Poll: Anna Paulina Luna handily leads the pack in CD 13 Primary

Luna, Ana Paulina - 7
Her 20-point lead grows to 41 points when GOP voters are told she has Trump's endorsement.

An internal poll shared with Florida Politics shows Anna Paulina Luna is primed to win the Republican nomination for Florida’s 13th Congressional District for the second time.

According to the poll, conducted by Spry Strategies, Luna is drawing 36% support among likely Republican Primary voters in the Pinellas County-based district, giving her a 20-point edge over her closest competitor, Kevin Hayslett. Amanda Makki followed with just under 10% support while Christine Quinn brought up the rear with 1%.

The poll found 38% of Primary voters have not yet decided who they will vote for in the Aug. 23 Election, leaving room for a tighter contest than the top-line numbers indicate.

In addition to measuring support for the CD 13 field, the poll also asked voters for their opinion on former President Donald Trump, finding that he remains popular with 85% of Republicans in the district. Just one in seven said they disapproved of him.

When voters were told Luna had received Trump’s endorsement, her support grew to 53%, giving her a 41-point advantage over her closest competitor.

In addition to holding the lead, Luna also has the highest name ID rating in the primary. About 75% of voters were familiar enough to voice an opinion on her, with nearly 59% saying they viewed her favorably. Only 11% of those polled had never heard of Luna, who won the GOP nomination in the district last cycle.

By contrast, 39% of voters said they had never heard of Hayslett and 28% said they were unfamiliar with Makki.

The polling memo reads, “Anna Paulina Luna starts with very high name ID, a very strong image rating, a 20-point ballot lead, and a clear path to an outright majority vote share over 50% even in a four-way race. Anna Paulina Luna will win this race and any spending against her will only damage the eventual Republican nominee for this top targeted seat.”

The poll was conducted June 8-11. It has a sample size of 556 likely Republican Primary voters, 291 of whom were reached by landline and 265 of whom responded online. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.2 percentage points at a 95% confidence level.

Peter Schorsch

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including Florida Politics and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. Schorsch is also the publisher of INFLUENCE Magazine. For several years, Peter's blog was ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.


7 comments

  • Not laundry day yet

    June 14, 2022 at 8:44 pm

    Impressive, but it was an internal poll and a small poll and it sounds like it skewed heavily toward the older demographic. I don’t think anyone is ready to throw in the towel yet. Let’s just make sure we all support whomever is the nominee and finally get Bill Young’s Congressional seat back where it belongs and away from the ersatz Republicans Jolly and Crist–true RINOs.

    • Tom Kaslowsky

      June 15, 2022 at 5:25 pm

      When you’re a Trump endorsed candidate it’s a hard position to defeat. Yes, the poll is small, only 556 but it does hold some weight.

      • Nick

        June 15, 2022 at 8:39 pm

        Totally agree with your statements except Charlie Crist is not a Rino – he officially came out as a Democrat years ago. I hope Floridians are tired of his wishy-washy political beliefs and he loses big in his next election run against Governor Ron DeSantis.

  • Hard Truth

    June 15, 2022 at 8:26 am

    Pretty lame that a “Trump Endorsed Candidate” never mentions 2020 or our fraudulent elections and election system.

  • Tom Kaslowsky

    June 15, 2022 at 5:18 pm

    I’ve heard APL rail against the fraudulent election a number of times. The reason you haven’t heard her say it is because you’re at a Hayeslett or Makki meeting.

    • Nicki

      June 15, 2022 at 8:45 pm

      My concern with APL is she never shows up for meetings with the other candidates except for the first debate where she was late and the moderator had to wait for her to show up before starting. Each candidate had a chance at the debate to ask another candidate a question. I know this for a fact because I was there. When it was her turn, she said she didn’t need to ask them any questions because she already knew what she needed to know about them. Many have said that is when they changed their mind to not vote for her.

  • David Happe

    June 21, 2022 at 5:41 pm

    Luna who divorced her husband in 2012 and remarried him in 2014 is a fraud. Stolen valor and a stripper. Vote for anyone else. Please!!

Comments are closed.


#FlaPol

Florida Politics is a statewide, new media platform covering campaigns, elections, government, policy, and lobbying in Florida. This platform and all of its content are owned by Extensive Enterprises Media.

Publisher: Peter Schorsch @PeterSchorschFL

Contributors & reporters: Phil Ammann, Renzo Downey, Roseanne Dunkelberger, A.G. Gancarski, Anne Geggis, Kelly Hayes, Joe Henderson, Ryan Nicol, Jacob Ogles, Scott Powers, Gray Rohrer, Aimee Sachs, Jesse Scheckner, Christine Sexton, Andrew Wilson, and Mike Wright.

Email: [email protected]
Twitter: @PeterSchorschFL
Phone: (727) 642-3162
Address: 204 37th Avenue North #182
St. Petersburg, Florida 33704




Sign up for Sunburn


Categories