Poll: Donald Trump losing ground to Joe Biden in Florida
Donald Trump’s down in a new poll. Image via AP.

Donald Trump
Pollsters said Biden had "notable strength" in the Sunshine State.

Though the big news of the political week was Joe Biden selecting Senator Kamala Harris as his running mate, new polling says Biden was surging in Florida even before the rollout.

The Change Research/CNBC “States of Play” poll, conducted from August 7 through 9, shows Biden with a six point lead over President Donald Trump, both nationally and in Florida, at 50% to 44% in each cohort.

In a memo accompanying the results, pollsters said Biden had “notable strength” in the Sunshine State.

For Biden, that result represents a good news/bad news scenario. Biden was up nine points nationally (51% to 42%), but only three points in Florida when the poll was previously conducted in late July.

The poll focuses on battleground states, and shows a 48% to 44% lead across battleground states

The poll finds that Biden leads Trump (48% to 44%) among likely voters across the battleground states as a whole (Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin). Biden leads in all states but the North Carolina, where Trump is up 1 point.

Trump is underwater in the battleground states, which this survey lumps together as an aggregate, with 43% personal favorability against 53% unfavorability, with 50% of those regarding the President “very unfavorably.”

The President’s job approval, meanwhile, is somewhat better among battleground voters, with 46% approving of his job performance and 51% disapproving.

Biden’s favorability is at 43%, but those who dislike him are entrenched in their positions, with 44% seeing the former Barack Obama Vice President very unfavorably.

President Trump’a audacious executive orders that would, at least in theory, offer expanded unemployment relief among other government benefits, have not resolved the question of whether Biden or he is best suited to drive American economic resurgence. Battleground voters are evenly split as to who would handle the job better.

The poll of 2,701 likely voters was conducted online across the battleground states, and assumes a 1.9% margin of error.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has been the Northeast Florida correspondent for Florida Politics since 2014. His work also can be seen in the Washington Post, the New York Post, the Washington Times, and National Review, among other publications. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


9 comments

  • S.B. Anthony

    August 12, 2020 at 11:00 am

    Racist, misogynistic, ignorant psychopaths will never leave trump. As the fake pres says, “it is what it is.” The rest of us will vote Biden/Harris and get our country back on track before we’re all speaking Russian.

    • Harriet N BRINKER

      August 12, 2020 at 11:56 am

      How STUPID is this message and we Republicans are growing by leaps and bounds we don’t talk or brag about. Just take a good look at just one Republican event in Florida. No one believes any one of the Biden-Harris poles because they are basement made and full of rational errors like no democrat could see or benefit from. So Lady go back to sleep. I have a line outside my door at this moment for people who are now waiting to change party to Republican. Have to get back to work.

      • Simon

        August 12, 2020 at 12:44 pm

        I don’t know about that. I am not seeing any Trump signs in my neighborhood and it’s 75 percent republican. I don’t see the enthusiasm this election or maybe Trump is making them pay for signs because he is diverting the money to his own pocket to make sure he can get to Russia after this election.

    • Austin

      August 20, 2020 at 7:35 am

      You have seen the Russian collusion hoax,is really a hoax….not many take a plea deal, after faking information to obtain a warrant to start the fake Russian investigation, if they are innocent. So, once again, another Democrat that cant see, research, think or even bother with the truth.

      I guess you like socialism and the likes of Spcialistic Bernie and AOC as advisors to Biden. I guess you like a 94 trillion Green New Deal….wow, no wonder this country is in trouble. We have geniuses thinking the Russian Collusion is still true.

      WOW!

  • Eric Larson

    August 12, 2020 at 12:19 pm

    Change Research/ CNBC poll. You’ve got to be kidding me. No credibility here.

  • Sonja Fitch

    August 12, 2020 at 2:47 pm

    Vote Joe and Kamala! Two good and decent humans that make mistakes, say they made the mistake and then correct the mistake! Enough of the paranoid delusional racist sexist sociopath liar traitor Trump!

  • Joe Fatala

    August 12, 2020 at 4:21 pm

    HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA. Say goodbye to the Sociopath in Chief in the White House. As my uncle used to say “Good riddance to bad rubbish.”

  • James R. Miles

    August 13, 2020 at 9:04 am

    The sooner Trump is out of office, the faster the U.S. can return to normalcy. This fascist, divisive, racist complete idiot who doesn’t even know when WW2 ended among a litany of other stupid statements appeals only to the lowest intelligence non thinkers who don’t have a clue! The GOP represents the rich and corporate America only, not working people! Hopefully the GOP is headed for disaster in November!

  • janglee

    August 17, 2020 at 7:56 pm

    All those stating they are voting for Biden are voting for a very progressive socialist agenda that frankly we won’t stand for. There will be a civil war over their socialist agenda. We won’t allow Socialist to take over our Democracy. So if you want war, if you are registered as a Democrat or live in a big city prepare to pay a huge cost.

Comments are closed.


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