Donald Trump sues Iowa pollster, newspaper and publisher for errant pre-election survey
Image via AP.

Donald Trump Iowa caucus
Trump claims the poll created a false narrative to boost Democrats in a state he won resoundingly.

A shock last-minute Iowa poll showed Kamala Harris poised to win the Hawkeye State in this year’s election.

The survey from Ann Selzer in the Des Moines Register showing the Vice President up 3 points in Iowa and up 20 points with women ended up being way off, and now Donald Trump is seeking redress in court for the “attempt to influence” the 2024 election.

“Contrary to reality and defying credulity, Defendants’ Harris Poll was published three days before Election Day and purported to show Harris leading President Trump in Iowa by three points (see Register Article); President Trump ultimately won Iowa by over thirteen points,” the filing in Iowa’s Polk County says.

Trump wants actual damages amounting to recompense for money spent in Iowa after the survey offered faulty guidance, statutory damages tripling the actual damages and attorneys fees.

Trump is also seeking injunctive relief for the “willful and wanton” poll and publication, “including an order enjoining Defendants and their associates from publishing or releasing any further deceptive polls designed to influence the outcome of an election and requiring Defendants to disclose all data and information upon which they relied in creating, publishing, and releasing the Harris Poll.”

The filing contends the poll was election interference, intended to “create a false narrative of inevitability for Harris in the final week of the 2024 Presidential Election,” via “manipulation” that “creates a narrative of inevitability for Democrat candidates, increases enthusiasm among Democrats, compels Republicans to divert campaign time and money to areas in which they are ahead, and deceives the public into believing that Democrat candidates are performing better than they really are.”

The crosstabs painted an improbable narrative, as the Trump camp noted last month.

“In the outlier Des Moines Register poll, they claim Harris leads with seniors (age 65+) by 19 points (55-36). In 2020, President Trump carried seniors 54-45 over Biden according to CNN exit polls. The Emerson College poll released today concurs with the CNN exits from 2020, with President Trump solidly ahead 54-45 among voters aged 60-69, and 54-44 among voters aged 70+,” the Trump camp said

After the poll, PredictIt showed a Harris “Yes” share, indicating that she would be the winner of the Presidential Election, at 58 cents. That was up from 50 cents before the poll dropped.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has been the Northeast Florida correspondent for Florida Politics since 2014. His work also can be seen in the Washington Post, the New York Post, the Washington Times, and National Review, among other publications. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


18 comments

  • Y. Knott

    December 17, 2024 at 12:49 pm

    Why not?
    The real target should be the media who publish these falsehoods. Whether or not this was an attempt to sway the election with deliberately falsified data is something the jury will, I hope, get a chance to decide. But the court of public opinion has already spoken: nobody is going trust the polling industry again for a long, long time, and in future campaigns candidates and their managers are going to budget a lot less money for polling.

    • Red Storm

      December 17, 2024 at 1:42 pm

      One of the reasons I finally fired my local newspaper after years of being a subscriber. The editorial staff was politically one sided and they published phony polls in an attempt to influence voters and the election.

      • MH/Duuuval

        December 17, 2024 at 2:00 pm

        BIDEN CRIME FAMILY LIE: “Alexander Smirnov, the former FBI informant charged with lying about Hunter Biden’s overseas business deals, pleaded guilty on Monday in Los Angeles to federal charges of making a false claim and tax evasion.”

      • The Cat In The MAGA Hat

        December 17, 2024 at 9:42 pm

        MAGA is imploding,as this is being typed Google Hagseth Jan 6

        • MH/Duuuval

          December 18, 2024 at 10:32 am

          MAGA like a swarm of Florida gnats, blown in by a west or south wind, who will be blown back only when the wind changes.

        • Adolf Biden

          December 20, 2024 at 10:44 am

          Cry for another 4 years, You lost!

          • MH/Duuuval

            December 21, 2024 at 8:27 am

            Ed Stalin: You mean the country lost. You imagine that you have gained because your net worth stands to rise and your various peccadillos regarding the behavior and views of others will predominate. A Pyrrhic victory for you: fire, smoke, ashes.

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  • Michael

    December 17, 2024 at 2:02 pm

    As shown during the campaign, Trump knows he can sway a lot of gullible, low-information people with complete bullsh*t. Anyone can pay a lawyer to draft up a lawsuit “alleging” anything. So, this lawsuit, like all others that allege all kinds of wrongdoing, but offer not one iota of actual proof of such wrongdoing, are not called “bullsh*t” in legal circles, but rather are called “without merit” and dismissed in pre-trial summary judgement. However, the reporting of the dismissal never receives the same publicity and the low-information people remain their uninformed selves for the rest of their lives.

  • Ocean Joe

    December 17, 2024 at 2:39 pm

    Can Trump be sued if he fails to lower grocery prices despite claiming he would?
    Well of course not, that’s as absurd as suing over a faulty poll or false claims that an election was stolen. Say, when is he going to turn over the evidence?

    • MH/Duuuval

      December 17, 2024 at 5:54 pm

      DJT already distancing himself from this promise. Within a few months Trump will deny he ever made such a promise without being challenged by folks strapped to pay $9 for a large jar of mayo. Trump was just joshin’.

      The peace in Ukraine Trump promised to bring on the first day in office will be nowhere to be seen, but MAGAs will attempt to cut off the flow of funds to the Uks.

  • PeterH

    December 17, 2024 at 4:09 pm

    Trump files many lawsuits ……. most of them go nowhere. This frivolous Trump Klown Act will go nowhere!

    • MH/Duuuval

      December 18, 2024 at 10:29 am

      Unfortunately for the public, Disney/ABC caved — probably still suffering PTSD from DeSantis’ “groomer” assaults on Disney in Florida. Trump loves a patsy.

      Des Moines Register is a shadow of its former circulation, so the financial investors may surrender without a fight.

      Polls have been known to be wrong. I’m thinking some poll respondents, the “respectable” types, don’t want to admit they favored Trump. (Like the folks in Ponte Vedra Beach who went all out publicly for W in 2000 but keep a low profile for DJT — while overwhelmingly voting for him.)

  • EARL PITTS AMERICAN

    December 17, 2024 at 7:19 pm

    Good evening Sage Patriots & Dook 4 Brains Leftys,
    The harsh punishment of these liars, cheaters, and Dooks will set a “SAGE EXAMPLE” by showing “The Dook 4 Brains Leftists” that:
    CHEATERS NEVER WIN AND WINNERS NEVER CHEAT.
    IN CLOSING:
    Everyone is now free to Relax Their Sphincters and enjoy a great night’s Sphincter Relaxing Sleep.
    Thank you, Sage Patriots & Dook 4 Brains Leftys,

  • The Cat In The MAGA Hat

    December 17, 2024 at 9:38 pm

    He is a felon,their is no legal basis for the suit

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  • EARL PITTS "SAGE PATRIOT" AMERICAN

    December 19, 2024 at 6:49 pm

    Good evening Sage Patriots & Dook 4 Brains Leftys,
    Its just so gratifying to watch these “Propped Up” “Heros” of the Harris/Biden “Dookministration” fall from grace as “The @ss Clowns” that they have been all along.
    As a “Sage Patriot” it makes me “Relax My Political Sphincter” and rejoice that I never was a “Dook 4 Brains Lefty”.
    Thank you, Sage Patriots & Dook 4 Brains Leftys,
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Comments are closed.


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