‘It’s still early’: Andrew Gillum leads Ron DeSantis 47% to 43% in new UNF poll

GILLUM_DESANTIS (2)

Another public poll is showing Andrew Gillum ahead of Ron DeSantis in the Florida gubernatorial race.

Gillum, the Democratic option for voters in November, is up on Republican DeSantis by 4 percentage points, according to the survey released on Monday from the University of North Florida.

The lead is narrowly outside the poll’s near-4 percent margin of error. In total, 47 percent of the 605 likely voters went for Gillum, DeSantis 43 percent. Ten percent did not know who they’d pick.

All public, post-primary surveys of the race have consistently shown Gillum ahead. A Rasmussen poll released last week gave the Tallahassee mayor a 6 percent edge on DeSantis, Gillum’s biggest yet. Another poll from Florida Atlantic University released last week had the race much closer, with Gillum up just 2 points on DeSantis.

“It’s still early in the election season, and even though Gillum has a small lead a lot can happen in the next 6 weeks,” noted Dr. Michael Binder, who leads the UNF polling outfit.

Both candidates show strong support among likely party voters. Of the 234 Democrats surveyed, 85 percent favored Gillum, with just 6 percent choosing DeSantis. Likewise, DeSantis carried 81 percent support from GOP voters. But Gillum performed slightly better with voters across the aisle, grabbing 11 percent support from Republicans surveyed.

Gillum also holds a notable lead among the 117 nonparty affiliates sampled, up 13 percent on DeSantis. Although 19 percent indicated they did not know who they’d pick if the election were today.

The poll was conducted Sept. 17-19 using live calls.

Danny McAuliffe

Danny is a contributor at floridapolitics.com. He is a graduate of Fordham Law School and Florida State University, where he served as the editor of the FSView & Florida Flambeau. Reach him at [email protected].


10 comments

  • Michael L. Brown

    September 24, 2018 at 5:41 am

    Did this poll include the Reform Party’s Darcy Richardson — the only pragmatic candidate running against these two extremists, one of whom wants to abolish the Immigration and Customs Enforcement agency while armed with an exorbitantly expensive pocketful of pie-in-the-sky promises that will virtually bankrupt this state, and the other who not only supports the repugnant idea of building a wall in a state with one of the most culturally diverse cities in the world, but who also mistakenly believes that Florida farmers — arguably the most environmentally sensitive and productive people in this state — are responsible for our current water crisis?

    Both of these guys — Gillum and DeSantis — are demagogues.

    Floridians are looking for an alternative to these two extremists and the Richardson-Argenziano ticket will surprise a lot of people on November 6th.

    • Rosco Tuttle

      September 24, 2018 at 6:44 am

      Great post by the Desantis campaign! Way to go!

  • Seber Newsome III

    September 24, 2018 at 10:03 am

    I am sure that Floridians will not elect a SOCIALIST to become our Governor.

  • Ray Tampa

    September 24, 2018 at 10:27 am

    I am sure that Florida will not elect a DERANGED, LYING, RACIST who thinks that charter schools do not need any oversight/accountability standards.

    Furthermore, Florida voters can ‘smell’ a brown-noser a mile away.

    • Nordonia Nate

      September 24, 2018 at 2:39 pm

      Ray, all your posts carry a great deal of animus and anger? It is your belief and opinion that attacking the character of those you do like increases your credibility?

      I have asked you countless times how Gillum plans to finance and implement his agenda. And you choose not to provide those answers. We do know Gillum wants to raise taxes on businesses, but we don’t know is how much his agenda costs Floridians.

      Ray, do you know?

  • Seber Newsome III

    September 24, 2018 at 10:54 am

    You must be talking about Gillum, whose nose is so far up George Soros butt you cant see him.

  • Chris Farrell

    September 24, 2018 at 10:58 am

    Cant wait to send Andrew Gillum to Tallahassee. Any one who understands the local problems we face in Florida should be ecstatic to have a Governor who has experienced those problems first hand as a citizen, rather than a politician slinging lies, fear and propaganda to please the special interests that they’re beholden to

    • Nordonia Nate

      September 24, 2018 at 2:41 pm

      Chris, can you share some of that with us?

  • Michael L. Brown

    September 24, 2018 at 12:46 pm

    You’re all so deluded. Floridians are looking for an honest alternative that can move this state forward — and the Richardson-Argenziano campaign, free from the left-wing influence of George Soros and his ilk and the deep pockets of corrupting corporate interests on the right — is precisely the kind of ticket that can make that happen.

    The corrupt duopoly, both dependent on special interests and self-satisfied billionaires looking to get yet one more advantage over hard-working Florida taxpayers — those struggling to make ends meet — is destroying this state and country.

    Neither of the Reform Party candidates has an FBI investigation hanging over their heads and neither of them is dependent on the narcissistic imbecile in the White House to put them in the governor’s mansion.

  • Michael L. Brown

    September 24, 2018 at 1:14 pm

    Florida’s political pundits will only realize it after the fact, but the state’s 2018 gubernatorial election could very well be the revenge of the moderates — the millions stuck in the middle — those turned off by the extremism offered by both major parties.

    “Centrism, not extremism” could be the way the corrupt two parties are finally put out to pasture in this country.

    The Sunshine State could pave the way…

Comments are closed.


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