2024 at 12:47 pm
Wasn’t convicted of that. Besides, Your cult leaders Biden and Harris let in thousands of illegals convicted of rape. You are pro rape and a bad liar.
PeterH
September 30, 2024 at 10:37 am
Women outnumber men in Florida 52-48 and independent voters come close to equaling the quantity of voters registered for each of the two major Party’s.
That said, Florida, Georgia, Arizona, Texas, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Michigan are all very close and are in play!
A day without Libturds
September 30, 2024 at 11:21 am
You blue cultists have been saying that for years. Florida is a red state.
Bobblehead Kammy
September 30, 2024 at 12:35 pm
Yes and Peter H claims he is an independent, yet always makes the statement to “vote all Republicans out of office”.
The Cat In The MAGA Hat
September 30, 2024 at 12:18 pm
Because people like support rapist, Trump if you have not raped your yourself
Frauds
September 30, 2024 at 12:36 pm
This is a state of people who are ok with criminals as their leaders. Trump and Scott have both broken the law and they still think they are what they want as leaders.. what does that say about them ?? Both committed fraud. At least on has committed rape.. they both serially lie, and both are millionaires. They are really going to help the middle and lower classes. Get real
A day without Libturds
September 30, 2024 at 12:48 pm
Again, Wasn’t convicted of that. Besides, Your cult leaders Biden and Harris let in thousands of illegals convicted of rape. You are pro rape and a bad liar.
Cat 5 Helene
September 30, 2024 at 1:12 pm
You are anti woman, probably hate your mother like Trump, because Trump mother did not love Trump Google Mary Trump I Created A Monster
A day without Libturds
September 30, 2024 at 1:19 pm
You are pro rape, pro violent crime, pro censorship, pro inflation pro illegal immigration and a poor liar.
In other words, pure scum.
Cat 5 Helene
September 30, 2024 at 1:27 pm
You are a pure Trump Rapist supporter
A day without Libturds
September 30, 2024 at 2:45 pm
You support Thousands of illegal rapists, scumbag piece of shit.
cassandra was right
September 30, 2024 at 2:07 pm
NY law requires penis be involved for rape conviction. There was a lack of full jury agreement on Trump’s penis. Jury was convinced of Trump’s finger penetration. The judge stated it was rape. Dictionary, medical, and common understanding of “rape” includes ANY non-consensual penetration. So, while Trump’s action did not meet NY legal definition for rape conviction, it was in fact rape. Trump is a rapist. There is no disagreement on that fact.
A day without pro rape cassandra
September 30, 2024 at 2:52 pm
You just admitted to lying. That’s all you scumbags do. Sucks to be you.
Ocean Joe
September 30, 2024 at 3:45 pm
Dont know about NY, but Digital penetration of the vagina qualifies as sexual battery in Florida. We dont have a statute using the word “rape.” Had Trump committed the same behavior here, other than a problem with the statute of limitations, sexual battery is the proper name for it.
He also tried to rape the whole country on Jan 6.
Send me some salt, maggot.
AM
September 30, 2024 at 3:06 pm
OJ wasn’t convicted of murder either. We all know that sleazeball Trump did it.
Michael K
September 30, 2024 at 4:29 pm
He was adjudicated for sexual abuse.
Sexual abuse.
And not an isolated incident.
AM
September 30, 2024 at 3:07 pm
Both suck, lets not vote for the rapist though. Kamala 2024!
Cat 5 Helene
September 30, 2024 at 1:09 pm
The judge ruled he did commit rape
A day without Libturds
September 30, 2024 at 1:17 pm
“The verdict was split: Jurors rejected Carroll’s claim that she was raped, finding Trump responsible for a lesser degree”
Source: AP
You Libturds are pathetic liars.
The Cat In The MAGA Hat
September 30, 2024 at 1:49 pm
So you accepted the fact he committed sexual abuse
A day without Libturds
September 30, 2024 at 2:49 pm
So you accepted the fact Biden and Harris let in thousands of illegals convicted of rape.
cassandra was right
September 30, 2024 at 2:16 pm
The “lesser degree” was Trump’s non consensual finger penetration. As the judge found, that is rape! Trump raped EJean! Just doesn’t meet the archaic definition of penis — vagina penetration required for a NY conviction.
A day without pro rape cassandra
September 30, 2024 at 2:50 pm
Moving the goalpost again, rape enabler!
Cat 5 Helene
September 30, 2024 at 1:25 pm
You are justifying rape, they did not reward Carroll almost 100 million dollars for Trump giving her a hug,the Judge define that Trump raped Carrol in his ruling Google Carrol Rape Judge
A day without Libturds
September 30, 2024 at 2:48 pm
Biden and harris let in thousands of illegals convicted of rape. You are pro rape.
PeterH
September 30, 2024 at 3:25 pm
Statement without any evidence!
A day with out Libturds.
September 30, 2024 at 4:03 pm
Aaron Heitke Chief patrol agent house testimony, stupid libturd. Go crawl back under your rock peeter puffer.
A Day without MAGA
September 30, 2024 at 4:19 pm
They have testimony of women that Trump sexual abuse and went public Google Trump Sexual Assault Victims
A day without Libturds
October 1, 2024 at 1:53 pm
Biden-Harris released 13,000 convicted killers into the US. You libturds must be so proud.
The Sage "E"
September 30, 2024 at 6:47 pm
Guess what “DOOKS”?
Us Sage Conservatives are intentionally making “THE BIG RED WAVE” look smaller than it is to make sure all our Sage Voters come out and vote…your side “THE DOOKS” are going to loose badly,
The Sage “E”
Jojo
October 1, 2024 at 7:24 am
It would be nice to wake up in a state where I knew that more of my fellow citizens were tired of the lies, the misogyny, the meanness, the grift… and voted them out
Tom
October 1, 2024 at 8:00 am
The whole ‘sunny place for shady people’ thing is getting kind of old. Time to move on with new management. We only have one trump sign in the neighborhood this year. In 2020, there were dozens. Maybe folks finally caught on.
A day without Libturds
October 1, 2024 at 1:49 pm
Yeah, the caught on to how violent you libturds are.
My Take
October 3, 2024 at 12:07 pm
We only have one trump sign in the neighborhood this year.
========
Same here. But a scattering of Harris signs
A day without Libturds
October 1, 2024 at 1:51 pm
You blue turds are incompetent. All you do is fail. It’s really sad you are dumb enough to believe they will suddenly fix all the problems they caused. Sucker!
Comments are closed.