Forecast shows state losing millions yearly because of tax cuts

money-rain

The state’s economic forecasters are predicting a hit to state coffers in years ahead because of tax breaks passed this legislative session.

The losses total in the tens of millions each year until 2021, according to a report posted online Tuesday.

Still, the lost revenue per year counts as less than a percent of the state’s annual budget, which this year is roughly $82 billion.

And despite the tax cuts, the state’s Financial Outlook Statement shows general revenue should nonetheless grow every year.

The Revenue Estimating Conference, a panel of legislative and executive branch analysts, revised its January “general revenue” estimates. Lawmakers rely on its forecasts to craft each year’s state budget.

After each legislative session, the panel “assesses the fiscal impact of legislation affecting state revenue collections,” its report says.

Tax and fee cuts passed this year will reduce general revenue by $42.3 million in the current budget year, which began July 1.

The losses rise to $67.4 million in 2017-18, $70.5 million in 2018-19, $73.6 million in 2019-20, and $76.9 million in 2020-21, according to the report.

Earlier this year, the Legislature OK’d and Gov. Rick Scott approved a tax-cut package for the 2016-17 fiscal year.

Among other things, it permanently eliminates the tax charged on purchases of manufacturing equipment and creates a back-to-school sales tax holiday in August.

Jim Rosica

Jim Rosica is the Tallahassee-based Senior Editor for Florida Politics. He previously was the Tampa Tribune’s statehouse reporter. Before that, he covered three legislative sessions in Florida for The Associated Press. Jim graduated from law school in 2009 after spending nearly a decade covering courts for the Tallahassee Democrat, including reporting on the 2000 presidential recount. He can be reached at [email protected].



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