At least one poll shows Ron DeSantis leading Gavin Newsom in hypothetical 2024 match-up

DeSantis newsom
The Florida Governor leads by double digits with independent voters.

It’s not likely that the Governors of Florida and California will face off in next year’s presidential election, but that’s not stopping pollsters from ballot-testing the possible match-up.

And when the question of whether voters prefer Ron DeSantis to Gavin Newsom was posed in a Daily Mail and J.L. Partners poll released Saturday, a slightly plurality of likely voters polled said they prefer “America’s Governor” to California’s Governor, by a 43% to 39% margin.

Predictably, DeSantis takes 81% of Republicans while Newsom takes 77% of Democrats. But when it comes to pivotal independent voters, DeSantis commands that cohort, 43% to 32%.

Meanwhile, respondents were even more emphatic in expressing their preference for the Sunshine State over the Golden State, with 47% of those surveyed saying they would rather be governed by DeSantis than Newsom.

The Daily Mail poll serves as a table setter for a DeSantis/Newsom debate on Fox News November 30, a “little tussle” that DeSantis previewed during remarks to the California Republican convention Friday. Though the Governor was unaware of the polling, he seemed convinced that he and his state were prevailing in the war of ideas against Newsom and California

“All you have to do is when people have to make decisions about themselves, about their families, about their freedom, how are they behaving? And people are leaving — for the first time in the history of California — people are leaving, on net, the state of California. Where’s the number one destination that people are leaving these failed blue states are going to? The Free State of Florida,” DeSantis said.

“So we’re going to be able to — we’ll be able to have those debates. But you know, to me, the debate about what state is governed better, Florida or California, that debate has already been answered by people voting with their feet. I think that debate is useful because California is really the petri dish for American liberalism and American leftism. And what Biden is doing are things that California was doing many years ago. What California is doing now is likely what a second Biden term would do or God forbid, Kamala Harris, or God forbid, Newsom himself.”

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has been the Northeast Florida correspondent for Florida Politics since 2014. His work also can be seen in the Washington Post, the New York Post, the Washington Times, and National Review, among other publications. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


12 comments

  • My Take

    September 30, 2023 at 2:35 pm

    Let’s see again after the debate.

    • Impeach Niden

      September 30, 2023 at 4:17 pm

      Just compare crime, fuel prices, population inflow or outflow, taxes, companies entering or companies leaving each state. Shiny Teeth Newsom has completely mismanaged the People’s Republic of Kalifornia. DeSantis will clobber him on this.

      • Rick Whitaker

        October 1, 2023 at 8:01 am

        you wish

      • Rick Whitaker

        October 1, 2023 at 6:05 pm

        the only thing desantis could clobber is a baby seal

        • MH/Duuuval

          October 2, 2023 at 2:10 pm

          Ouch!

    • Earl Pitts "Try A Pair Of Earl's Slippers" American

      October 1, 2023 at 9:48 am

      Good mornting America,
      Public records reveal the polling company J.L.Partners origionally filed their business under the nomenclature of “Fake Polls R Us, DBA J.L.Partners.
      Thank you America,
      EPA
      *Free Bumper Sticker*
      *TRY A PAIR OF EARL’S SLIPPERS*

  • FAKEPATRIOTGQP

    October 1, 2023 at 4:54 am

    To the obvious genius that is Impeach Niden (great proofreading champ). The Southern Red States on a whole have worse crime rates. Heck Miami is way worse than San Francisco. Can’t blame it all on Dem mayors I guess. Here’s a thought, Governors are responsible for the whole state. We won’t even talk about Red State education levels. I personally don’t care for Cal or Florida but at least California isn’t banning books, pushing religion in school, forcing alternate narratives about the origins of the Civil War, crying about beer cans etc. Sounds like big government overreach to me. Paper bags have more depth and personality than DeSantis. He can’t even beat a 2x impeached, 4x indicted (on 91 counts) 2x popular vote loser in a primary. Keep him Florida, at least half of you like him there.

    • Rick Whitaker

      October 1, 2023 at 8:05 am

      great come back comment to that maga cultist. he or she won’t understand a word of it though. that’s what it means to be a cultist, you have to have a closed mind.

  • Joe

    October 1, 2023 at 10:37 am

    The hard-right British tabloid Daily Mail is not known for commissioning reliable polls, or providing any semblance of unbiased reporting. Congrats on the fake plaudits, Tiny D!

  • My Take

    October 1, 2023 at 1:26 pm

    DeSScamus after months of intensive national campaigning might slightly edge out a state official not running.
    DeSSçamus is barely treading water.

  • SusieQ

    October 1, 2023 at 1:38 pm

    It doesn’t matter who fights for the Whitehouse because Biden is going to win the race.

    • Rick Whitaker

      October 2, 2023 at 5:13 pm

      what does matter is maga cultist exposing each other while the public watches.i hope they go at it heavy so we see much more. i do agree with you that biden will win. the 14 year olds that were around when trump was in, are now old enough to vote. they can spot hypocrisy much better than most adults that are dug

Comments are closed.


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