Ron DeSantis sinks to new low in Florida GOP Primary polling

Election-2024-Republicans-Florida-DeSantis-4-1699306646
The pollster says the Governor's 2024 presidential campaign 'appears to be in free fall.'

Ron DeSantis’ much-vaunted Florida Blueprint increasingly looks like a tough sell to the state’s Republican presidential Primary voters.

In a Victory Insights survey of 1,220 voters conducted Dec. 8 and 9, the Governor has hit a new low in polling against Donald Trump.

Trump has 59% support, with DeSantis at 19% and Nikki Haley at 8%. Compounding the difficulty for DeSantis, 95% of respondents say they are committed to their choice.

“Trump boasts a more than 40% lead over any of his challengers, and even if the race came down to only Trump and DeSantis, Trump still leads by more than 30 points. DeSantis’s decline since our last poll in August could be attributed to Nikki Haley’s rise — the former UN Ambassador has picked up 6 points while the Florida Governor has lost 4,” notes pollster Ben Galbraith.

A head-to-head matchup between Trump and DeSantis is likewise lopsided, with Trump at 57% and DeSantis at 26%.

Trump remains the clear favorite for the 2024 GOP nomination, even in Ron DeSantis’ home state of Florida. In our latest survey, Floridians’ support for DeSantis’ presidential bid has now dropped into the teens. Not only is this the lowest we’ve seen him since we began tracking this race over a year ago, it’s the lowest support recorded for him in Florida from any pollster at any point in the race. The DeSantis campaign appears to be in free fall,” Galbraith notes.

There is one bright spot for DeSantis: The more money a voter has, the more likely they back the Governor.

“DeSantis does great with the wealthy and horrible with the poor. (In the head-to-head in this poll, Trump leads the lower class by 44% and the upper class by only 23%. Every poll we do we find a similar trend),” Galbraith noted.

This is just the latest Florida poll to show Trump leading by roughly 40 points.

A Florida Atlantic University survey from November showed Trump leading DeSantis, 61% to 20%.

The University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab in a November poll showed Trump had 60% support while DeSantis had just 21% backing.

Florida’s March 19 Primary is a winner-take-all contest, in which 125 delegates to the Republican National Convention will be allocated.

Galbraith’s take is that it’s basically a done deal.

With just over a month to go until the 2024 Iowa Caucus, the Republican primary for President of the United States seems to be shaping up to be a blowout. Though the DeSantis campaign has outwardly expressed confidence in a viable path to victory, the poll numbers tell a very different story.”

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has been the Northeast Florida correspondent for Florida Politics since 2014. He writes for the New York Post and National Review also, with previous work in the American Conservative and Washington Times and a 15+ year run as a columnist in Folio Weekly. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


26 comments

  • Thomas Kaspar

    December 12, 2023 at 6:11 am

    The only thing low at this point is your favorite Democrat Joe Biden .

    • Joe

      December 12, 2023 at 11:05 am

      Hard to get any lower than Thomas Kaspar’s IQ though.

    • rick whitaker

      December 12, 2023 at 5:38 pm

      thomasKaspar, give it up dumbass, your man is going to lose. ha ha ha

  • My Take

    December 12, 2023 at 6:15 am

    “Trump at 57% and **Trump** at 26%. “

  • My Take

    December 12, 2023 at 6:20 am

    A useful thug for the rich.

  • SteveHC

    December 12, 2023 at 7:13 am

    Trump and DeSantis are nearly equal in being genuinely dangerous to American democracy.

    • Impeach Biden

      December 12, 2023 at 7:54 am

      Dangerous to America eh? So how many attacks now on US military installations since the beginning of October? Last I checked it was nearly 80. How about the Southern Border? Do you think those are all peaceful people entering the US illegally? Do you feel safe walking around a large city with gang bangers, flash mobs, smash n grabbers wandering around? This is your Joe Biden panacea I guess.

      • Impeach Trump - oh wait, they did, twice. And 91 Indictments

        December 12, 2023 at 10:02 am

        I’m generally not afraid of flash mobs. Is that an extension of the drag queen fear?

        “A flash mob is a group of people who gather in a public place, perform a short act, and then quickly disperse. Flash mobs can be used for satire, artistic expression, or entertainment.”

      • Marvin M.

        December 12, 2023 at 10:16 pm

        Aw, there you go again, trying to deflect from the actual issue.
        Everything you mention is indeed a concern, but you are missing the point.

        Both Trump and DeSantis are authoritarians. They think they always know what is right, and they pretty much don’t listen to anyone else.
        They have ruled and will rule like that if given power.
        Which is why neither one of them should be given the power of the presidency.
        You only think it’s great because you don’t think for one second The Authoritarian would ever come after you. Or your family. Or anyone you know. But he will.
        Paraphrasing here, “They came after the Peoplenotlikeme, but I wasn’t a Peoplenotlikeme so I did nothing. Then they came after me, and there was no one left to stand up for me”. Something like that.
        That’s exactly where either Trump or DeSantis would take us.
        Vote for either one of them at your peril.

        • Taint

          December 16, 2023 at 7:00 pm

          Moron

  • Elmo

    December 12, 2023 at 7:33 am

    Big Ron just keeps crapping all over himself.

  • Michael K

    December 12, 2023 at 9:23 am

    The one thing DeSantis seems to be quite good at is sinking to new lows. America is discovering what many of us in Florida know to be true: The DeSanti are hatemongers, unworthy and unfit to serve.

  • Joe

    December 12, 2023 at 11:02 am

    Haha! Even John Kasich beat Trump on his home turf in the 2016 primaries. If you can’t even compete in the state you currently govern, you have no business being in a presidential race. More proof that nobody likes you, Tiny D!

    • Ned Beatty

      December 13, 2023 at 12:02 pm

      Yeah, nobody wants an angry hobbit as prez.

  • PeterH

    December 12, 2023 at 11:08 am

    One of Florida’s worst governors will never get elected president of the United States. Independent voters will vote for Joe Biden before Trump or DeSantis!

  • Rhonda Santis

    December 12, 2023 at 11:48 am

    Wearing high-heeled shoes and eating pudding with your fingers will get you nowhere.

    • Michael K

      December 12, 2023 at 12:01 pm

      He will join Rick Santorum, Mike Huckabee, and Ted Cruz as despicable presidential wannabees who preached hate and intolerance, and were soundly rejected.

      Buh bye!

  • FloridaPatriot

    December 12, 2023 at 1:19 pm

    We in Florida KNOW how horrible this guy is and there is no way we want him messing up the rest of the US with his BS.

  • Linwood Wright

    December 12, 2023 at 2:40 pm

    DeSantis sinks to new lows every single day.
    Personally, professionally, and morally.

  • Dont Say FLA

    December 12, 2023 at 3:02 pm

    Nobody wants Rhonda or his Fleur D’uh Eww Print

  • Kenneth L Gallaher

    December 12, 2023 at 5:36 pm

    The exit door is that way.

    • Impeach Biden

      December 12, 2023 at 6:19 pm

      No way Joe Biden could find the exit door without a handler. 😄

      • No Consequences In Florida

        December 13, 2023 at 6:06 am

        He found the entrance into your mind and he’s now locked in there! Let President Biden out of your head and get help…it’s covered by your ObamaCare plan.

Comments are closed.


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