Email insights: Prediction market warns Ron DeSantis could ‘blow re-election’ with Ian misstep
Ron DeSantis.

Will DeSantis have a 'Chris Christie' moment?

Gov. Ron DeSantis is facing arguably the toughest test of his administration, and there are questions as to how he will do.

The PredictIt prediction market — which has seen the Governor atop not just his market for a re-election in November, but also often leading markets for the 2024 Republican nomination and the presidency itself — is raising issues about whether Hurricane Ian will put the brakes on his political momentum.

“The Florida governor’s face adorns the top of three market charts entering trading this Friday. He leads his re-election bid for governor in the Sunshine State, the 2024 Republican nomination race against former President Donald Trump and 2024 US presidential election market ahead of both the former president and the current president. The crowd likes what they see in DeSantis so far — but with less than six weeks to go until Nov. 8 there is still plenty of time for that view to sour,” PredictIt claims, in its “Predictable Insights” email.

Indeed, though the odds (or the “wisdom of the crowd”) are with DeSantis, optics have time to change, PredictIt warns.

“DeSantis’ odds of winning a second term could all come down to how he conducts himself over the next six weeks and if he’ll be able to suppress any temptation there might be to shift to polarizing political rhetoric in the wake of the storm. Not to mention how the electorate will read a potential handshake, hug or fist-bump with President Joe Biden.”

The email draws a comparison between DeSantis and another larger-than-life Governor whose presidential momentum was stalled by storm politics.

“Good and potentially bad, there will be political implications for both DeSantis and Biden in the aftermath of Ian. Remember when New Jersey’s Republican then-governor, Chris Christie, hugged then-President Barack Obama amid the devastation of Hurricane Sandy? People were still talking about it three years later as Christie attempted to win his party’s presidential nomination. How DeSantis handles a visit from Biden, if the President makes the trip, will surely be watched by the nation in much the same way.”

DeSantis has abandoned his denunciations of the “Brandon administration” in recent days, as the full fury of Hurricane Ian demanded a traditional appeal to Washington for as much post-storm help as possible. The two have developed a functional working relationship, a surprise to many onlookers.

Biden said that he’d talked about Ian’s response to Gov. Ron DeSantis “four, five times” on Thursday, and noted that DeSantis “complimented” him for the federal response, and that complimentary tone extended even to recent Fox News prime-time interviews with Sean Hannity and Tucker Carlson in recent days.

“We have been completely responsive to the Governor of Florida — everything he’s needed and asked for,” Biden said in Thursday morning comments that addressed the fulfillment of DeSantis’ Federal Emergency Management Agency reimbursement requests. “And it’s a lot.”

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has written for since 2014. He is based in Northeast Florida. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


  • Renee

    September 30, 2022 at 1:55 pm

    You guts just keep on slamming this Veteran
    What comes around goes around stop bashing the best Man for Florida

    • Kathy

      October 1, 2022 at 3:21 pm

      Bullshit he’s a liser like his idol Trump

  • Tom

    September 30, 2022 at 2:10 pm

    Unbelievable, FP can’t help it self.
    Double barrel, Peter S earlier, now A G this afternoon.

    Reporting the news or hoping the news.

    • Tom

      September 30, 2022 at 4:50 pm

      Tropical 3 ocean windcane?

  • PeterH

    September 30, 2022 at 2:30 pm

    As reported last evening by Matt Dixon, a writer for Politico, pictures of DeSantis’s white appointee Gadsden County Commissioner Jeff Moore have surfaced showing the commissioner proudly dressed in a white Klu Klux Klan attire.

    Now, no one should be at all surprised that Jeff Moore and many other North Florida Republicans have draped Klan outfits hanging in the back of their bedroom closets. Additionally it should surprise no one that the DeSantis regime failed to vet this candidate before his appointment to govern a predominantly black county. Readers must realize that THIS OUTRAGEOUS APPOINTMENT WAS INTENTIONAL to threaten and keep minorities in their place.

