Poll: Florida Republicans favor Donald Trump over Ron DeSantis in 2024

Trump DeSantis
Gender gaps hurt the Governor in the GOP Primary.

In the seemingly unlikely event that Donald Trump and Gov. Ron DeSantis went head-to-head in the 2024 Republican presidential Primary, the former President would likely be the choice of Florida voters, according to one new poll.

A survey conducted late last month by Suffolk University and USA Today found Trump was the choice of 47% of those surveyed, while DeSantis was preferred by 40% in that hypothetical head-to-head matchup.

A gender gap exists here for the Governor. DeSantis led Trump by 1 percentage point with male voters. Female voters, however, went for Trump 51% to 38%.

Just 176 likely Republican Primary voters were surveyed, so the overall result is inside the margin of error of +/-7.4 %.

But for those who remember how Trump obliterated Marco Rubio in Florida six years ago, the results may be a reminder of the former President’s potency.

Still, other metrics were more positive for DeSantis.

Larger polling including Democrats and independents showed that despite losing in the theoretical Primary to Trump, DeSantis may perform better in a General Election against President Joe Biden.

DeSantis would get 52% of the vote, while Trump would get 47%. Biden got 44% against either Trump or DeSantis.

The polling suggests a gender gap in a hypothetical Biden versus DeSantis race. Women prefer Biden, 49% to 46%. But DeSantis dominated with male voters with 58% support, a full 20 points over Biden.

The eight-point DeSantis lead is outside the +/-4.4 % margin of error. That survey sampled 500 likely Florida voters.

Pollsters also tested a potential 2024 showdown between DeSantis and Hillary Clinton for the Democrats. DeSantis won that one handily with 53% support, 13 points ahead of Clinton. The poll found 61% of male voters would back DeSantis.

And just as he did against Biden, DeSantis outperformed Trump against Clinton. Trump won the hypothetical 2016 rematch by a smaller margin, 49% to 42%.

The polling also found the Governor well-positioned in his re-election battle no matter which Democrat he faces in November.

DeSantis leads former Gov. Charlie Crist 49% to 43%, with 8% undecided. DeSantis also leads Agriculture Commissioner Nikki Fried 51% to 40%, with 9% undecided. DeSantis was ahead with independent voters against both candidates.

The Crist camp trumpeted the poll as a sign of the campaign’s viability.

“Charlie is the only candidate that’s competitive with DeSantis, holding him below 50 percent and well within striking distance. It’s early and we like the state of the race,” said Crist campaign Press Secretary, Samantha Ramirez. “We are building an historic grassroots movement made up of Democrats, Republicans, and Independents fed up with DeSantis’s divisive policies that are failing to help Floridians. This campaign is strong because the people of Florida are strong, and in November the people are going to elect a governor who cares about them — and that’s Charlie.”

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has written for FloridaPolitics.com since 2014. He is based in Northeast Florida. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


7 comments

  • Nelson Goodman

    February 1, 2022 at 11:25 am

    DsSAntis vs Trump -Find another country!

  • Tom

    February 1, 2022 at 11:26 am

    DeSantis polls well versus all.
    In future, the question will be posed who polls better vs him.
    The sample size is embarrassing regardless.
    What it demonstrates is how strong and effective America’s Govis, he is very strong across the board within the party and vs the crum dums, crispy and fraud. What happened to tarantula?
    Gov Ron will be the nominee if 45 does not run, if he was to pursue WH. His bold effective leadership is resonating more and more. Biden is abysmal, negative in 46 states, including blue ones. In Florida he’s at 38% approval, awful.
    Gov Ron is the conservative and new GOP leader. America’s Gov. This is awful news for Florida Dums.

  • Charles

    February 1, 2022 at 1:09 pm

    Let’s talk truth

    Wouldn’t it be wonderful if these polls were actually verified and provided political affiliation, age, sex, geographic location. EVERYONE knows polls can be crafted to support a specific and biased narrative. Heck, just look how leftist and woke most Florida Politics writers are.

    Let’s talk truth
    Try reporting with honesty, integrity, and truthfulness. Might raise journalism polling numbers from the trash heap.

  • Matthew Lusk

    February 1, 2022 at 6:47 pm

    DeSantis has now proven his courage in fighting the authoritarian left and is willing to play offence as well as defence. Either victor would be a blessing for the United States and ALL it’s citizens.

  • Tom

    February 1, 2022 at 7:51 pm

    DeSantis is America’s Gov.
    The surveys are showing his voice is resonating and his actions are having effect with in the GOP and conservative movement.
    The Dems anew abysmal. Biden is at 39% approval in Florida. DeSantis defeats him 52% to 44%. Crisp and Fraud are 6 and 11 pts behind the Gov. The Florida Dems are lost. Rubio is winning big as well, plus 9 vs Dum Dum Demings. What a clown show!

  • WhiskeyTangoFoxtrot

    February 1, 2022 at 10:16 pm

    Horse Pucky

    • Tom

      February 3, 2022 at 7:05 pm

      How’s F yourself u whiskeyfangofixtwit
      Your ignorance is overwhelming but you know that. Enjoy

Comments are closed.


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