Jacob Ogles
An internal poll from Dane Eagle’s campaign shows him leading the field in Florida’s 19th Congressional District.
The survey, conducted by Gainesville-based Data Targeting, shows that if the Republican primary were held today, 23% of respondents would vote for the Cape Coral lawmaker.
Behind Eagle, the poll shows 21% favoring state Rep. Byron Donalds, 19% supporting Naples physician William Figlesthaler, 15% choosing Naples businessman Casey Askar and 14% uncertain.
Fort Myers Mayor Randy Henderson landed in single digits with 6% of the vote. Disabilities activist Darren Aquino, Ave Maria law grad Christy McLaughlin and former Minnesota lawmaker Dan Severson all register 1% support. Collier County Sheriff’s Deputy Daniel Kowal didn’t register any support.
The poll, conducted July 23, included responses from 282 voters. Pollsters report a margin of error of 5.7%. That’s a margin larger that Eagle’s lead over his two closest opponents in the poll.
But pollsters also asked respondents to list their second choices, and Eagle once again led there. About 20% of voters call Eagle their second choice, while 19% say Askar. Donalds and Figlesthaler were the second pick for 16% of voters each. About 9% said Henderson, 5% McLaughlin, 4% Aquino, 2% Severson and 1% Kowal.
Internal polls should be taken with a grain of salt. However, no other campaign has publicly shared results on their own internal surveys in the race, though several hinted they at least have access to such data.
Notably, Eagle’s internal poll showed similar results among the same top four candidates as a St. Pete Polls survey Florida Politics commissioned, which showed Askar leading, followed by Donalds, Figlesthaler and Eagle. The poll was taken on July 6, ahead of a barrage of negative attention on other candidates.
Eagle, while trailing behind self-funders Askar and Figlesthaler in cash on hand, leads both in outside donations as of the end of the second quarter. He holds a cash advantage over Donalds, the only candidate to have raised more in outside contributions.
Eagle also recently released his first television ad, one drawing contrast between himself and opponents regarding experience in elected office.
Eagle Internal Poll 7-23-20 by Jacob Ogles on Scribd
5 comments
Larry Gillis, Cape Coral
July 25, 2020 at 12:54 pm
How about a discussion of POLICY here?
This article is really about Sanibel money versus Naples money, or some silly metric like that. (The Democratic equivalent would be too terrible to contemplate).
How about Big Government against Minimum Government, or maybe the airing of some actual Platform proposals (like a presumption in favor of voter eligibility)?
Larry Gillis, Libertarian
Kris
July 26, 2020 at 2:10 am
Discussion of policy is good and this site and others have done so frequently. It’s not accurate to suggest that Florida Politics has to choose between publishing policy discussion or articles covering new polling data. There is no reason there can’t be BOTH, and while there are numerous resources on the internet to study the candidates’ policies and the differences between them, this is one of the only sources(It may be the ONLY source) for information on polls conducted in the CD-19 race. This site, like nearly every other news blog, strives to print pieces that provide news and information that readers want to read. I’m sure that the three articles I’ve seen reporting on new district polling garner a relatively large amount of interest compared to other topics related to this race, and the media does have some responsibility to provide people with information they are lacking, and every time a poll is conducted and reporting on, it provides the public with real data that helps everyone understand the state of the race and how candidates are possibly faring at this stage in the race, which is informative and valuable for many reasons.
Alex
July 26, 2020 at 12:00 am
No way this is legit. Look at the ages of people surveyed. 70% over the age of 65. Dane is up to his old tricks.
Aquino is going to win this race. He is the only one who is legit
Kid Youngman
July 26, 2020 at 2:21 am
It can’t POSSIBLY be true that SW Florida is both home to a large proportion of senior citizen voters, and that older voters vote in much higher numbers than younger ones, can it? If there is some big community of old people in this area, how come we never see anyone but young adults driving on our streets or shopping in our stores or golfing on our courses? I had to go to the hospital a few months ago and it felt like I was back in college at a frat party with all the twentysomethings getting procedures and not a gray hair in sight! No way will I ever believe that legions Boomers would leave their hometowns up north and relocate HERE in our community- why would someone work and live in Chicago or Cleveland and then once they are 65 or older, up and spend their retirement so far away from their homes and the lives they built up North! That’s insane
Alex
July 27, 2020 at 1:32 pm
True, but not 70%, lol.
It will be 45% MAX.
Comments are closed.