Florida Politics - Campaigns & Elections. Lobbying & Government.

Ryan NicolAugust 30, 2018

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A new internal poll from the David Shapiro campaign shows him trailing, but within striking distance of, Vern Buchanan in the race for Florida’s 16th Congressional District. Conducted by ALG Research, the survey showed Shapiro earning 44 percent support among likely voters to Buchanan’s 48 percent — just within the poll’s 4.9 percent margin of error. The […]

Danny McAuliffeJune 7, 2018

If elections were decided by football fans, then supporters of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers would be targeted heavily by Republicans and could be one of just a few team bases to elect someone other than a Democrat. According to a survey distributed by FiveThirtyEight, a data-focused site headed by Nate Silver specializing in content on […]

Staff ReportsOctober 6, 2016

Hillary Clinton’s lead is becoming safer, as the share of undecided voters and voters not supporting a major-party candidate shrinks. Harry Enten with FiveThirtyEight reported Thursday that people backing Clinton and Donald Trump now account for slightly more than 84 percent of the vote. That, Enten reported, is the highest their combined share has been […]

Guest AuthorMay 8, 2016

The next time I get into one of those verbal political brawls that include aging boomers reminiscing about their bucolic lives in a splendid picket-fence of a hometown, I’m hauling out this nugget from Nate Silver: If you want to “get in touch with ‘normal America,’ skip the small towns of your actual or imagined […]

Ryan RayApril 13, 2015

When Marco Rubio at long last jumps in the race tonight at Miami’s Freedom Tower it will mark the entry of the first Republican contender who could really make it to the White House in 2016, writes Harry Enten of FiveThirtyEight. Why, you might ask? Rubio is both electable and conservative, and in optimal proportions. He’s in a position to satisfy […]

Tag: FiveThirtyEight

Internal poll shows David Shapiro within striking distance of Vern Buchanan

It’s a Bucs life? Tampa Bay football is a Republican stronghold

Report: Hillary Clinton’s lead becoming safer as Election Day nears

Linda Cunningham: You can find ‘Real America’ in Tampa, not Des Moines

FiveThirtyEight: With Marco Rubio in, 2016 GOP race gets real