Florida Politics - Campaigns & Elections. Lobbying & Government.

Steve VancoreMay 10, 2016

How do we interpret the latest offering from Quinnipiac University showing Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton in a dead heat? For those who do not know me or what I look like, allow me to offer you a brief description. I am about 6” tall, have killer abs, a full head of hair and possessed with […]

Steve VancoreMarch 8, 2016

A pattern is forming here. According to the latest rounds of polls, Donald Trump’s lead in the upcoming GOP primary appears to be larger in polls conducted via auto-dialers (a.k.a. IVR technology) than those conducted via live operators. We saw late last month where the Quinnipiac numbers showed Trump up by a very strong 20 points over Marco […]

Steve VancoreNovember 4, 2015

It was trumpeted (pun intended) as an “Exclusive Poll” for Bay News 9, and it showed Trump so far in the lead we just had to scratch our heads. Anytime you have an outlier poll with unusual findings it is vital that you turn a skeptical eye to the results – and so we did. […]

Steve VancoreNovember 4, 2015

It was trumpeted (pun intended) as an “Exclusive Poll” for Bay News 9, and it showed Trump so far in the lead we just had to scratch our heads. Anytime you have an outlier poll with unusual findings it is vital that you turn a skeptical eye to the results – and so we did. […]

Steve VancoreNovember 3, 2015

When two highly regarded Florida-based firms join forces for research into voter attitudes, we have little choice but to take them and their findings seriously. In the case of Viewpoint Florida, two of Florida’s top-tier firms – Data Targeting (Pat Bainter and co.) and Public Concepts (Randy Nielsen and Rich Johnson) – have collaborated to […]

Steve VancoreNovember 3, 2015

When two highly regarded Florida-based firms join forces for research into voter attitudes, we have little choice but to take them and their findings seriously. In the case of Viewpoint Florida, two of Florida’s top-tier firms – Data Targeting (Pat Bainter and co.) and Public Concepts (Randy Nielsen and Rich Johnson) – have collaborated to […]

Steve VancoreOctober 29, 2015

The saltshaker is back. Due mostly to a hectic schedule, we put the Florida Politics saltshaker on a brief hiatus. But, as polling season heats up (Did it ever really cool down?) and actual voting isn’t that far off, it’s now time to break it out of the cupboard and take a look at the […]

Steve VancoreOctober 29, 2015

The saltshaker is back. Due mostly to a hectic schedule, we put the Florida Politics saltshaker on a brief hiatus. But, as polling season heats up (Did it ever really cool down?) and actual voting isn’t that far off, it’s now time to break it out of the cupboard and take a look at the […]

Steve VancoreAugust 3, 2015

St Pete Polls recently released findings from a poll showing strong support for two statewide ballot initiatives being proposed in Florida. The first is John Morgan’s second take on medical marijuana and the other is a $10.00 per hour minimum wage being offered by a group known as “League of Voters, Extraordinaire.” Morgan is, of course well known, but […]

Phil AmmannJuly 31, 2015

Mason-Dixon recently released a new statewide poll testing the two pending solar amendments currently making their way through the process in Florida. Despite the fact that both dealt with a similar subject, solar power, it was a tale of two initiatives: one very passable and the other with seemingly no path to victory. The initiative […]

Tag: salt shaker test

Salt Shaker Test: Quinnipiac showing Donald Trump/Hillary Clinton dead heat

Salt Shaker Test on new Monmouth poll: Donald Trump’s lead back down to earth

Salt Shaker Test applied to latest Florida GOP PPP poll

Salt Shaker Test applied to latest Florida GOP PPP poll

Salt Shaker Test applied to recent Viewpoint Florida polling

Salt Shaker Test applied to recent Viewpoint Florida polling

The Salt Shaker returns: Testing a pair of UNF polls

The Salt Shaker returns: Testing a pair of UNF polls

Salt Shaker Test applied to St. Pete Polls' latest

Applying the Salt Shaker Test to the solar amendment poll