Ron DeSantis’ GOP nomination odds slip; Nikki Haley overtakes him

desantis haley
The Florida Governor is third in the GOP field, and in sixth place overall.

Bettors and investors in the 2024 Republican presidential race are moving away from Ron DeSantis, at least for the moment.

Per the Election Betting Odds website, DeSantis has slumped to a 7.9% chance of winning the GOP nomination, good for third place in the field as of this writing Saturday morning.

DeSantis is down 0.2% in the last day; meanwhile, third place Nikki Haley has surged.

The former South Carolina Governor is at a high point in investor estimation, with an 11.2% chance of getting the Republican nomination.

Haley’s odds have improved by 3.1% over the last 24 hours.

DeSantis and Haley, both of whom will speak during Saturday’s program at the Republican Jewish Coalition meeting in Las Vegas, have jousted over a range of issues that include the proper treatment of the Walt Disney Company and who is more opposed to bringing in refugees from the war-torn Gaza Strip.

Both candidates are far behind Donald Trump, the beneficiary of bettor confidence with a 73.7% chance of winning the nomination for a third time.

Trump also leads the General Election betting market, with a 34.2% chance of winning. President Joe Biden is close behind, ascribed a 33.6% chance of victory based on investor action.

DeSantis is in sixth place in that market, with a 3.5% chance of winning. Gavin Newsom (8.2%), Haley (5.2%), and Robert Kennedy (4.1%) are ahead at this writing, according to the betting trends aggregated from the BetfairSmarketsPredictIt, and Polymarket platforms.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has written for since 2014. He is based in Northeast Florida. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


  • PeterH

    October 28, 2023 at 11:44 am

    Let’s start placing odds on which candidate gets to clean the underside of the 2024 Republican Klown bus next!

    • My Take

      October 28, 2023 at 12:19 pm

      I have the at least faint hope that Ivanka is goìng to throw Trump under there too.

  • Michael K

    October 28, 2023 at 11:58 am

    I thought his war on drag queens, Black people, women, education, and historical truth was going to vault him somewhere higher than the bottom heap of radical right-wing Trumpism.

  • rick whitaker

    October 28, 2023 at 2:06 pm

    when a nutcase like kennedy is ahead of you, hang it up

  • My Take

    October 28, 2023 at 7:26 pm

    Ì suspect it is as much a reflection of too many people dislìking him as not enough liking him, at least where he has campaigned.

  • My Take

    October 28, 2023 at 7:47 pm

    I of course do not know, but I doubt Haley would be nearly as prone to fascism.

  • Kevin L

    October 29, 2023 at 12:28 pm

    All lying Talking Heads who are now back-tracking on many statements made in the past two years. Especially Haley!

    Do not get the ‘wool pulled over your eyes’ — almost every candidate will tell the crowd in front of them what they want to hear. Especially the Trump Lickers.

Comments are closed.


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