    Every consequential DeSantis administration action solidifies my belief that IF WE ALLOW IT ……our Southern State is to be aligned with the values of 1940’s Alabama and Mississippi.



    • Tim

      September 30, 2022 at 2:59 pm

      Are you stupid or something? Is that what’s really in your head? You need help bro.

    • Diana

      September 30, 2022 at 3:54 pm

      Thr republican party was formed to stop slavery. Democrats are the ones who had slaves and wanted to keep them. Open ur eyes this CRT crap they are pushing is doing nothing but separating people again and who is pushing CRT??? Every person should be treated equally. We can’t change the past just make the future better. Right now every person in this country is a slave to something.

    • just sayin

      October 3, 2022 at 8:13 am

      Yawn, now do Governor Northam. Or Pelosi saying we need Hispanic people to “work the fields.”

  • Gary Rosen

    September 30, 2022 at 4:10 pm

    For Lauren…

    Over the almost 4 years DeSantis has been governor he talks the talk about freedom and competition but he has quietly endorsed socialism in the Insurance Industry and Florida will now pay for DeSantis catering to special interests. Saying one thing and doing another.

    Government sponsored Citizens Insurance with preferential treatment from Tallahassee has now grown to over $1m clients . While forcing a good portion of the private sector out of business . Socialism.

    Rather than to properly perform their job as an
    Insurance company they have expanded their role with their managed repair program to be a construction company .

    Citizens Insurance incentivizes insureds to use Citizens Managed Repair Contractors. Thereby not needing any oversight / claims management.

    But weather related claims are not covered by their MRP .

    They are screwed . No capacity to manage independent contractors and they will be sued up the wazoo.

    Never trust socialism . Trust the free market . Trust competition.

    Many other carriers have taken Citizens’ lead and developed their own MRP. They are also in big trouble.

    The insurance industry is a catastrophe which is due to DeSantis and Patronis being swayed by special interests and creeping socialism .

    • nail

      October 3, 2022 at 3:49 pm

      Desantis got a 1M boost the day before the hurricane. Asking ppl now to settle fast with the insurance companies and not fight their offer.

      Can’t wait till Biden gets her Wednesday and we see DeSantis kissing Daddy on the lips and saying “Daddy I need more of those Socialist $$ because otherwise SWFL will be a wasteland.

      Desantis just came out with another one. The insurance problem was not his fault because he was busy stealing legals from TX. It was whoever changed the laws in 2007….lol…Why does every trumper “leader” think Dems are as stupid as their lowest common denominator voters? We do not hold fox/Russian TV in high regard as they do, we have critical thinking skills which the trumper “leaders” took from them when the agreed to join the cult.

  • Barb

    October 1, 2022 at 1:26 am

    Governor Ron DeSantis is the Best and this article and train of thought are ridiculous! Also ridiculous are the comments I read above. If people vote against Gov DeSantis for having a good working relationship with Joe Biden to help all Floridians than they deserve what they get. To crucify James Christie and end his career just for hugging Obama for help with hurricane Sandy was also ludicrous! Republicans are nuts! I didn’t believe the interview I saw saying Republicans embrace and reward cruelty and punish showing compassion in their candidates but after reading this equally ridiculous article I’m scared it might be the truth. If that’s the case they deserve everything coming to them if they just vote for someone based on their cruelty. It would explain them still embracing Trump after everything that’s come out.

  • Sdavidson

    October 1, 2022 at 7:45 am

    Really? Now Gov. De Santis’ politics are being blamed because of the weather? He gave many warnings and updates. He isn’t Poseidon, so get real!

  • David in Shoreline

    October 1, 2022 at 1:59 pm

    The Governor has done an amazing job responding to Hurricane Ian so far. I have every reason to believe he will continue working tirelessly for the citizens of Florida. If this storm has impacts upon the election (undeniably it will) those impacts will be to see Governor DeSantis re-elected by 10 – 15 points.

    • Charlie Crist

      October 2, 2022 at 8:43 am


Comments are closed.


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