Debate with Gavin Newsom doesn’t buoy Ron DeSantis in betting markets
Ron DeSantis. Image via AP.

DeSantis
The money's not moving toward the Florida Governor after the Fox News showcase.

Investors in presidential betting markets aren’t surging toward Ron DeSantis in the wake of his high-profile Fox News debate with California Gov. Gavin Newsom.

In fact, the main takeaway for cash bettors seems to be a belief that Newsom is not running for President after all.

The Election Betting Odds site, which aggregates the BetfairSmarketsPredictIt and Polymarket platforms, shows the Florida Governor essentially flat in both Republican Primary and General Election markets, despite 90 minutes of television time Thursday and a follow-up on “Fox & Friends” Friday morning in which hosts helped him spin a win out of the debate.

DeSantis is afforded a 4.9% chance of winning the Republican nomination, a number unchanged over the last day. He remains far behind his two leading opponents: Nikki Haley, who has a 13.9% chance of taking the nomination; and former President Donald Trump, with a 77.3% chance of being the Republican standard-bearer for a third time.

Meanwhile, there has been just a slight movement in the General Election market for DeSantis. He’s now seen as having a 2% chance of winning the presidency in 2024, up a tenth of a point in the last day.

This showing puts him ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris’ 1.7% chance of being elected President next year. But others are ahead, including Trump, President Joe Biden, Haley, Newsom (still seen as having a 7.1% chance of winning, though he’s fallen by 1.4 points since Thursday), Robert Kennedy, and former First Lady Michelle Obama, who is also not a candidate for the presidency.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has written for FloridaPolitics.com since 2014. He is based in Northeast Florida. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


11 comments

  • Michael K

    December 1, 2023 at 12:26 pm

    DeSantis is a bad bet for Florida and a DeSaster for America. Better to invest in Beanie Babies.

    • Silly Wabbit

      December 1, 2023 at 4:31 pm

      He kwazy.

  • My Take

    December 1, 2023 at 2:34 pm

    DeSSantos is sunk.
    Unless Trump falls.

    • Silly Wabbit

      December 1, 2023 at 4:33 pm

      Both kwazy.

  • Earl Pitts "Political Scientist Emeritus" American

    December 1, 2023 at 3:50 pm

    Duh America,
    The betting markets don’t want y’all betting on our next POTUS, Ron DeSantis, …. a Dook 4 Brains Leftist would think 🤔 that means “The Ronald” is not going to win in their Dook 4 Brains mindless mind.
    But actually that means the betting markets DON’T want y’all Dook 4 Brains Lefty’s betting on the winner, the Great Ron DeSantis because the betting markets will make big money 💵 if y’all bet on the Looser Democrat to win.
    EPA

    • Silly Wabbit

      December 1, 2023 at 4:31 pm

      You dook.

    • rick whitaker

      December 1, 2023 at 9:01 pm

      earl i offered to bet with you about desantis losing and you didn’t reply. my 5k is still waiting. what, are you a windbag? take me up on it. oh, i forgot, since that challenge i made desantis has slipped way back in the polls, so i guess you won’t be taking me up on my offer. i have money, but i would still like to take 5k from you. of course i would donate the winnings to the biden campaign.

      • Earl Pitts "Political Scientist Emeritus" American

        December 2, 2023 at 8:33 am

        Thank you for the offer Rick,
        But it would not be fair-play to enter into an agreement with another individual in which there would be zero chance of you winning.
        Most likely it would be judged right there at the Pearly Gates at the enterance to “Christian” Heaven above. Most likely St. Peter [For all you non-Christians St. Peter’s job is, at The Pearly Gates, monitoring who gets in and who goes straight to HEII] would call The Lord God Allmighty on his cell phone and advise him that Earl Pitts American is trying to check-in.
        And they would discuss how Earl took advantage of that Non-Christian Rick and …. long story short St. Peter pushes the “Open Trap Door Button” and Earl falls screaming into the firey pit of HEII.
        SO – AGAIN LONG STORY SHORT:
        That, my earthly friend Rick, is why I, Earl Pitts America, can not take advantage of you knowing full well that our friend, Donald Trump, is going to withdraw from his run at POTUS, two weeks prior to election day and order all his supporters to cast their votes for Ron DeSantis.
        Keep your money Rick I, Earl Pitts American, dont want to go to HELL.
        EPA

  • rick whitaker

    December 2, 2023 at 9:03 am

    i knew you were a phoney and that you were probably broke. all that christian bull as a smoke screen was typical of most christians. they put on the christian garb when they are looking for excuses or trying to con someone out of their money. and once again, you failed miserably trying to be funny. in the real world us real people say, put up or shut up. those christian fairy tales you believe in might work in sunday school, but not with me. let me enlighten you earl, there is no hell. whining rhonda is your hero, that don’t say much for your values. reverend earl, what a joke.

    • Earl Pitts "Political Scientist Emeritus" American

      December 2, 2023 at 9:26 am

      Belive it or not, Rick, but the Christian God Allmighty, In Heaven Above, told me that I, Earl Pitts American, will cast out your demons and save your precious soul from the eternal fire of HEII, by converting you into a Christian.
      So relax your sphincter Rick; we will be together in “Christian” Heaven Above For Eternity.
      Earl Pitts “Saving Souls One At A Time” American

  • rick whitaker

    December 2, 2023 at 10:04 am

    earl, go find a sphincter to suck on. does your lord approve of your sphincter fixation. yeah, you are a HUGE phoney.

Comments are closed.


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