Poll: Jane Castor likely to deliver a major defeat to David Straz
The latest poll puts Jane Castor way out in front over David Straz.

Castor v Straz 3
Straz would still lose even if he captured support from all remaining undecided voters.

Jane Castor appears poised to win big in next Tuesday’s Tampa mayoral runoff.

A University of North Florida poll released late Monday shows Castor 36 points ahead of her challenger, philanthropist David Straz.

Of more than 650 likely voters polled, 64 percent said they planned to vote or had already voted for Castor. Only 28 percent were voting for Straz with the remaining 9 percent still undecided.

If the polling numbers are indicative of actual voting trends, Straz would still lose even if he captured support from all remaining undecided voters.

The polling results echo those from the March 5 municipal election in which Castor led Straz by 33 points.

“Castor almost got to 50 percent in the March election, it appears as though the will easily garner a majority of the vote next week,” said Michael Binder, faculty director of the Public Opinion Research Lab at UNF.

Castor’s support is highest among Democrats with 68 percent of those supporting the former Police Chief. Among Republicans, Castor’s support was lower but still represented a strong majority with 59 percent supporting her.

The poll also suggests Straz’s negative campaign tactics aren’t working. Of the more than 700 respondents asked whether Tampa was headed in the right direction, 78 percent said it was.

That counters Straz’s narrative that the city is being run by a “good ol’ boys” network and needs to be cleaned up.

Castor also leads voters on issues identified as top priorities in the city. Twenty-seven percent of respondents said access to public transportation is their top priority. Of those who ranked transportation at the top of their priorities, 72 percent supported Castor.

“The most important issue to voters across all parties, access to public transportation, is one of Castor’s strongest issues,” Binder said.

Straz did not lead Castor in any of the top nine issues upon which voters were polled.

There’s one bright spot for Straz: A majority of voters polled want to get rid of red light cameras, one of Straz’s top campaign priorities.

Of those polled, 54 percent want to stop the city’s “Stop on Red Tampa” program while just 42 percent favored keeping it.

The poll’s demographics match Tampa’s political makeup with 54 percent of responses from Democrats. Nearly half of Tampa’s registered voters are Democrats.

More than three-quarters of the surveys were conducted on cell phones with the rest on landlines.

Janelle Irwin Taylor

Janelle Irwin Taylor has been a professional journalist covering local news and politics in Tampa Bay since 2003. Most recently, Janelle reported for the Tampa Bay Business Journal. She formerly served as senior reporter for WMNF News. Janelle has a lust for politics and policy. When she’s not bringing you the day’s news, you might find Janelle enjoying nature with her husband, children and two dogs. You can reach Janelle at [email protected].

One comment

  • Mary Magdelena

    April 16, 2019 at 9:41 am

    Fake polls are fake news and slighted to distort the truth.

    I believe major election fraud took place in Florida under Rick and Pam’s leaderships.

    I was used and abused by top state leaders to beta test female trafficking to cover up state racketeering operations.

    I was stalked, trafficked and sexually assaulted that was set up by St. Petersburg police in Tampa underJane Castor’s entire leadership as police chief.

    I was Female trafficked to cover up SPPD police sex crimes against my family.

    The past state leaders would not investigate SPPD sexual perversions, creation of a judicial coup to promote female trafficking, child kidnapping, subversion of dependency court, taking over unfounded sheriffs investigation to start fakes ones, subversion of due process to quietly kidnap a child in St. Petersburg and use lies to say it’s all under immunity.

    And the past state leaders traded powers with SPPD to exploit the local police department resources to over empower state coup leaders.

    Based on personal experience, Jane Castor will over empower local and state coup leaders to harm woman and the public at will and will misrepresent the truth to use power corruptly to continue to cover up official crimes against woman.

    IMO/E and intuition, the past state leadership set up State wide election fraud to slowly enslave and harm the public and grant tech gurus fairy wishes for creating AI election coup software to backdoor any election.

Comments are closed.


Florida Politics is a statewide, new media platform covering campaigns, elections, government, policy, and lobbying in Florida. This platform and all of its content are owned by Extensive Enterprises Media.

Publisher: Peter Schorsch @PeterSchorschFL

Contributors & reporters: Phil Ammann, Drew Dixon, Roseanne Dunkelberger, A.G. Gancarski, Anne Geggis, Ryan Nicol, Jacob Ogles, Cole Pepper, Gray Rohrer, Jesse Scheckner, Christine Sexton, Drew Wilson, and Mike Wright.

Email: [email protected]
Twitter: @PeterSchorschFL
Phone: (727) 642-3162
Address: 204 37th Avenue North #182
St. Petersburg, Florida 33704