Pollster sees Rick Scott as ‘potentially vulnerable’ to lose re-election bid

Rick Scott Jax image by Gancarski
Another poll shows the incumbent's lead within the margin of error.

New polling may bolster the mood of Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell as she continues her challenge to Republican U.S. Sen. Rick Scott.

Morning Consult sees the Naples Republican as “potentially vulnerable” in November, given that he “leads his Democratic challenger within the margin of sampling error” in a new survey.

Scott is up 46% to 42% overall, with an even more slender 39% to 37% lead with independents.

Notably, neither Scott nor Mucarsel-Powell have majority support among their own genders.

Scott leads 49% to 42% over Mucarsel-Powell with men, with 7% undecided and 2% backing someone else.

Mucarsel-Powell has a 44% to 42% lead with female voters, with 12% undecided and 2% supporting someone else.

Both candidates have 88% support in their respective parties. However, there are roughly a million more Republicans than Democrats in Florida.

In an attempt to close the gap, Mucarsel-Powell has been trying to bait Scott into a debate. She is open to debates on WPBF in West Palm Beach, WFLA in Tampa and WJXT in Jacksonville. Scott isn’t committing to any debates.

National outlets are watching this race, as evidenced by this from RealClearPolitics:

“A possibility for a split Senate exists if Democrats can pick up the Florida Senate seat, where former Democratic Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell is challenging Republican incumbent Rick Scott. The current RCP Average for the Florida Senate Race has Scott up by 4.3 points, but the latest The Hill/Emerson poll, taken earlier in September, had Scott up by only one point, indicating there’s a chance Mucarsel-Powell is gaining and could win the seat.”

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has been the Northeast Florida correspondent for Florida Politics since 2014. His work also can be seen in the Washington Post, the New York Post, the Washington Times, and National Review, among other publications. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


10 comments

  • Yrral

    September 20, 2024 at 1:55 pm

    Google Rick Scott Medicare Fraud

    • Jojo

      September 20, 2024 at 2:02 pm

      “ I plead the 5th” how many times?

      • MarvinM

        September 20, 2024 at 2:05 pm

        Somewhere in the vicinity of 75.

  • Michael K

    September 20, 2024 at 3:31 pm

    Here’s our chance to send Rick into retirement and out of our public life.

    We need and deserve a US Senator who represents ALL Floridians.

    Vote for Debbie Mucarsel-Powell.

    • PeterH

      September 20, 2024 at 4:40 pm

      Grifters like Rick Scott, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump and the very long list of degenerates like the wanna-be North Carolina governor, Matt Gaetz, Jim Jordan are the reason so many socially moderate fiscal conservatives have left the GOP.

      Republicans are America’s worst enemy!

      Vote all Republicans out of office.

  • A Day without MAGA

    September 21, 2024 at 3:41 am

    The Republican governor of Ohio say Trump and Vance are fraud Google Dwine Trump Vance

    • MH/Duuuval

      September 21, 2024 at 10:21 am

      Mike DeWine has mellowed with age and experience as the governor of the entire state unlike the years he was in Congress when he represented a district of Newt Gingrich dupes.

  • gabriel

    September 21, 2024 at 7:18 am

    Scott is a corporatist christian nationalist. He isn’t even a Floridian. He moved to Florida to escape bad press because of his Medicare Fraud Scandal. HE VOTED AGAINST THE IMMIGRATION BILL that would have greatly helped the border crisis only to BLAME Biden and other democrats for his party’s failure to stand against the criminal Trump! As an Independent voter, I have issues with some of the Dem platforms BUT the FAUX Republican party is BEYOND help as it stands now. The “Christian BIGOT Robnison, Trump, Jordan, Green, Boebert, Gaetz, Hawley, Lee, Tim Scott, Cruz, Johson, the senator and the house speaker, ALL OF THEM are liars, love to spread lies and support a candidate who thinks he can win the presidential election but accusing people of eating cats and dogs! These people woudn’t vote for a convicted shop lifter of a pack of gum, yet they will vote for a convicted felon, a 3 times divorced guy who cheated on his wives and had an affair with a porn star. Personally I don’t care, but the “Christian Right” who does support these evil clowns, sure is showing their hypocrisy once again! They are obsessed with their right to own a gun but buy into the propaganda against universal health care. Gee, if their Jesus was to choose between guns and healthcare, I wonder which one he would choose!
    The Republican party’s “Christians and patriots” are neither. They aren’t even true Republicans. I was at one time. They would love to turn the US into a Christian Iran!
    Funny, for a “law and order” party they are full of criminals and don’t really believe in obeying the law unless it suits their current agenda. Also, they chose the color RED for their standard. Hmmmm, RED was the color of communism, no freedom therre, and it is the color of violent bloodshed! Even in nature, flora and fauna alike, which are dangerous are often red. I woujld vote for baloney sandwhich before I’d vote for ANY of these dangerous clowns! The “left” can annoy me but these idiots and their supporters are just plain dangerously scary!
    Most of them should be arrested for violating the “false fire alarm” rule of law. They intentionally create dangerous and violent behavior in people with their lies, bout abortion laws, gays, immigrants, other countries, health care, wages, you name it.
    They love to quote the US constitution. Well, boys and girls it clearly states YOUR religions are NOT entitled to anything but allowing you to believe them, NOT force it upon anyone else!
    Your Jesus, Allah, and Jehova, are characters in YOUR novels.
    That’s what they ARE. If you wish to live your life according to them, good luck. Leave the rest of us alone!
    I believe in a force greater than man, but no way is there a puppeteer “up there” pulling the strings. If there was, how could any of these religious fanatics condemn anyone who is different form them, or who believes differently? Give me a break!
    This era clearly is NOT the “Information age” it is really the “Disinformation age”. IN reality and sadly, the Americans who continue to choose to drink America’s “kool aid” of perceived “exceptionalism” have exactly what they deserve! Too bad the rest of us have to live with them and the consequences of their chosen ignorance, arrogance, and myopia!
    Can we say, “speed bumps, no fault insurance, sky high medical costs, poor wages, corporate greed, unaffordable education, ”
    Good luck America! You’ll need it if you put this scammer back in the oval office. All he really wants is to stay out of jail and make more money!

  • Beedoo

    September 23, 2024 at 2:07 pm

    The Democrat is a Socialist, happy to support the horrible Biden/Harris administration. Scott will always vote with Republicans. That’s all I need from him.

  • KathrynA

    September 26, 2024 at 1:24 pm

    Socialist is a slap happy word used lately and sure this is not the case. Look at posts above and see that Rick Scott is a crook and only cares about his constituents when election time is near.

Comments are closed.


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