Maria Elvira Salazar internal poll puts her ahead by 9 points

Maria Elvira Salazar Donna Shalala

The Maria Elvira Salazar campaign is pushing back against the notion that she’s falling behind in the race for Florida’s 27th Congressional District, releasing an internal campaign poll showing her well ahead in the contest.

Salazar, the Republican candidate in CD 27, is competing against Democratic nominee Donna Shalala for the seat held by retiring U.S. Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen.

The new poll from Salazar’s team, conducted by McLaughlin & Associates, shows Salazar earning 50 percent support to Shalala’s 41 percent. The survey was conducted Oct. 11-14 and sampled 400 registered voters.

Those results are in opposition to an independent poll from the New York Times showing Shalala ahead 44 percent to 37 percent. Another recent poll from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee had Shalala up by 5 points.

As always, take publicly-released internal polls with a grain of salt. Having said that, the Tampa Bay Times did recently downgrade Shalala’s chances to win the CD 27 seat, event after the release of the New York Times poll.

However, with the same information, the Cook Political Report moved its projection in the opposite direction, changing the race from a toss up to “lean Democratic.” That means Shalala is not a slight favorite, according to the site.

What’s for sure is the seat is not as much of a sure thing as Democrats had hoped. But given other available polling, it’s unlikely Salazar is running away with the race, as her internal poll claims.

Ryan Nicol

Ryan Nicol covers news out of South Florida for Florida Politics. Ryan is a native Floridian who attended undergrad at Nova Southeastern University before moving on to law school at Florida State. After graduating with a law degree he moved into the news industry, working in TV News as a writer and producer, along with some freelance writing work. If you'd like to contact him, send an email to [email protected].


  • N. Green

    October 23, 2018 at 9:25 pm

    Let’s go Republicans , We have to keep the House and more Senators to get things done for WE THE PEOPLE. VOTE EARLY!


    November 5, 2018 at 12:12 am

    dont let an old corrupted shalala to get the house seat, Maria elvira, es a real good person and i hope will be a great representative.

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