Ron DeSantis' GOP nomination odds slip; Nikki Haley overtakes him

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Bettors and investors in the 2024 Republican presidential race are moving away from Ron DeSantis, at least for the moment.

Per the Election Betting Odds website, DeSantis has slumped to a 7.9% chance of winning the GOP nomination, good for third place in the field as of this writing Saturday morning.

DeSantis is down 0.2% in the last day; meanwhile, third place Nikki Haley has surged.

The former South Carolina Governor is at a high point in investor estimation, with an 11.2% chance of getting the Republican nomination.

Haley’s odds have improved by 3.1% over the last 24 hours.

DeSantis and Haley, both of whom will speak during Saturday’s program at the Republican Jewish Coalition meeting in Las Vegas, have jousted over a range of issues that include the proper treatment of the Walt Disney Company and who is more opposed to bringing in refugees from the war-torn Gaza Strip.

Both candidates are far behind Donald Trump, the beneficiary of bettor confidence with a 73.7% chance of winning the nomination for a third time.

Trump also leads the General Election betting market, with a 34.2% chance of winning. President Joe Biden is close behind, ascribed a 33.6% chance of victory based on investor action.

DeSantis is in sixth place in that market, with a 3.5% chance of winning. Gavin Newsom (8.2%), Haley (5.2%), and Robert Kennedy (4.1%) are ahead at this writing, according to the betting trends aggregated from the Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, and Polymarket platforms.

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7 comments

PeterH
October 28, 2023 at 11:44 am

Let’s start placing odds on which candidate gets to clean the underside of the 2024 Republican Klown bus next!
- My Take
  October 28, 2023 at 12:19 pm
  
  I have the at least faint hope that Ivanka is goìng to throw Trump under there too.
Michael K
October 28, 2023 at 11:58 am

I thought his war on drag queens, Black people, women, education, and historical truth was going to vault him somewhere higher than the bottom heap of radical right-wing Trumpism.
rick whitaker
October 28, 2023 at 2:06 pm

when a nutcase like kennedy is ahead of you, hang it up
My Take
October 28, 2023 at 7:26 pm

Ì suspect it is as much a reflection of too many people dislìking him as not enough liking him, at least where he has campaigned.
My Take
October 28, 2023 at 7:47 pm

I of course do not know, but I doubt Haley would be nearly as prone to fascism.
Kevin L
October 29, 2023 at 12:28 pm

All lying Talking Heads who are now back-tracking on many statements made in the past two years. Especially Haley!

Do not get the ‘wool pulled over your eyes’ — almost every candidate will tell the crowd in front of them what they want to hear. Especially the Trump Lickers.