‘Clear winner’: Post-debate poll points to Ron DeSantis’ Iowa bump

Casey and Ron Desantis Iowa AP
An internal DeSantis poll says the Governor's Iowa campaign benefited from the GOP presidential debate.

After a performance in the GOP presidential debate free of slip-ups, new polling from Iowa says Ron DeSantis is gaining ground on Donald Trump.

The survey from Public Opinion Strategies, a DeSantis pollster, shows the Florida Governor improving on a number of fronts, including the overall ballot test, which “shows DeSantis picking up significant ground since the debate. Both DeSantis and Nikki Haley saw significant increases in their ballot standing since before the debate, while Tim Scott and Vivek Ramaswamy both slipped back a bit.”

DeSantis has moved from 14% before the debate to 21% after the debate, per the new poll. That puts him 20 points behind Trump, but 10 points ahead of Haley and 14 points ahead of Ramaswamy and Scott.

Public Opinion Strategies also deems DeSantis the “clear winner” Wednesday, after he “won every single key ‘attribute’ among likely Iowa caucus-goers” among the eight candidates on stage. The Governor is seen as the “strongest conservative,” the “strongest leader,” the most “able to defeat” Joe Biden and Trump, and “strongest on border security.”

DeSantis also saw a +4 improvement in overall favorability, the polling memo notes, while “Trump, Ramaswamy, and Chris Christie were the big losers from the debate in terms of their image as each of these candidates had negative change in their net favorable-unfavorable.”

The pollster contends that more people than ever are ruling out Trump support.

“More than one-third of voters now say they are ‘NOT considering Trump’ — the highest figure we’ve seen,” the pollster notes.

Public Opinion Strategies also argues that Ramaswamy was simply a Trump proxy Wednesday night and that Iowans don’t intend to caucus for him.

“Ramaswamy was simply a placeholder position on the debate stage for core Trump voters. Vivek doesn’t even win over voters who say he won the debate on Wednesday night,” the pollster claims.

“Among those who believe that Ramaswamy won the debate, they are voting for Trump (60%), then Ramaswamy (21%), then DeSantis (10%) on the ballot. Among those who believe that DeSantis won the debate, they are voting for DeSantis (64%), then Trump (28%), then Scott (3%) and Haley (3%) on the ballot.”

They also contend that in a two-way race with Trump, which isn’t likely to happen of course, the former President leads 43% to 40%.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has been the Northeast Florida correspondent for Florida Politics since 2014. His work also can be seen in the Washington Post, the New York Post, the Washington Times, and National Review, among other publications. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


7 comments

  • AngliaKevin

    August 25, 2023 at 4:09 pm

    According to my younger brother’s acquaintance, I’ve were given my first test sv07 general of $19,000, quite cool.
    .
    .
    Just open the link…………………………………………..paybuzz7.blogspot.com

  • Joe

    August 25, 2023 at 5:07 pm

    Breaking news: partisan pollster paid by politician tells politician what he wants to hear.

  • Earl Pitts "The Ronald's Un-Official Campaign Mananger" American

    August 25, 2023 at 5:10 pm

    Good evening America,
    Step back non-believers, eat crow nay-sayers, tell Earl Pitts American and be nice to Earl all my Dook 4 Brains RINO & LEFTIST fans.
    Was Earl right?
    D@mn right Earl was right!!

    Being the magnamious and all around great friend I, Earl Pitts American, am I am not going to once say it:
    Holmes I’m gonna say it Twice:
    I TOLD YOU SO
    I TOLD YOU SO
    Thank you America,
    Earl Pitts “I TOLD YOU SO” American

  • Bill Pollard

    August 25, 2023 at 6:24 pm

    Ron’s still on a trip to nowhere.

    • Earl Pitts "The Ronald's Un-Official Campaign Mananger" American

      August 25, 2023 at 7:55 pm

      Thank you Bill My Patriot Brother,
      Bill I, Earl Pitts American, know you are also totally looking forward to “The Ronald and The Casey’s” glorious 8 year term in The White House which is not exactly a “trip to nowhere” my Patriot Brother.
      And because “The Ronald” is so youthfull and sharp of mind we will be amending the Constution to extend “The Ronald’s” Glorious term of POTUS out from 8 to 16 years. At long last America is free from the bad habit of electing old Grampas over 70 as POTUS !!!!
      Best of all Bill, you and me, Earl Pitts American, can bare whitness to the Dook 4 Brains Lefty’s along with the Dook 4 Brains RINO’s screaming at the sky for every one of those 16 glorious years !!!!!
      Thank you my Patriot Brother Bill,
      Earl Pitts American
      *virtual bumper sticker*
      *VOTE DESANTIS*
      *queue super loud All American Patriotic Music*

  • PeterH

    August 25, 2023 at 9:37 pm

    Ron DeSantis can poll at 100% of Republicans…… and he still won’t win the general election.

    Independent voters decide elections. And unfortunately for DeSantis Independent voters are politically moderate, fiscally responsible and highly educated. In other words the complete opposite of the MAGA crowd DeSantis attracts.

  • Boaz

    August 26, 2023 at 4:23 am

    Polls conducted by the Washington Post before and after the debate showed that of those who watched the debate in person or remotely, a majority responded that Governor DeSantis won with Vivek Ramaswamy coming in a close second. More revealing in the Washington Post poll was that while Nikki Haley did the most, at least marginally, to improve her likability, etc., Governor DeSantis had, by far, the highest favorability rating — better than Trump’s — 72% to 59%.

Comments are closed.


#FlaPol

Florida Politics is a statewide, new media platform covering campaigns, elections, government, policy, and lobbying in Florida. This platform and all of its content are owned by Extensive Enterprises Media.

Publisher: Peter Schorsch @PeterSchorschFL

Contributors & reporters: Phil Ammann, Drew Dixon, Roseanne Dunkelberger, A.G. Gancarski, Ryan Nicol, Jacob Ogles, Cole Pepper, Jesse Scheckner, Drew Wilson, and Mike Wright.

Email: [email protected]
Twitter: @PeterSchorschFL
Phone: (727) 642-3162
Address: 204 37th Avenue North #182
St. Petersburg, Florida 33704