New poll shows support for Donald Trump split in Florida

mental illness guns Trump
The poll suggests the swing state might be a tossup for Trump.

Floridians are split on whether they approve of President Donald Trump’s job performance.

In a statewide poll of registered voters released this weekend by St. Pete Polls, 48 percent of Floridians approve of the job Trump is doing while 49 percent disapprove. The remaining 3 percent are unsure. 

The results of the poll suggest a possible tossup for Trump in the swing state considered one of the most important to win in presidential elections.

With the margin between approval and disapproval so narrow, Trump’s success in Florida could go either way. 

The results are — not surprisingly — quite partisan.

Of Democrats polled, only 18 percent approve of Trump’s job performance while 78 percent disapprove. Among Republicans, 80 percent approve while only 18 percent disapprove. 

The key for Trump is likely to boil down to independent voter support. Among those, 45 percent approve of his job performance while 52 percent disapprove. 

According to the poll, Trump also enjoys the largest support among white voters with 56 percent indicating a favorable opinion of Trump’s job performance and 42 percent having an unfavorable opinion.

His support is lowest among black voters. Only 12 percent approve of his job performance while an overwhelming 80 percent disapprove. 

The majority of Hispanic voters disapprove of Trump’s job performance, but the margin is narrow with 48 percent indicating a favorable opinion and 49 percent an unfavorable opinion. 

One demographic that might come as a surprise to Trump critics is his support among women. More women approve of Trump than disapprove, though the margin is just 0.7 of a percentage point.

Men indicated a 50 percent disapproval rating while only 47 percent approved of Trump’s job performance. 

The survey was conducted Aug. 21-22 among 1,941 registered voters statewide and has a 2.2 percent margin of error. The poll was conducted among 747 Democrats and 746 Republicans. The remaining 448 voters were independent. 

Nearly 65 percent of those surveyed were white voters while 14 percent were black and 13 percent Hispanic. The others were either Asian or Pacific Islander or identified as another race. 

Progress Florida Executive Director Mark Ferrulo said:

“Florida is the swingiest of swing states and this poll is further evidence that the biggest prize up for grabs November 2020 will be decided by a hair’s breadth

“However, the fact Trump is significantly underwater with Florida’s independent voters, the fastest-growing segment of the electorate, is likely causing some sleepless nights for Team MAGA.

“Trump’s high disapproval numbers in Florida are the result of a multitude of factors, but chief among them are his failure to advance an economy that works for everyone, unrelenting undermining of access to health care, and war on immigrants.”

Janelle Irwin Taylor

Janelle Irwin Taylor has been a professional journalist covering local news and politics in Tampa Bay since 2003. Most recently, Janelle reported for the Tampa Bay Business Journal. She formerly served as senior reporter for WMNF News. Janelle has a lust for politics and policy. When she’s not bringing you the day’s news, you might find Janelle enjoying nature with her husband, children and two dogs. You can reach Janelle at [email protected]


10 comments

  • gary

    August 26, 2019 at 8:35 am

    Trump will run the table in 2020!
    Watch

  • Jim

    August 26, 2019 at 9:23 am

    “Gary” is an odd name for a robot.

    • Jon

      August 27, 2019 at 12:46 pm

      Name calling! Is that all you got!

      Answer… That is all any Democrat has!

      Class dismissed!

  • Sandy Oestreich

    August 26, 2019 at 12:42 pm

    Unless we want a re-run of the most lying, cheating, psychopathic President ever to invite a US sanctioned nation to mess with our elections..

    WE CITIZENS OF USA MUST GET TO WORK NOW:
    WRITING POSTCARDS TO NON-VOTING VOTERS, SIGNING UP TO MONITOR LOCAL, STATE AND FEDERAL ELECTIONS, DOOR TO DOOR CAMPAIGNING FOR ABT (ANYBODY BUT TRUMP), DONATING ALL WE CAN TO OUR CANDIDATES, SPEAKING UP AND OUT RE: ABT, EVERYWHERE, DO MORE! NOW IS THE TIME! LET’S SQUELCH TRUMP’S FAKE NEWS SO THAT ALL PEOPLE KNOW WHAT TRUMP HAS DONE AND WILL DO if we re-elect him!

    AND, YOUR OWN VOTE HAS NEVER BEEN QUITE THIS ESSENTIAL! START NOW..THIS IS YOUR INVITATION!

    • George

      August 27, 2019 at 12:48 pm

      Mueller report says different! Perhaps you should read it!

      MAGA 2020!

  • VoteDem2020

    August 26, 2019 at 12:53 pm

    There’s a likelihood that Trump could lose both Texas and Florida in 2020. If that does occur, it could signal the extinction of the Republican Party. In any event, in 2020, it will be the farmers, cowboys, hillbillies, and rednecks versus the urbanites and suburbanites. Given that mix in the 2020 competition, and that the young, blacks, Hispanics, Jews, suburban women, and college-educated white males largely disapprove of Trump and his cult, Trump could lose the 2020 election worse than Goldwater lost in 1964 (61% to 39%). Currently, polls show that Biden, Warren, and Sanders would each beat Trump going head-to-head.

    • gary

      August 27, 2019 at 12:51 pm

      Apparently you slept through the best night in history 11/08/2016 when the criminal with a 95% chance of winning the election got beat, not just beat, she got humiliated and destroyed!

      God Bless DJT #45

  • DavidW

    August 26, 2019 at 2:38 pm

    Didn’t your polls have Gillum up by 7?

    • gary

      August 27, 2019 at 12:52 pm

      #FakePolls it’s what the Democrats use to manipulate weak minds into band wagon voting!

  • Dan Lanske

    August 26, 2019 at 9:46 pm

    lol Trump is tied. And thats with media 24/7 bashing him. He hasn’t even baarely begun to campaign for 2020 yet. Wait until he starts pouring money into ad blitz. He will easily win Florida, and get reelected.

Comments are closed.


#FlaPol

Florida Politics is a statewide, new media platform covering campaigns, elections, government, policy, and lobbying in Florida. This platform and all of its content are owned by Extensive Enterprises Media.

Publisher: Peter Schorsch @PeterSchorschFL

Contributors & reporters: Phil Ammann, Renzo Downey, Roseanne Dunkelberger, A.G. Gancarski, Anne Geggis, Kelly Hayes, Joe Henderson, Ryan Nicol, Jacob Ogles, Scott Powers, Gray Rohrer, Aimee Sachs, Jesse Scheckner, Christine Sexton, Andrew Wilson, Wes Wolfe, and Mike Wright.

Email: [email protected]
Twitter: @PeterSchorschFL
Phone: (727) 642-3162
Address: 204 37th Avenue North #182
St. Petersburg, Florida 33704




Sign up for Sunburn


Categories