Jesse Scheckner
New polling shows voters in Florida’s most populous county are far keener on Donald Trump than they were in the past two presidential elections.
A survey this month by Miami-based polling company Inquire found the former President holds a 3-percentage-point lead over incumbent President Joe Biden.
That’s despite there being a larger share of respondents who said they voted for Biden (+7) in 2020 and more registered Democrats (+4) than Republicans who answered the survey.
Inquire questioned 500 likely November voters April 9-13 in Miami-Dade. Pollsters stratified the results by precinct, demographics, party registration and educational attainment.
The survey, commissioned by Coral Gables-based consulting firm Miranda Advocacy, had a 4.5% margin of error.
Among respondents, Trump led Biden 48% to 45%, with 8% still undecided. The former President also held greater support within his party, with 94% of GOP respondents saying they’d vote for him compared to 5% who picked Biden.
Meanwhile, Biden held 84% support within his party compared to 8% who said they’d vote for Trump.
Accordingly, while both candidates had net negative image ratings, Trump enjoyed slightly more approval (46%) than Biden (44%). This remained true among no-party voters, with 43% viewing Trump favorably compared to 38% who felt the same about Biden.
“Donald Trump’s strength in Miami-Dade County reflects the widespread adoption of conservative values away from the failed woke policies of the left,” Miranda Advocacy principal Alex Miranda said in a statement.
“This survey shows how the county, a traditionally Democrat stronghold, has shifted significantly. Despite attempts to undermine the Trump administration’s achievements, voters continue to recognize his commitment to economic prosperity and law and order.”
The new Inquire survey comports with a poll the University of North Florida conducted earlier this month, which found Trump with a 2-point edge over Biden among voters nationwide. Notably, that poll also included questions about Trump’s ongoing legal issues, with a sizable portion of respondents saying they’d be disinclined to vote for him if he’s convicted in any of his pending criminal cases.
Concerns over Biden’s age also appear to factor into voters’ opinion, according to polling figures Florida Atlantic University released in November that showed 67% of Florida voters worry the President may be unfit for a presidential rerun. Just 33% said the same about Trump, who is only three and a half years younger than Biden.
The political shift among Miami-Dade voters is stark, considering Biden carried the county by a more than 7-point margin in 2020 and Hillary Clinton outpaced Trump there in 2016 by nearly 30 points.
5 comments
Impeach Biden
April 30, 2024 at 11:35 am
Biden has brought us record inflation. Biden has brought us millions of illegals. The numbers so far are larger than 36 of our states. Think about that one when you get your tax bill down the line. Record crime. How many police officers have been killed lately? Foreign policy is a mess too. He should be further under water but evidently the zombies like to be abused. I do wish the Republicans had a better candidate but it is what it is. Biden must go.
rick whitaker
April 30, 2024 at 3:13 pm
PEACHY, i counted 6 lies or distorted truths in your breif post. trump can easily beat that, but , dude, 6 in 9 sentences, tha’ts REAL bad.
Impeach Biden
April 30, 2024 at 5:07 pm
As Jack Nicholson said in the movie A Few Good Men, “you can’t handle the truth!” Peachy huh? Are you gay? Remember the movie Deliverance? Are you that hillbilly?
PeterH
April 30, 2024 at 3:00 pm
In 2017 every economist promised that Donald Trump’s expansive trade war and tariffs on imported commodities would have a detrimental impact on the cost of retail items purchased by American consumers. The onset of COVID delayed inflation by about one year…. because vast amounts of ASIA export inventory was sitting in ASIA warehouses until there was COVID relief in 2021!
Nationally inflation is somewhat under control but here in Florida, as economist have frequently stated: “continued high inflation is fueled by the cost of housing.”
Trump has promised to impose a new 10% trade tariff on imports if he again becomes president. His logic, if you can call it that, is: “if American factories in Asia realize the pain of not meeting their export quotas to American consumers then the manufacturing will return to the USA.”
This false narrative turns its back on the fact that manufacturing in the USA will never return because consumers WILL NOT PAY for products with American labor at $15.00 per hour.
With this information American voters can finally understand why Republican “Laffer Curve” economic policies HAVE NEVER WORKED ANYWHERE….and Donald Trump has had six bankruptcies subsidized by the American taxpayer.
Today’s Republicans are fractured and incapable of governing. The GOP must be destroyed so it can be rebuilt from the ground up!
Republicans are America’s worst enemy!
Vote all Republicans out of office.
It is what it is
April 30, 2024 at 6:19 pm
It was a very different city in 2016. Yes, Biden is a flawed candidate and no one is happy. His stubborn negligence on the border and the liberal elites’ excusing of this will probably cost him the election because contrary to orthodox belief, minorities seem to care a great deal about fair and logical immigration policies and secure borders, even though for reasons I can’t understand people like to pretend they don’t or shouldn’t?. Both Trump and Biden / both parties in Congress had their unencumbered chances to fix the border crisis and both refused. You can paint it any way you like, it’s final results = 0 for both candidates and both parties. Because they need the problem more than the solution, and so does the economy. They both fully debased the currency in succession of one anther and both used executive office to loosen lending restrictions and exacerbated the housing bubble and affordability crisis which has put the US back to 2007 territory (it’s coming). They are not as different (in effect) as people would like to think. Not even their tax policies are all that different except Biden’s will cost less for families making less than $400k (temporarily) and Trump’s tax policy will cost more for the average family making under $120k (in the thousands) while his 1% buddies will pay nothing. Check out TaxFoundation.Org among others. Both politicians’ policies will cost the US economy trillions in different ways. Both have extreme, stupid, and self defeating energy policies with heavily lobbied interests. I could go on. The choice between 4 more years of bad immigration policy, inflation (but who is naive enough to think Trump will magically fix that for anyone but billionaires? The US economy is growing faster than China’s except in the US it mainly works for the few and against the many, with the gap growing wider each generation) that will further weaken the US, vs. a runaway dumpster fire that will drain the coffers, turn the US into a banana republic, undermine the rule of law, ransack what’s left of our institutions, sell out the US to its adversaries (both parties guilty), destroy international reputation and alliances, install more carpetbagger cronies, and vacuum up what’s left of the constitution…He wants to make America great for ***NOT YOU*** Well, those are our choices. I refuse to support T even though if it had been a different, decent, moderate, genuine conservative candidate or centrist democrat (both extinct species) they would have my support. The truth beyond the window dressing no one wants to admit is underneath all the culture wars and wedge issues, which yes matter, but beyond that, the 2 parties do not diverge that much when it comes to the corporatist crony capitalism system that is now the US, upheld by a morally bankrupt Supreme Court. And the people who think the economy was so great under Trump need to look at the fact the economy was righting itself appropriately after 10 years of sensible banking and lending reforms and capital requirements with moderate tax policies. Trump gets too much credit there, without any of the blame for what’s happened since based on his slash and burn tax policies and weakening financial reforms in 2018 (both parties guilty but that one is his). But then every president gets praised or blamed for the economy while they are in office, when in reality, it’s the results of the previous administration’s policies that are bearing most of that effect. So hold on to your hats whoever gets elected this year. I will hold my nose and vote sleepy joe over dumpster don, then hold on for dear life.
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