Carlos Curbelo up just 1 point over Debbie Mucarsel-Powell in latest poll
After getting uninvited to the House Ways and Means Committee, Carlos Curbelo is looking at another run for Congress.


A new poll commissioned by Telemundo 51 in South Florida shows Republican U.S. Rep. Carlos Curbelo just one percentage point ahead of his Democratic challenger Debbie Mucarsel-Powell.

The survey was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy Oct. 3-9.

It showed 46 percent of voters in Florida’s 26th Congressional District supporting Curbelo, while 45 percent favored Mucarsel-Powell. Just 9 percent of the 625 likely voters were undecided. The poll had a margin of error of 4 percentage points.

The results are no surprise in a contest that has consistently polled tight throughout the general election.

Election analysts have taken notice, either giving Curbelo a slight edge or rating the race as a toss-up.

Mucarsel-Powell has a 12-point edge among women, according to the Telemundo 51 survey, while Curbelo holds a 16-point margin among men. Mucarsel-Powell also led among white and black voters. Curbelo was ahead among Hispanics.

Both Curbelo and Mucarsel-Powell earned similar net favorability ratings, though Curbelo was more well-known.

The incumbent had a net favorability rating of 8 percentage points, with 43 percent viewing him favorably and 35 percent unfavorably. For Mucarsel-Powell, 34 percent viewed her favorably and 25 percent unfavorably, for a net rating of 9 percentage points.

Respondents rated immigration as the number one issue. The economy and jobs was named the second most important issue, followed by health care.

Ryan Nicol

Ryan Nicol covers news out of South Florida for Florida Politics. Ryan is a native Floridian who attended undergrad at Nova Southeastern University before moving on to law school at Florida State. After graduating with a law degree he moved into the news industry, working in TV News as a writer and producer, along with some freelance writing work. If you'd like to contact him, send an email to [email protected].


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