Jenna Buzzacco-Foerster
Donald Trump’s appeal among voters who self-identify as Republicans but are registered as Democrats could pose a challenge to his campaign, according to a New York Times report.
According to New York Times reporter Nate Cohn, the New York businessman and Republican front-runner has dominated national polls “in no small part because he is extremely strong among people on the periphery of the Republican coalition.”
Cohn found Trump’s strongest Republican supporters are those “who are less affluent, less educated and less likely to turn out to vote.” However, his best voters are “self-identified Republicans who nonetheless are registered as Democrats.”
Data provided to The Upshot by Civis Analytics, a Democratic data firm, showed Trump has broad support across all major demographic groups. According to the report, he leads among “Republican women and among people in well-educated and affluent areas.”
According to the report, Trump appears to be strongest among Democrats who identify as Republican leaners. That could be problematic for his campaign, since many states bar voters registered with other parties from participating in partisan primaries. In Florida, for example, only registered Republicans can vote in the March 15 Republican primary.
Turnout could also be problematic for Trump. The New York Times reported that Civis data showed him winning “40 percent of the vote among those it gave less than a 20 percent chance of participating in the general election — let alone in the primary.”
The question of whether Trump’s supporters will turn out to caucuses and primaries has been widely discussed.
Jenna Johnson with The Washington Post reported last week that Trump staff members have been working to get commitments from supporters in early voting states that they will turn out on Election Day. In Iowa, Johnson reported, Trump state co-chairs “walk the crowd through how the caucuses work and urge them to attend.”
According to The New York Times report, while the campaign will “need to mobilize these less-likely voters to maximize his strength,” Trump still holds a comfortable lead among higher-turnout voters and registered Republicans. That means while he may need to reach out to irregular voters to help boost his advantage, “there is no reason to believe that his support would simply evaporate among a traditional Republican primary electorate.”
3 comments
Kru
December 31, 2015 at 8:53 pm
Just what the he** is a Democrat who “self-identifies” as a Republican anyway???
Dave Francis
December 31, 2015 at 9:13 pm
Why do you think the massive multinational companies restructure across the Southern border? It’s not just because of cheaper working conditions, but they are relieved of the highest taxes dumped on corporate and industrial complex here. This is why we need Donald Trump as he understands the cogs of businesses and how to grease them. A huge Ford auto plant is reestablishing itself in Mexico, costing over $2 billion plus dollars. There go thousands of more jobs and another plant is closing down. That’s not to forget the dollars spent in our economy in stores, supermarkets and every small business you can think of? Same with the Nabisco company multifaceted entities vanishing just inside the border of Mexico. These types of businesses have been re-established in not just Mexico, but thousands of other places outside our jurisdiction, where they are not governed by US law. Look at Detroit, where the streets are full of empty premises and padlocked factories.
It’s no different from east coast to the western coastline. The consequences are unrest among the blue collar workers. Every citizen and lawful residence should apprehend that the homelessness, the poverty is all manmade. Why more food stamps; why are our Vets suffering? There should be no need for these military men and women, having to except assistance from charities for any degree of help. It should be available from the US government? Why is Obama spending billions of $$$$$ on foreign nationals, while our seniors and retirees suffer?
What do we get in return–NOTHING! Cheap products! That’s fine if you are not looking for a job like multimillions of Americans and legal immigrants. This is been going on through former President George Bush and seven years of Obama. The answer food stamps and hundreds of billions of dollars out of the federal and state tills, via the taxpayer that manages to keep any job while this Liberal President welcomes unknown numbers of illegal aliens and supporting them with taxpayer’s funds.
This is exactly why the Corporate CEO’s and the Democratic wealthy hate the chance that a ‘Peoples President” Donald Trump can discontinue the Status Que. Trump has disowned by the GOP establishment and the thought that this estate developer may just win the White House. Trump being elected instead of two legislatures that are strongly influenced by the money peddlers, supplied to them by billionaires and the rich who want absolutely no changes to any government agency in power.
Personages as a team member of the GOP Syndicate Jeb Bush, John Kasich, Chris Christie are all tied to the same brush, and must fulfill their obligation to the special interests, the Super PAC’s; the money people and their pledges to supply on the floor of the senate or House what they demand? After all they paid for their loyalty in campaign funds, cheap mortgages, luxury trips, and who knows what else? My guess is bank accounts in the Cayman Islands Jersey of the British Islands or any place off limits to the IRS.
