A.G. Gancarski
Could Rick Scott end up as a one-term Senator?
While the latest survey from Florida Atlantic University’s PolCom Lab shows him with a slight lead over his Democratic opponent, the poll shows Debbie Mucarsel-Powell could be a serious threat to the Naples Republican.
Regarding Scott’s narrow 47% to 43% lead, PolCom co-director Kevin Wagner noted “there is increasing evidence that this race could be competitive in November.”
The FAU survey, which sampled 1,055 registered voters from Aug. 10 to 11, is stronger for Democrats than another survey released this week.
Polling from Associated Industries of Florida (AIF) shows Scott ahead of Mucarsel-Powell by 10 points (52-42%) with 7% of voters undecided.
Polling of a potential race between Mucarsel-Powell and Scott has been all over the place, and this latest FAU effort falls in between the extremes in surveys in recent months.
In a previous survey released by Florida Atlantic University, she’s just 2 points back among likely voters, 45% to 43%.
That June poll presented a marked contrast to a previous poll by the same outfit that showed a 16-point race, and with a Florida Chamber of Commerce poll that showed a 15-point gap earlier this Summer.
Questions remain, meanwhile, about Scott’s popularity after a USA Today survey released Monday. The R+8 poll showed him at just 35% approval, and suggested the Senator has issues across various demographics.
While Scott is treading water with men (45% approval against 44% disapproval), women voters surveyed here seem to be in revolt, with just 28% approving of Scott and 52% disapproving.
Meanwhile, Scott is also underwater with all groups of voters under the age of 65, while treading water with senior citizens with 40% approval and 40% disapproval.
With those under 35, he is at 35% approval and 57% disapproval. He is at -19 with voters between 35 and 49 years of age, and at the same level with those between 50 and 64.
Yet his performance with Republicans could be most concerning. The Naples Republican has just 59% approval in his own party, against 24% disapproval. Meanwhile, an additional 10% claim to have never heard of the man who has held statewide office continuously since the beginning of 2011.
19 comments
Yrral
August 14, 2024 at 10:50 am
Biggest fraudster in the history of Florida,ran a Racketeering Influence Corrupt Organisation called HCA,stole almost 2 billion dollars from Medicare
Talks the talk, but doesn’t walk the walk
August 14, 2024 at 10:52 am
Scott’s misleading ads will not overcome the fact that when he could have voted to help protect IVF federally, he didn’t.
MH/Duuuval
August 14, 2024 at 12:20 pm
Hard to forget that Scott has proposed sunsetting all major federal programs, including Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid.
Thomas
August 14, 2024 at 2:24 pm
Scott replaced money squandered by Charlie Christ and brought Florida back from disaster.
Now a communist woman wants to challenge him and says she can fix problems caused by Biden and Harris with letting the country being over run by illegals and squandering money to pay back donors with fraudulent green deals that will never work.
All these people want is power to rule other lives.
Jojo
August 16, 2024 at 7:29 am
Communist? That’s the epithet of last resort when you’ve got nothing else.
How about a real charge? Like defrauding the federal government out of billions of dollars?
Judy W Freiberg
August 16, 2024 at 8:50 am
Jojo, yes thank you.
Mark Ludington
August 17, 2024 at 7:58 am
Must be a Republican. Using teenage name calling in referring to Democrats. Have you evidence that DMP is a registered Communist? We have evidence Trump is a convicted felon.
rick whitaker
August 17, 2024 at 6:30 pm
THOMAS, name calling is bad. didn’t your mama teach you anything?
Cynthia
August 19, 2024 at 2:42 pm
How long have been in FL – Scott is a thug and a thief – he crippled FL including the prion systems etc. He is a loser
Matt
August 14, 2024 at 9:58 pm
This article is full of shit. No Democrat is going to win state wide
Yrral
August 15, 2024 at 3:32 pm
Why rule an banana Republic like Florida, when we will be ruling the whole country,with an iron fist , controlling the Executive,Legislation ,and all the branches of Justice Department,our agenda will be national enforce
marilyn
August 15, 2024 at 4:21 pm
My prayer
rick whitaker
August 17, 2024 at 6:33 pm
MATT, are you a prophet, or are you just running your maga mouth?
Yrral
August 15, 2024 at 3:35 pm
American will be free to travel to Cuba, without being controlled by the Cuban Mafia in Florida
MH/Duuuval
August 15, 2024 at 5:43 pm
Not as long as Rubio has anything to do with it. Obama had the right idea, especially permitting travel back and forth. The problem here is the first- and second-generation Miami Cubans who cling to their dream of returning to claim their assets — 60 years later.
Jojo
August 16, 2024 at 7:27 am
I hope someone tells the National Democratic Committee so they’ll start funneling meaningful money into this race. Florida has long been the forgotten stepchild in this country. If a Democrat can’t beat a man who somehow avoided criminal charges for defrauding Medicare, shame on us.
ScienceBLVR
August 16, 2024 at 10:03 am
You are correct, but Floridians have shown time and time again, they have no problem and obviously prefer a criminal in office. Maybe it’s the Tony Soprano syndrome. Both Rick and Trump are immoral and white collar criminals, but folks here still root for them, even when they know who they are. When Trump says he could shoot someone on Fifth Avenue and MAGA will still love him it’s true. And not just MAGA nuts but other more normal folks, even religious people. I just don’t get it..
Michael S
August 16, 2024 at 11:49 am
The fav/unfav result corresponding to actual vote for/against depends on equal name recognition. Scott can have high unfav, but if he is a much more readily recognized person than his opponent, he will still have an advantage in head to head.Mucarsel-Powell needs to advance her name recognition. Political ad buys help, but these don’t have the same impact as getting press from more organic sources…and it is kind of late for that.Ultimately, I don’t think she can garner more votes than Scott unless Harris generates monumental coat tails in Florida by getting up to +5 or better over Trump. And I don’t see Harris seeing the need to really chase Florida.
Alan
August 17, 2024 at 1:08 am
What’s wrong with Democrat loving socialist. Look what democrats have done to California, New York and other liberal states. No wonder people leave those states and come Florida and Texas. Vote Republican and say no to Democratic Party Communism
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