Ron DeSantis’ White House odds improve amid Republican surge

DeSantis
Trump continues to be the favorite, but DeSantis is gaining on Democrats.

Oddsmakers are seeing a surge in betting support for Republicans in upcoming election cycles, a trend that includes Gov. Ron DeSantis and a still hypothetical 2024 bid.

According to the self-described “betting aggregators” at US-Bookies.com, Florida’s Governor is quickly closing in on Vice President Kamala Harris when it comes to who gamblers think will win the White House in 2024.

Since Oct. 14, DeSantis’ odds improved from 11/1 (8.3%) to 8/1 (11.1%). Harris’ odds dipped from 11/2 (15.4%) to 13/2 (13.3%).

If DeSantis overtakes Harris, he could soon be within striking distance of President Joe Biden, whose odds are now 5/1.

However, former President Donald Trump is the betting favorite, with his odds having moved from 7/2 (22.2%) to 3/1 (25%) since Oct. 14.

“Donald Trump has gradually made his way to the top of the political betting markets, while the top Democratic challengers’ odds to win have weakened,” says a US-Bookies spokesperson. “Along with Trump’s positive movement, Ron DeSantis has also seen improvements in the presidential betting markets, making a Republican win seem more likely.”

Trump and DeSantis have continued to surge among bettors as the Biden administration has progressed, with elections in November driving action also.

Upon announcing DeSantis’ odds of 9/1, BoyleSports contended that while “former President Donald Trump remains the firm favorite for the Republican party nomination in the 2024 presidential election, support for Ron DeSantis is growing and his chances of getting into the White House in three years’ time are improving according to the betting.”

Prediction markets have told a similar story, with DeSantis eclipsing Harris and nearing Biden on those platforms also. The Governor was at one point just 1¢ below Biden on the PredictIt platform, but in recent days Biden has gained momentum. Currently, a Yes share for Biden is priced at 24¢, above DeSantis at 19¢.

However, former President Trump, priced at 30¢ for a Yes share, is the most attractive proposition for investors.

DeSantis continues to downplay interest in a 2024 run for the White House, but recent polling also shows momentum for the Governor as the most preferred Trump alternative, should the former President not run again.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has been the Northeast Florida correspondent for Florida Politics since 2014. His work also can be seen in the Washington Post, the New York Post, the Washington Times, and National Review, among other publications. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


4 comments

  • Captain Howdy

    November 29, 2021 at 2:01 pm

    Well thks should get the DeSantis haters like PeterH the Lincoln Project cabana boy to piss vinegar. LOL

    • Tom

      November 30, 2021 at 7:21 am

      Cabana boy, weasel H, more like Kool-Aid squeeze pop.
      LMAO.

  • Tom

    November 29, 2021 at 5:13 pm

    If # 45 runs, there is no reason for America’s Gov to do so. If 45 does not, after America’s Gov big convincing re elect he should consider.

    Giggles Harris had no chance vs Gov Ron, also Gov Ron at age 45 compared to ailing potus at 82 is a huge difference. DeSantis wins.

    Non the less, Trump will likely run. Gov Ron will not do so if he does. Just saying.

  • Charles

    November 29, 2021 at 7:42 pm

    D’Santis would destroy Harris.
    Just watched a video with D’Santis wife. She’s captivating and would be a huge plus in a national campaign. A likable, Intelligent, strong communicator who comes across as very genuine.

Comments are closed.


#FlaPol

Florida Politics is a statewide, new media platform covering campaigns, elections, government, policy, and lobbying in Florida. This platform and all of its content are owned by Extensive Enterprises Media.

Publisher: Peter Schorsch @PeterSchorschFL

Contributors & reporters: Phil Ammann, Drew Dixon, Roseanne Dunkelberger, A.G. Gancarski, Ryan Nicol, Jacob Ogles, Cole Pepper, Jesse Scheckner, Drew Wilson, and Mike Wright.

Email: [email protected]
Twitter: @PeterSchorschFL
Phone: (727) 642-3162
Address: 204 37th Avenue North #182
St. Petersburg, Florida 33704