A.G. Gancarski
An old Tupac Shakur song claimed “California loves to party.” And if it were remixed today, it might claim that the state’s Republicans also love to support Donald Trump.
That’s one potential interpretation of the latest Public Policy Institute of California poll, a survey showing Ron DeSantis lingering in low double digits, and the former President with majority support. That’s a significant threshold, given a majority of the vote would mean the “winner-takes-all” rule would be in effect, allocating the state’s 169 convention delegates entirely to the former President.
Trump has 53% support among the 316 Republicans expected to vote in the Primary, with DeSantis at 12% — the same number he had in the newest University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies survey, which was also released this week.
And just like in the UC-Berkeley survey, former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley is close behind DeSantis, with 9% support.
DeSantis performs better in some regions than others. In Orange County and San Diego, he has 16% support, his best performance of the five geographic zones. He’s also at 13% in the Central Valley, where Salinas’ Democratic-controlled City Council passed a resolution condemning the Governor’s fundraising trip to the locality.
In the San Francisco Bay Area, DeSantis drops below the overall poll performance, with 11% support, good for a tie with now-withdrawn candidate Mike Pence and 3 points behind tech entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy (as well as 20 points behind Trump).
The Governor has pilloried the city of San Francisco in stump speeches, saying during a recent visit he saw “people defecating on the sidewalk … people using fentanyl … people smoking crack right there in the open” in what he called a “civilization in decay.”
DeSantis is at 8% in the Inland Empire and Los Angeles areas. Trump and Haley lead him in the former, and Trump, Haley and former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie lead DeSantis in L.A.
Despite (or perhaps because of) his rhetoric about stopping illegal immigration, it’s worth noting the Governor’s overperformance with two demographic segments. He’s at 21% with Hispanic voters, which is his best number in the poll. And he’s at 19% with naturalized citizens, many of whom would have emigrated legally to the United States.
This poll was in the field from Oct. 3 through Oct. 19. DeSantis is down 2 points from the previous survey by the same pollster, conducted in late August and early September.
10 comments
Impeach Biden
November 9, 2023 at 8:45 am
When was the last time the People’s Republic of Kalifornia voted for a Republican? The state that has brought you Nancy Pelosi, Kamala Harris, etc is so far gone. First time in their history they lost a Congressional seat and the people and companies continue to flee high taxes, crime, fuel prices, etc.
TJC
November 9, 2023 at 1:49 pm
“…the People’s Republic of California…is so far gone.”
Ah, let’s see, as the state with the highest Gross Domestic Product of all fifty states, California is hardly a “People’s Republic,” but rather a capitalist superpower.
Florida ranks fourth in the nation for its GDP.
In terms of which states contribute the most to the nation’s GDP, California in first place contributes 14.2% of our country’s entire GDP, while Florida offers 5.5%.
But I guess if you have a problem with female politicians like Pelosi and Harris, then California is indeed a nightmare for the likes of you.
Impeach Biden
November 9, 2023 at 8:37 pm
Here’s a few male Kalifornian goofball politicians for you TJC:
Eric Swalwell
Eric Garcetti
Adam Schiff
Gavin Newsom
I did accidentally leave off one of the most incompetent female politicians in this country that happens to reside in Kalifornia. Drum roll………. Maxine Waters.
TJC
November 10, 2023 at 10:52 am
Apparently all very successful American capitalists. Thanks for the list.
And you do have a problem with women, especially women of color. Thanks for the confirmation.
Thomas Kaspar
November 9, 2023 at 8:45 am
Like Tupac here lies the worst blog of the internet .
TJC
November 9, 2023 at 1:55 pm
And yet you can’t stop reading it and whining about it. You are a publisher’s dream: driving up readership with every click here. Publishers don’t care about your opinions, they just want readership. The more readers, the more they can charge for ads. It’s how they make money, and I’m sure they thank you for your help.
Biscuit
November 9, 2023 at 2:00 pm
NewsLeak out of California: a poll of likely GOP voters reveals that 12% of them are idiots, while 53% of them are morons.
Arf.
Impeach Biden
November 9, 2023 at 8:41 pm
Shame on the moderator of this board. Free speech is dead here. What was objectionable about me listing incompetent male politicians in Kalifornia?
TJC
November 10, 2023 at 2:43 pm
When you add a comment, look to see if it gets labeled “Your comment is awaiting moderation.” If you see that, the comment will then disappear for a few hours (more than a few sometimes), but then it gets posted. It’s a random process, and I’ve had it happen to me a half dozen times, but eventually the comment always gets posted. They’re not censoring political commentary, whether it’s satirical, serious, ridiculous, or even mean-spirited. I assume they’re looking for totally inappropriate material. They don’t care about what side you are on politically.
MH/Duuuval
November 10, 2023 at 11:03 pm
I see nothing offensive about listing Ronald Reagan as an incompetent male politician from CA — right up there with Ward Connelly and practically all of the LAPD chiefs.
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