Remember the brown paper bag incident filled with hundred dollar bills hidden in a House Representative fridge found by the oversight committee. You cannot tell me this is not rampant in Washington? The Quid pro Quo is alive and well, from the White house, State Department and Trump will dislodge them all.
I really don’t have much to say about the Democratic nominee, Hillary Clinton except that the State Department, Department of Justice excluding the heavyweights in the Federal Bureau of Investigation is good at covering up wrongdoings. This Clinton’s cannot escape their past and it will all be resurrected as the race for the Oval office moves forward. In my eyes at least she is a criminal and she will slime her way through, using whatever method is available to her. Trump is already getting a barrage of flak from the lady, but he will eat her up in a debate. I imagine radical Democrats and the Republican elitists are scratching their head, trying to dig up a little piece of dirt on Trump, but they are failing miserably.
Bernie Sanders doesn’t even deserve any word; he has a Communist acumen of controlling the people, in a different way to the Democrats. But even the GOP Syndicate have there own method to control us. Sanders backers like the something for nothing, free higher education, an open border and without enforcement bringing into the country more uneducated, more carriers of diseases, free health care, free food stamps and welfare programs; much the same as the Democrats and Liberals.
PASS IT ALONG.
Dave Francis
December 31, 2015 at 9:14 pm
Our fate is in the voter’s hands and I, with many of my friends believed we have judged right and Donald Trump should be our new President? Haven’t we had enough of either political party, who are more interested in their own future, than arising to what the people yearn for?
Lately, have you not tried to buy a shirt, jeans, or shoes manufactured in America? As Donald Trump stated when confronted by the enormous crowds he attracts; he has seen the massive container ships entering our ports, which is just part of the massive fleets of vessels importing cars, trucks, and auto parts from Japan, China. What do the American people get from these products–certainly cheaper products? The importation of goods under the banner of Free Trade has been some of the worst policies our delegates have negotiated. Yes! From the country of origin, it is (FTAs) FREE TRADE, but for the United States of America, we get zero in tariffs. While on the other side of the coin ‘WE ARE STILL PAYING TARIFFS’ to foreign custom authorities for all our goods.
Trumps narration covers this extremely important point that we are overwhelmed with cheap goods from across the world, but we fail to consider our own manufacturers. Some years back after leaving services, I entered the world of commercial shipping. While In Kobe, Japan I never saw any American cars making a difference in other foreign countries. Although in Tokyo I recognized British Bentleys, Rolls Royse of the very rich. Any importer will describe our hard it is to introduce products or food stuffs into Japan? Yet, we import so much, because we have the highest concentration of consumers in the world, so we have a powerful advantage over Japan, China, and India, South Korea and a whole index of other nations, including Mexico.
In our Nation it makes absolute commonsense to lower taxes on businesses, cut down on the red tape and shred the rules and regulations raining down on any company that is trying to build a foundation; its unwelcoming environment of state and federal codes, building laws and the bureaucratic nightmare. Trumps answer is to lower corporate and business taxes, so we have revitalization of small entry level entrepreneurs, franchises and new business.
This Liberal President has signed onto numerous executive orders that can be thankfully undone, thus creating a thriving and exceptional America first and for its population. However, the two main parties are too timid and without courage other than Senator Ted Cruz who voices a piece of his mind from his seat in Congress.
The winners every time are the affluent, the powerful and scoreboard of the special interests. The Slims, the George Soros and the Koch brothers will do anything to topple Donald Trump. They are the investors and bankers that own our politicians. As I said, the king of deals has his own power grid of advisors, who can “Make America Great Again” Its that promise that I trust, The multinational companies that are carefully positioned just outside the US border, will play by the rules of Fair Trade or be charged 56 % on anything imported into our land. China will have genuflected to the Trump in the White House, for the prior manipulation of its currency. Those who have entertained moving their businesses to a foreign nation will hesitate and think and unable to buy the ‘Donald’ will return with their tail between their legs.
As Mr. Trump has said, we need to renegotiate our trade agreements, so we really have free trade, not the one-sided affair we have now? Trump has the best measurement of consultants possible and the means to pay for them. Trump wants businessmen as retired Investor Carl Icahn making the deals and not Civil Servants such as John Kerry, and all his cronies, who probably have their hand in the cookie jar. Mr. Trump has an insider knowledge and ultimate experience of the wheeling and dealing of contracting and government abuse.
Comments are closed.