As fatalities, hospital admissions rise, new COVID-19 cases appear easing in Orlando area

New case report totals have trended downward for a week

With 698 new COVID-19 cases reported in Orange County and 1,517 across Central Florida Friday, the region’s new case totals continued a week-long downward trend — though the arcs for new hospital admissions and deaths continue upward.

The new coronavirus case totals for Friday, while higher than the previous several days, are actually lower than what is usually seen on Fridays. As a result, greater Orlando’s coronavirus outbreak is beginning to look as if the summer resurgence in Orange and across Central Florida might have peaked a week ago.

On Friday, July 17, the rolling seven-day average for new cases being reported in Orange County hit an all-time high of 843, and for Central Florida, an all-time high of 1,694. Those rolling seven-day averages began inching downward on Saturday and have continued downward on nearly each day since.

With the latest report from the Florida Department of Health released Friday morning, the rolling seven-day average for new cases in Orange County is now 558, and for the six-county region, including Orange, Volusia, Osceola, Seminole, Brevard, and Lake counties, the daily average has declined to 1,297 new cases.

The positive-test rates for Central Florida’s counties also have been inching downward for more than a week, leading officials to express hope that the local mask orders and state social distancing directives might finally be impacting the spread of the virus.

“We have seen a small gain in that area,” said Dr. Raul Pino, Orange County health officer for the Florida Department of Health.

However, the state reports, and experiences nationally and internationally, have shown that the trend for coronavirus hospital admissions lags about 10 or so days behind cases, and for deaths about 10 or so days behind hospital admissions. And those trends are apparent across Central Florida.

“The high number of deaths is a reflection of the high number of cases that we had two weeks ago,” Pino said at a briefing Thursday evening.

On Friday, 61 new hospital admissions were reported across Central Florida, including 18 in Orange County. And 23 more COVID-19 related deaths were reported, including eight in Orange County. That follows two worst-ever days for fatalities for the region, with 27 reported on Wednesday and 35 on Thursday.

The rolling seven-day average for hospital admissions across Central Florida has roughly plateaued, averaging around 50 or so a day, give or take one or two, for the past week, registering at 50.6 on Friday.

The rolling seven-day average for deaths, however, has been mounting, now at 19.7 per day for the six-county region. That is up from a previous worst 17.6 recorded on Thursday, and up from 11.4 last Friday.


Editor’s note on methodology: The Florida Department of Health releases new data every morning around 10:45 a.m. The total number reported in those daily reports include the previous day’s totals as well as the most up to date data as of about 9:30 a.m.

Florida Politics uses the report-over-report increase to document the number of new cases each day because it represents the most up-to-date data available. Some of the more specific data, including positivity rates and demographics, consider a different data set that includes only cases reported the previous day.

This is important to note because the DOH report lists different daily totals than our methodology to show day-over-day trends. Their numbers do not include nonresidents who tested positive in the state, and they only include single-day data; therefore, some data in the DOH report may appear lower than what we report.

Our methodology was established based on careful consideration among our editorial staff to capture both the most recent and accurate trends.

Scott Powers

Scott Powers is an Orlando-based political journalist with 30+ years’ experience, mostly at newspapers such as the Orlando Sentinel and the Columbus Dispatch. He covers local, state and federal politics and space news across much of Central Florida. His career earned numerous journalism awards for stories ranging from the Space Shuttle Columbia disaster to presidential elections to misplaced nuclear waste. He and his wife Connie have three grown children. Besides them, he’s into mystery and suspense books and movies, rock, blues, basketball, baseball, writing unpublished novels, and being amused. Email him at [email protected]


  • Anes11

    July 24, 2020 at 1:39 pm

    This is all BS. Talk about padding numbers. They are testing hospital employees who are not sick, just randomly. If they test positive for antibodies, it is counted as a covid case. One cardiology office group all came back positive with no swab sample submitted! I have firsthand knowledge about this. Fake tests everywhere to keep the numbers up and the people and businesses locked down. They want to force vax you.

  • gertie

    July 25, 2020 at 3:42 am

    Its hard getting a handle on the new cases,but with efforts from everyone, to wash hands ,wear maskes, stay your distant, you can shop, eat outside if poss, or mske sure your not stting next to table ,too close,. The numbers are coming don, but people , who have had CV19 now come in list, (its now cler)which they should have sep list,also in UK , if you get run over, or get killed, or just die, and you have tested positive for Covid, they list you as ded from it? which is stupid, also many in old folks homeds, hsve no symptoms, die, its shown agsin ss Covid, It is bad in the way it spresds, but common sense, till the vacine is on the market will reduce it to low, In other words, if everyone wore a Bio Hazzaed suit for 14/16 days, it would eradicate, unless China gave us a bit more/Ha Ha

  • Sonja Fitch

    July 25, 2020 at 5:36 am

    Remember duffus Desantis is criminally negligent in his halfass responses to the trump
    Virus !

Comments are closed.


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