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Carlos Curbelo in serious trouble, new CD 26 polling shows

Carlos Curbelo has serious trouble in Florida’s 26th Congressional District, roughly a year out from the general election.

A Public Policy Polling survey of registered voters taken last week shows the Republican incumbent with an approval rating of only 37 percent; 46 percent disapprove of the job he is doing.

Three Democrats have filed to face Curbelo — Debbie Mucarsel PowellSteven Machat and Steve Smith — with much of the Democratic establishment lining up behind Murcarsel Powell.

According to the poll, a hypothetical “Democratic opponent” leads Curbelo 53 to 39 percent.

As for tax reform, to the extent that people know what’s in the bill being negotiated by congressional Republicans and President Donald Trump, a slight majority (52 percent) indicated that they would be less likely to support Curbelo if he voted for the plan.

In CD 26, Trump’s numbers are even worse. The president gets the same anemic 37 percent support as Curbelo, with 59 percent disapproving his performance.

Curbelo has been a prime target for House Democrats for months now, and that was before the president’s numbers started fading in recent months. He also has a considerable war chest — over $1.3 million — to win the seat that he originally captured in 2016 by defeating Joe Garcia by 12 points.

Located in far South Florida, CD 26 contains all of Monroe County (Key West) as well as part of southwest Miami-Dade County.

PPP, a North Carolina-based Democratic polling firm, surveyed 522 voters in the CD 26 through automated telephone interviews on Nov. 8-9. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percent.

 

 

Written By

Mitch Perry has been a reporter with Extensive Enterprises since November of 2014. Previously, he served five years as political editor of the alternative newsweekly Creative Loafing. Mitch also was assistant news director with WMNF 88.5 FM in Tampa from 2000-2009, and currently hosts MidPoint, a weekly talk show, on WMNF on Thursday afternoons. He began his reporting career at KPFA radio in Berkeley and is a San Francisco native who has lived in Tampa since 2000. Mitch can be reached at mitch.perry@floridapolitics.com.

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