Ron DeSantis bests Joe Biden by 11 points in prospective poll of 2024
.

Biden DeSantis
Trump led Biden by 14, meanwhile.

Gov. Ron DeSantis keeps saying he has no plans to run for President in 2024, but one poll says he’d win the popular vote in a landslide against the current incumbent.

A survey released Thursday by Rasmussen Reports shows the Florida Governor commanding 46% support against 35% for Democrat Joe Biden. An additional 11% said they’d vote for “someone else,” and 2% said they wouldn’t vote.

DeSantis has made bold culture war plays since Biden’s election in 2020, with moves against liberal priorities ranging from so-called critical race theory to banning transgender athletes from scholastic women’s sports. This survey suggests governing to the right wasn’t an issue for those polled.

DeSantis commanded 50% support among men, 14 points over Biden. But women also preferred DeSantis, with 43% support compared to just 34% for the current President.

Party splits were favorable for DeSantis.

Seventeen percent of Democrats said they preferred DeSantis to Biden, with just 8% of Republicans wanting four more years of the incumbent. Independent voters surged to DeSantis, with 43% backing him compared to 27% for Biden.

Voters over 40 years old substantially preferred DeSantis to Biden. The Florida Governor enjoyed a staggering 25-point lead among voters 40 to 64 years of age, and an 11-point edge with senior citizens. Biden did lead with voters under 40 years of age, pulling 38% support against 29% for DeSantis in the hypothetical matchup.

The ethnic breakdown was similarly unfavorable for Biden. DeSantis had a predictably massive lead with White voters, with 53% to 33% for Biden. DeSantis also was up six points with Hispanic voters. Barely 50% of Black voters, meanwhile, said they backed Biden, with Republican DeSantis pulling 23% support among that demographic group.

Former President Donald Trump was also matched against Biden, and performed marginally better than DeSantis, with a 14-point lead against the Democrat who defeated him in 2020.

In a 2024 rematch, 73% of Democrats would vote for Biden while 89% of Republicans would vote for Trump. Among independent voters, 48% would vote for Trump and 27% would vote for Biden, while 17% would vote for someone else.

One caveat: The survey of 1,004 likely voters was in the field from Apr. 28 to May 2, meaning it would have been conducted before the leak of a draft ruling in an abortion case under U.S. Supreme Court consideration, a potentially meaningful change in voter perceptions given that ruling could overturn Roe v. Wade, the 1973 ruling that recognized reproductive rights federally.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has been the Northeast Florida correspondent for Florida Politics since 2014. His work also can be seen in the Washington Post, the New York Post, the Washington Times, and National Review, among other publications. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


24 comments

  • Rep. Matt Gaetz

    May 5, 2022 at 12:56 pm

    I support the Governor Desantis being president in 2024

    • Ginger Luckey

      May 6, 2022 at 5:37 am

      Look! It’s Matt Gaetz’ wife’s boyfriend trolling again! How does it feel to be cucked so publicly?

    • Just a comment

      May 11, 2022 at 4:00 am

      Culture wars don’t belong in reading writing and arithmetic. Personal problems should be Left at home and learn and work with your nose down at the books as for inheritance and chemical imbalances well their is a shrink for that

  • D & J

    May 5, 2022 at 1:39 pm

    Can’t even spell” beats”!
    Best! LOL
    Don’t trust it!

    • Harry kamalatoe

      May 5, 2022 at 2:18 pm

      yes… to “best” someone… as in to do better than them.

  • Itold Usoh

    May 5, 2022 at 1:48 pm

    People do not feel secure. They face financial insecurity (falling stock market / 401Ks, 8.5% inflation, falling real wages, declining living standards). And physical safety (the huge increase in violent crime, open borers., threat of nuclear war).

    In times of stress, in times when safety is a concern, voters will go to the right and with candidates who are strong, state their case clearly, and do what they promise. On 5 May, 2022, that would be DeSantis. Not Biden.

  • Margaret Evams

    May 5, 2022 at 1:57 pm

    Must have polled Republicans! Biden all the way!
    DeSantis is the usual fear mongering Repo.

    • Harry kamalatoe

      May 5, 2022 at 2:16 pm

      Ah yes because Joe and the democrats aren’t fearmongers lol

      “We are looking at a winter of severe illness and death for the unvaccinated — for themselves, their families and the hospitals they’ll soon overwhelm,” -Joe Biden

      • And better

        May 6, 2022 at 11:05 am

        Hey the less of you the better lol

  • martin

    May 5, 2022 at 1:59 pm

    Biden: a potted plant has more common sense.

