Florida Politics - Campaigns & Elections. Lobbying & Government.

Scott PowersOctober 10, 2018

Democratic incumbent U.S. Rep. Darren Soto may be in a tighter race than many expect with Republican challenger Wayne Liebnitzky in Florida’s 9th Congressional District. A new SurveyUSA poll of 535 likely voters in the district, commissioned by Orlando cable outlet Spectrum News 13, gives Soto 48 percent and Liebnitzky 40 percent in their rematch. In 2016, Soto won by […]

Steve VancoreMarch 8, 2016

A pattern is forming here. According to the latest rounds of polls, Donald Trump’s lead in the upcoming GOP primary appears to be larger in polls conducted via auto-dialers (a.k.a. IVR technology) than those conducted via live operators. We saw late last month where the Quinnipiac numbers showed Trump up by a very strong 20 points over Marco […]

Bob SparksNovember 7, 2015

Political opinion polls can be useful, but they can also be dangerous in a figurative sense. Those thinking the election is over because a poll says so can be in for the shock of their lives. Polls can get it wrong in a big way. We have some recent examples. Going into Tuesday night’s statewide […]

Bob SparksNovember 5, 2015

Political opinion polls can be useful, but they can also be dangerous in a figurative sense. Those thinking the election is over because a poll says so can be in for the shock of their lives. Polls can get it wrong in a big way. We have some recent examples. Going into Tuesday night’s statewide […]

Steve VancoreNovember 4, 2015

It was trumpeted (pun intended) as an “Exclusive Poll” for Bay News 9, and it showed Trump so far in the lead we just had to scratch our heads. Anytime you have an outlier poll with unusual findings it is vital that you turn a skeptical eye to the results – and so we did. […]

Steve VancoreNovember 4, 2015

It was trumpeted (pun intended) as an “Exclusive Poll” for Bay News 9, and it showed Trump so far in the lead we just had to scratch our heads. Anytime you have an outlier poll with unusual findings it is vital that you turn a skeptical eye to the results – and so we did. […]

Tag: SurveyUSA

New CD 9 poll: Darren Soto holds eight-point lead over Wayne Liebnitzky

Salt Shaker Test on new Monmouth poll: Donald Trump’s lead back down to earth

Bob Sparks: Polls have recently missed the mark; how about the GOP presidential field?

Bob Sparks: Polls have recently missed the mark; how about the GOP presidential field?

Salt Shaker Test applied to latest Florida GOP PPP poll

Salt Shaker Test applied to latest Florida GOP PPP poll