Prediction market proclaims 2022 re-election bid is Ron DeSantis’ ‘race to lose’
Gov. DeSantis makes his point. Image via Colin Hackley.

FLAPOL030121CH05
The money just isn't there for Democrats.

Gov. Ron DeSantis enters 2022 riding high in his re-election bid, so much so that one prominent prediction market has all but called the race.

The PredictIt platform highlighted an erosion of what little investor confidence exists in the three major Democratic candidates: Agriculture Commissioner Nikki Fried, U.S. Rep. Charlie Crist and Florida Sen. Annette Taddeo.

DeSantis is trading at 85 cents on the platform Friday, indicating he has an 85% chance of winning in November. Fried is trading at just 8 cents, with Crist at 6 cents and Taddeo at 3 cents.

“Overall Trend: This is DeSantis’ race to lose,” PredictIt asserted.

“Case in point, over the past 90 days, DeSantis’ contract has gone from 78¢ to 85¢, while the two Democrat favorites have seen their contracts fall 4¢ — for Fried — and 7¢ — for Crist. There is also the small matter of money. DeSantis has more money on hand, at least $68 million, than he raised in the entirety of his 2018 campaign. His would-be Democrat competitors have $7.5 million among the three of them,” the analysis continued.

The analysis explicitly credited DeSantis and former President Donald Trump with transforming the political landscape in the state. “For the first time in modern history, there are more active registered Republican voters in the state than Democrats — a shift in political winds that began with Trump’s presidency and continued under DeSantis.”

The Governor’s key innovation, the analysis continued, may have been through his stewardship of pandemic politics.

“DeSantis has built a national profile throughout the pandemic, railing against restrictions, signing executive orders that banned private businesses from implementing coronavirus-related mandates and taken on the White House on more than one occasion. His management of Florida — keeping businesses and schools open — has created a stark contrast with other Democrat governors, who might also harbor national ambitions,” the analysis asserted.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has written for FloridaPolitics.com since 2014. He is based in Northeast Florida. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


6 comments

  • Impeach Biden

    January 14, 2022 at 2:30 pm

    Well my newspaper “The People’s Paper” Sun-Sentinel editorial board will do and say anything to discredit our fine Governor. The paper is completely biased. It’s not a newspaper but rather a Democrat propaganda piece of crap. This rag would endorse Gillum again if he ran for Governor. DeSantis is a shoe in for re-election and we can all wave buh bye to the Ag Commissioner.

  • Tom

    January 14, 2022 at 4:20 pm

    Not only will America’s Governor win re elect bigly, he will sweep new Repubs at every level.
    Florida Repubs will pick up new House and Senate seats, congressional, commissions and school boards. Nikki Fraud will lead Dems to political annihilation. DeSantis the best!
    Governors mansion to White House.

  • Ron Ogden

    January 15, 2022 at 6:50 am

    DeSantis, yes, but also see that most Americans reject this intrusive, domineering central government, and they blame its existence mostly on the Democratic Party. Until the Democrats abandon the AOC-Pelosi wing in favor of something like a Manchin mainstream, they will continue to forfeit the trust of the people. DeSantis wins because he is a new Trump, and most voters believe that, even if Trump was unpleasant at times, most of his policies were correct.

  • Lilith

    January 17, 2022 at 11:06 am

    DeSantis counting his chickens before they hatch. Watch for the downfall of this blowhard. It’s coming very soon.

    • al bujtor

      January 26, 2022 at 10:53 am

      What plan are you aware of? Or is it more lefty lies?

Comments are closed.


#FlaPol

Florida Politics is a statewide, new media platform covering campaigns, elections, government, policy, and lobbying in Florida. This platform and all of its content are owned by Extensive Enterprises Media.

Publisher: Peter Schorsch @PeterSchorschFL

Contributors & reporters: Phil Ammann, Jason Delgado, Renzo Downey, Daniel Figueroa, A.G. Gancarski, Anne Geggis, Kelly Hayes, Joe Henderson, Ryan Nicol, Jacob Ogles, Scott Powers, Gray Rohrer, Jesse Scheckner, Christine Sexton, Andrew Wilson, Mike Wright, and Tristan Wood.

Email: [email protected]
Twitter: @PeterSchorschFL
Phone: (727) 642-3162
Address: 204 37th Avenue North #182
St. Petersburg, Florida 33704




Sign up for Sunburn


Categories