Peter Schorsch
Trump 2024 is bullish heading into Election Day.
In a memo, the campaign’s Chief Data Consultant Tim Saler said early voting numbers are signaling victory — potentially a landslide — for Donald Trump.
“In every single battleground state, we see President Trump and Republicans outperforming elections past in absentee ballots and early votes cast. As we dive deeper into the data, Democrats are facing a precipitous decline in urban turnout according to their own ‘data experts’ and we are tracking an uptick in rural turnout,” the memo reads.
Saler also signal boosted anxiety from former Barack Obama Campaign Manager-turned-pundit Jim Messina, who said on MSNBC that “the early vote numbers are a little scary.”
The “scary” part for Kamala Harris and Democrats, the memo asserts, is that most polls show Trump is leading by a substantial margin among voters who plan to cast their ballots Tuesday. If that holds true, Democrats needed to have built up a bigger cushion.
The Trump campaign is seeing other potentially positive trends (for them) in the tea leaves. Namely, turnout among women and urban voters is down across all seven swing states — Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — and in four of those states the rural vote is outpacing 2020.
“Democrats are spinning themselves and reporters by claiming that their voters will turn out on Election Day when polls show otherwise and, most importantly, that’s asking Democrat voters to do something they have absolutely no history of doing,” Saler continues.
“If Democrats, who historically vote ahead of Election Day, haven’t been motivated to show up for Kamala yet, why do we expect them to show up tomorrow?”
6 comments
The Cat In The MAGA Hat
November 4, 2024 at 8:31 pm
How to cast your White Spiteful Demon, from the the White Spiteful Devil Trump Google This American Life
Michael K
November 4, 2024 at 9:33 pm
So now we learn that a White Nationalist was on the Trump staff for over 5 months – and just finally fired. He headed up the work in PA. So much for “hiring only the best.” This guy was co-host of Richard Spencer’s podcast. but I’m sure there are people on both sides?
PeterH
November 5, 2024 at 1:20 am
Hopefully this Washington Post revelation will be the main topic on Tuesday’s news cycle…….
Victoria Olson
November 4, 2024 at 10:28 pm
Who writes this is Republican who supports trump may you burn in the hell he will cause the loss of Democracy as we know it. Polls can be Very Wrong where are you getting your info or your pulling it out of your ass?
PeterH
November 5, 2024 at 1:18 am
Republicans inside the Trump campaign for president are convinced the bottom has fallen out of the campaign. Some have admitted to The Atlantic Magazine that they don’t care if Trump wins.
Dont Say FLA
November 5, 2024 at 5:24 am
More importantly, here’s what I have to say for Election Day:
If you have not voted but you can vote legally, please go vote.
And, everybody be good to all your neighbors who are also voting today. Be good to all your neighbors who are volunteering or working at voting precincts.
You neighbors are not your enemy. Unless they try to steal, by conversion, part of your yard or something. Or their dog keeps pooping in your yard. Or their loose cat keeps eating your petunias and leaving paw prints on your car.. That sort thing is what makes for a bad neighbor. How somebody votes? That’s got nothing to do with it.
IOW, your neighbor is not your enemy just because some influencer tells you they are.
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