Latest St. Pete Polls survey pegs Fla. Gov. race Andrew Gillum 47%, Ron DeSantis 46%
Ron DeSantis insists on spreading false attacks on Andrew Gillum.

desantis gillum 10.21.18

The two candidates competing to become Florida’s next Governor are shaping up for a photo finish on Nov. 6.

That’s according to the results of the latest survey from St. Pete Polls, which has consecutively put Democrat Andrew Gillum with an inside-the-margin-of-error lead over Republican Ron DeSantis.

The poll, conducted over the weekend but wrapped before the two candidates debated Sunday night, put Gillum at 47 percent and DeSantis at 46 percent. That mirrors results from St. Pete Polls last week that put Gillum at 47 percent and DeSantis at 46.

Despite a razor-thin lead, the poll carries good news for Gillum. He’s the preferred candidate among those who’ve already voted, 51-45. In the survey conducted last week, DeSantis led that metric 49-45. In total, a little more than 4 percent of respondents were undecided. Twenty-seven percent of all respondents said they already cast their ballots for the election. The rest, 73 percent, indicated they planned to vote.

The new numbers stand in contrast to a poll released from CNN on Sunday, which gave Gillum a 12-point edge over DeSantis.

An overwhelming 81 percent of black voters surveyed went for Gillum, with just 13 percent opting for DeSantis. On the other hand, DeSantis leads in support among white voters, 54-40. Gillum has a 6-point edge over DeSantis among Hispanic voters.

With respect to appeal across the aisle, both candidates garnered around 14 percent of voters from the opposite major party. Party support hovers around 80 percent for both candidates, although less so for Gillum as almost 5 percent of Democrats were undecided.

The poll was conducted through an automated phone call polling system. The results were then weighted to account for proportional differences between the respondents’ demographics and the demographics of the active general election voter population for the state of Florida. The weighting demographics used were: political party, race, age, gender and media market. The voters polled were chosen at random within the registered voter population within the state of Florida.

Voters who said they were not planning to vote were excluded from the results below. The sample size is 1,575 and the results have a 2.5 percent margin of error at a 95% confidence level.

Danny McAuliffe

Danny McAuliffe is a Tallahassee correspondent for Florida Politics. He is a graduate of Florida State University, where he served as the editor of the FSView & Florida Flambeau. He is a lifelong Floridian and indulges in swimming, hiking, running and memes when the news cycle permits. Reach him at [email protected]


6 comments

  • Independent In Jax

    October 22, 2018 at 12:54 pm

    Its time for change. The people of Florida want it, need it, and deserve it.

    And frankly, most Floridians want government to operate effectively and fairly. Republicans know it. That’s evidenced by the fact that outspoken Republican opposition to Amendment 4 has been nonexistent. Why? Because the GOP knows that even a majority of their own voters are over the hypocrisy surrounding opposition to that amendment.

    Bettering society is not socialism. Gillum is for making Florida a better, fairer state for all its residents, and that resonates with me. He has my vote.

    • Chad

      October 22, 2018 at 5:03 pm

      Your a fucking idiot!!!

  • Gohen Maher

    October 22, 2018 at 2:28 pm

    If Gillum was to become governor , Florida will become another California. A liberal state protecting the rights of the illegals over legal citizens. Penalizing those who are legal citizens to support illegal aliens here to take from our entitlement programs not to contribute to our economy.

    • Bobby

      October 23, 2018 at 7:43 am

      If Florida became the number 6 economy in the world then we should follow California’s footsteps in terms of economic development and environmental protection. The immigration debate is just about conjuring fear of a browning America.

  • DocJon

    October 22, 2018 at 3:54 pm

    Gillum says that he is campaigning as a member of the Sanders–Ocasio-Cortez wing of the Democratic party, also stated by Sanders as a “Progressive Socialist Democrat.”
    Cannot vote for someone who wants to disband ICE and all the things he wants to do to cripple Florida’s thriving economy. Have a rather lengthy list.
    Give me another Bob Graham or Lawton Chiles, I did not leave the Democrats, the Demon-Rats left me.

    • Bobby

      October 23, 2018 at 7:46 am

      We need to restructure schools and pay teachers properly and provide proper healthcare with people withpreexixting positions. Companies are making money, just not paying their fair share of taxes. If that is socialism that is what is needed.

Comments are closed.


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