Poll: Dead heat for second place between Ron DeSantis, Chris Sununu in New Hampshire
Image via The Associated Press.

The Granite State Governor is a 'favorite son' in one new poll.

The Granite State presents an increasingly rocky terrain for Ron DeSantis, at least according to one new survey.

A National Research Inc. poll of 500 likely voters in the 2024 Republican Presidential Primary shows DeSantis and Gov. Chris Sununu statistically tied for second place.

“Former President Donald Trump holds a 21-point lead over DeSantis in a multi-candidate ballot, 39%-18%. But the unique story in New Hampshire is the fact that Gov. Sununu is essentially tied with Gov. DeSantis for second place, garnering 17% of the vote,” the polling memo asserts.

This is especially stunning given DeSantis just rolled out 51 endorsements from New Hampshire legislators.

“Sununu is a top tier candidate in New Hampshire as a ‘favorite son’ candidate,” the memo continues. “This is hurting Gov. DeSantis and the rest of the field, as it absorbs much of the ‘not Trump’ vote. Trump holds double-digit leads over key subgroups, such as those who are most engaged.”

Sununu takes just 4% support from those who regard Trump and DeSantis favorably; they have 57% and 20% respectively among that cohort. He also is behind both Trump and DeSantis among super voters, with Trump’s 45% leading DeSantis (19%) and Sununu (13%).

But voters who have seen ads for DeSantis and Trump, perhaps ironically, seem to be Sununu’s strength. While Trump still leads with 38% of that subset, Sununu’s 20% marginally tops 19% for DeSantis.

The survey was conducted May 15-17. The margin of error is +/- 4.38 percentage points.

This is the latest New Hampshire poll to show DeSantis far behind Trump, but the first to show Sununu as a second-place threat.

In April’s Granite State Poll from the University of New Hampshire Survey Center, Trump led DeSantis 42% to 22%, with Sununu taking 12% support.

A poll from J.L. Partners shows the Florida Governor way behind Trump also, but still comfortably ahead of Sununu. The former President nearly triples DeSantis’ vote share, 51% to 18%, with Sununu drawing 10% in third place.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has been the Northeast Florida correspondent for Florida Politics since 2014. He writes for the New York Post and National Review also, with previous work in the American Conservative and Washington Times and a 15+ year run as a columnist in Folio Weekly. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


  • Dont Say FLA

    May 18, 2023 at 6:22 pm

    Sununu could be a legitimate path to a GOP candidate being elected in Nov 2024 to the US presidency. Trump and Rhonda, no. Those two are dead ends. Nikki Haley has her Trump service hung around her neck even though she did it as honorably as possible for that administration, so she is probably a dead end too. The MAGA white nation fantasy, it was already done, and then, THEN, just to be certain, the GOP threw the female vote into the SCOTUS dumpster fire.

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