Rick Scott doesn’t believe polls showing close race versus Debbie Mucarsel-Powell

Rick Scott Debbie Mucarsel-Powell SBS AP
'If you look at all my races, the polls have generally been way off.'

While the primary election is still days from being over, pollsters long since have turned their attention to what they say is a close race between Sen. Rick Scott and likely Democratic opponent Debbie Mucarsel-Powell.

But the Naples Republican says the polls are wrong and that he historically has outperformed public surveys.

“We’re going to have a big win. If you look at all my races, the polls have generally been way off,” Scott said Saturday in Jacksonville. “In all three of my races, polls said I was going to lose … because they’re not accurate.”

Scott noted he has been to all counties in Florida, where he has talked “about the issues that people care about,” including inflation, getting national debt “under control,” the importance of a “strong military” (rather than a “woke” one),  and getting “out of these wars” overseas.

“Weakness causes conflict,” Scott said.

Polling of a potential race between Mucarsel-Powell and Scott has been all over the place.

The latest survey from Florida Atlantic University’s PolCom Lab shows Scott with a marginal 47% to 43% lead over his Democratic opponent.

Polling from Associated Industries of Florida (AIF) shows Scott ahead of Mucarsel-Powell by 10 points (52-42%) with 7% of voters undecided.

Other Florida Atlantic University polls showed a 16-point race and a two-point difference, and a Florida Chamber of Commerce poll that showed a 15-point gap earlier this Summer.

Questions remain, meanwhile, about Scott’s popularity after a USA Today survey released last Monday. The R+8 poll showed him at just 35% approval, and suggested the Senator has issues across various demographics.

While Scott is treading water with men (45% approval against 44% disapproval), women voters surveyed here seem to be in revolt, with just 28% approving of Scott and 52% disapproving.

Meanwhile, Scott is also underwater with all groups of voters under the age of 65, while treading water with senior citizens with 40% approval and 40% disapproval.

With those under 35, he is at 35% approval and 57% disapproval. He is at -19 with voters between 35 and 49 years of age, and at the same level with those between 50 and 64.

Yet his performance with Republicans could be most concerning. The Naples Republican has just 59% approval in his own party, against 24% disapproval. Meanwhile, an additional 10% claim to have never heard of the man who has held statewide office continuously since the beginning of 2011.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has been the Northeast Florida correspondent for Florida Politics since 2014. He writes for the New York Post and National Review also, with previous work in the American Conservative and Washington Times and a 15+ year run as a columnist in Folio Weekly. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


15 comments

  • Yrral

    August 17, 2024 at 6:31 pm

    He still do believe,he stole billion from Medicare Google Rick Scott Medicare Fraud

    • Day 27

      August 17, 2024 at 6:58 pm

      Google “Sun-Sentinel and their incorrect polls.”

      • JD

        August 17, 2024 at 8:20 pm

        Google Rick Scott and Largest Medicare Fraud Ever

        • Day 27

          August 17, 2024 at 10:02 pm

          Google, “Debbie stands no chance”

          • JD

            August 18, 2024 at 11:32 am

            Still doesn’t change the fact the BananaRepublicans are backing fraudsters up and down the ticket. Spin that anyway you like. You don’t plead the 5th 60 times if you are of moral character. Maybe I should change my name like you, IB Ed to “34 indictments”.

          • JD

            August 18, 2024 at 11:32 am

            And spiin those anyway you like.

          • JD

            August 18, 2024 at 11:33 am

            Oh, my bad, “34 CONVICTIONS.”!

        • Super ELVIS

          August 17, 2024 at 10:32 pm

          CHASTIZED

          • Super ELVIS

            August 17, 2024 at 10:35 pm

            Day 27,
            “RELAX YOUR POLITICAL SPHINCTER” as the above CHASTIZEMENT applies to JD & NOT To Day 27,
            SUPER ELVIS

          • JD

            August 18, 2024 at 11:28 am

            Haha Shitts, living up to that 8uttload of brown still.

  • MarvinM

    August 17, 2024 at 11:57 pm

    When you go to vote, look at your ballot carefully.

    Don’t leave any race blank. Just pick one.

  • Ocean Joe

    August 18, 2024 at 6:16 am

    Ricky will win because it’s Florida, and over half those who will vote love scoundrels and thieves. Polling on Scott is skewed by voters opinion of him but when its time to vote they always put party over state and country.

    We should be ashamed to send this guy to Washington, but Alabama sent Tommy Tuberville. Desantis has made Florida Alabama-lite with the goal becoming Mississippi, so we can expect the next GOP senator will be Mr. Sabatini.

    • MH/Duuuval

      August 19, 2024 at 4:47 pm

      Reminds me of the old saw: Thank goodness for Alabama and Mississippi.

  • Phil Morton

    August 18, 2024 at 6:36 am

    We’ll have a good idea on Tuesday how it’s going for Rick Scott. Anything under 70% should set off some alarms at his campaign office.

  • what

    August 18, 2024 at 6:03 pm

    Ricky Poo should go fight hamass in Ganja instead of blowing smoke in Florida

Comments are closed.


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