    • Mother Superior Slapshot, Saint Joe Academy

      May 5, 2022 at 6:18 pm

      Capitalize your name, Martin, you’re a big boy now. And you spend too much time with potted plants, I see, because apparently they talk to you, bless your heart.

  • Tom

    May 6, 2022 at 11:01 pm

    He should be up by 20 pt easily!
    The Biden Harris economy team force people to eat pet food. Sad Shameful.

    • Claude Kirk the younger

      May 8, 2022 at 7:16 pm

      @Tom if a leftist publication reports 11% up for the good guys you can take it to the bank it actually is 22%+ up for the good guys. Tom you are 100% correct!

      Which means using the leftist publication rule as stated above my man Tom is actually 200% correct.

      I know leftists, how they think how they act, and how they lie. Now you the reader of my post know a little something about leftists and leftist publications!!!!

      • Tom

        May 10, 2022 at 10:56 pm

        Of course I am correct Claude
        I am the legend of FP.
        DeSantis wins Nov 22 re elect.
        On to WH Oval.

  • Manny V

    May 7, 2022 at 6:05 am

    After only one year of Biden, I can only imagine how much worse things will be after four. I’m pretty sure the Rs could nominate a rutabaga and win in 2024.

  • Tom

    May 7, 2022 at 11:35 pm

    That’s rich, since the corrupt Dem, Dum Manchurians gave us two incompetents, Alzie Joe, Giggles Harris. Pathetic. DeSantis is a rocket scientist and Saint compared to this garbage.

    America’s Gov. number one, re elect Nov. Govs mansion to WH oval.

  • JD

    May 7, 2022 at 11:36 pm

    DeSantis ’24

  • Barrett Hill

    May 8, 2022 at 11:32 am

    Saw SNL take a gratuitous swipe at Florida during during the abortion “skit” last night. Hmmmm, the case before SCOTUS is from Mississippi. Insults from the remerging crime capital of America (NYC) is like the pot calling the china black. It also shows the Dem media/tech/industrial complex has started to train their guns on Rambo Ron. Bring it!!

  • Tom

    May 9, 2022 at 12:19 am

    That’s all the untra left can do.
    Ridicule through pop culture. Scurrilous.
    DeSantis has brass elephant cahones.
    He does not flinch.

  • martin

    May 9, 2022 at 5:05 pm

    At least a potted plant produces oxygen. Whereas Biden, only consumes O2. Therefore, I reconsider, and believe a box of rocks could do no worse then biden.

  • joey

    May 9, 2022 at 5:48 pm

    Where in FL? Desantis cant win PA,Wi,MI. He is a raciest. Trump is better.

  • Zhombre

    May 10, 2022 at 11:05 am

    SeMantics 2024 and 2028

    • Zhombre

      May 10, 2022 at 11:07 am

      DeSantis!!! Damn autocorrect!

  • Tinesley

    May 11, 2022 at 11:38 am

    I am a doctor and took the oral component of my specialty boards 34 years ago.
    The intent of oral board examinations both then and now is not only to assess one’s mastery of the subject material. It is also meant to determine whether a candidate is DANGEROUS. The board examiner takes the candidate deeply into a subject until they don’t know any more about it. The candidate is then supposed to admit they know no more and then offer possible solutions to augment that lack of knowledge. Trying to BS your way out of it delivers you an automatic FAILURE. The examiners also give you the opportunity to correct mistakes you may make – especially when those may potentially harm the patient, in addition to being ineffective. If you dig-in your heals and refuse, even after persistent prompting, you FAIL, because a good physician will ALWAYS admit their mistakes and take corrective action when they have made the wrong decision or committed the wrong action (proof that Dr. Fauci and others who continue to control the COVID debacle are NOT “good physicians”).

    By constantly making proposals for solutions to problems that NEVER have worked in the past, blaming others for problems his policies have exacerbated or created, implementing policies and procedures that are having a seriously detrimental effect in real-time and NEVER admitting that he has made mistakes and should change course, Biden is exhibiting dangerous behavioral characteristics that would result in a seriously injured or dead patient if he were a doctor. He would FAIL his medical boards. He is a TOTAL FAILURE as POTUS. His “prescription” will cause disasters in multiple fronts in the USA if continued.

Comments are closed.


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