Poll: One point separates Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, Rick Scott in Senate race

mucarsel-powell scott ASSOCIATED PRESS
The result is particularly remarkable given the GOP lean of the sample, which is 39% Republican and 32% Democrat.

A new survey with a strong Republican lean suggests U.S. Sen. Rick Scott may be headed to another nail biter election this November.

The Emerson College Poll of 815 likely voters conducted Sept. 3-5 shows Scott ahead of Debbie Mucarsel-Powell by a statistically insignificant one percentage point, at 46% support to 45%.

This is the closest poll yet between the two, and the result is particularly remarkable given the GOP lean of the sample, which is 39% Republican and 32% Democrat.

“Florida independent votes break for Mucarsel-Powell, 47% to 34%, while 19% are undecided. Women voters break for Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, 48% to 42%, while men break for Scott, 51% to 42%,” the Emerson analysis notes.

Scott is skeptical about polling, as he told Florida Politics last month.

“We’re going to have a big win. If you look at all my races, the polls have generally been way off,” Scott said in Jacksonville. “In all three of my races, polls said I was going to lose … because they’re not accurate.”

Inaccurate or not, at least some of the polls say the race is increasingly close.

In a Redfield and Wilton survey released last week, the first-term Republican from Naples leads his Democratic opponent 43% to 40%.

This survey shows a closer race than last week’s Florida Chamber of Commerce/Cherry Communications poll, which has Scott at 52%, 7 points ahead of the Democrat.

Meanwhile, per a Public Policy Polling survey of the state conducted Aug. 21-22 for the Clean and Prosperous Energy PAC, Scott leads 46% to 43%.

A recent survey from Florida Atlantic University’s PolCom Lab shows Scott with a marginal 47% to 43% lead over his Democratic opponent.

Polling from the Associated Industries of Florida (AIF) shows Scott ahead of Mucarsel-Powell by 10 points (52-42%) with 7% of voters undecided.

Previous Florida Atlantic University polls showed Scott with varied leads, one by 16 points and the other by 2 points, and a Florida Chamber of Commerce poll showed a 15-point advantage for Scott earlier this Summer.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has been the Northeast Florida correspondent for Florida Politics since 2014. He writes for the New York Post and National Review also, with previous work in the American Conservative and Washington Times and a 15+ year run as a columnist in Folio Weekly. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


10 comments

  • Dont Say FLA

    September 6, 2024 at 9:31 am

    Rick should steal more money from Medicaid and/or say more anti-Semitical stuff about Husband Harris. That’ll get him back on point

  • Ocean Joe

    September 6, 2024 at 9:39 am

    It’s simple. Nobody likes Ricky. He’s an embarrassment.
    But on election day the R’s will vote like lemmings and we get another 6 years of nonsense and protectionism for the rich. D’s will vote like lemmings too, but at least for somebody decent. NPAs could throw this race but will split, so we’ll get more 13 point plans to savage social security.

  • Mike

    September 6, 2024 at 10:08 am

    Senator Scott is not the most attractive Senator. He tends to mumble when he speaks as well. However, his voting record is virtually 100% conservative. There is nothing attractive about any democrat these days. Nothing. They are all socialists or worse. This Country needs to get its culture back on track. The only way to do that is to elect personal responsibility conservative candidates who will stand up against the division proffered by democrats. Scott is the only choice.

    • Margaret

      September 7, 2024 at 12:05 am

      Agree

      • MH/Duuuval

        September 7, 2024 at 4:11 pm

        Culture? You mean KKK types marching openly while singing Christian anthems?

        The US military is a socialist organization, and big finance and banking are protecting from failing by individual US citizens.

  • Michael

    September 6, 2024 at 10:16 am

    The cross tabs show undecideds lean 60-40 Harris, which doesn’t represent enough for Harris to overtake Trump, but that would be enough for Powell to overtake Scott. That outcome alone would be a sufficient victory since Harris doesn’t need Florida.

  • Michael K

    September 6, 2024 at 11:41 am

    Time for a change – time to elect a US Senator who serves and represents ALL Floridians. Rick Scott is far past his expiration date.

  • Not the Mango Mussolini

    September 7, 2024 at 3:58 pm

    Here in Sarasota, many of us still refer to Scott as “Red Tide Ricky” as he did zero as Governor after the southwest Gulf Coast was hit with millions of dead fish and more. He panders to the agricultural corporations with more and more fertilizer that ends up in the water exacerbating Red Tide.

    We all remember the Colombia HCA Medicare fraud in the 1990’s when every top executive of the company was indicted, tried and convicted except for one, Scott.

    We can do better. Vote for Debbie Mucarsel Powell by mail, early voting or in person on November 5th. Florida deserves better.

  • MH/Duuuval

    September 7, 2024 at 4:12 pm

    The red tide besmirching all the yachts on the coasts is the point at which Dee became an environmentalist. Rick never came around.

  • Jim

    September 9, 2024 at 6:27 pm

    FINALLY tricky Ricky maybe gone. Cannot believe this useless sack is still pilfering from the tax payers. Plus he gets a pension and FREE medical !! But let’s not help the struggling retirees. Poor or middle class. Disgusting.

Comments are closed.


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