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Gov. DeSantis’ political prognosis is better than you think

DeSantis’ positioning is less about what he did right than about what others did wrong.

For all the cries about “DeathSantis,” Gov. Ron DeSantis is in better shape than his critics may realize.

Sure, he’s presiding over a state that is regularly seeing 17,000, 18,000 even 20,000 new cases of COVID-19 a day in recent weeks.

Yes, he aligned himself with President Donald Trump right from the start, an allegiance that is more toxic now than ever.

He was inaugurated just two years ago and, after a brief honeymoon in which would-be detractors thought for a moment he might actually be a “good” Republican, COVID-19 came along to whisk away any shred of bipartisanship that had existed in his early months.

Critics, most of whom are unrelentingly harsh, bash DeSantis over and over again for mishandling the pandemic — there was not nor will there be a statewide mask mandate and the vaccine rollout had an unenviable and botched rollout — but their battle cries may be shaping up to be the equivalent of throwing spaghetti at a wall.

Don’t get me wrong, some of the criticism is warranted. DeSantis’ early decisions on the pandemic likely cost lives and certainly he had more than enough time to ensure shots in the arm once a vaccine arrived didn’t result in damning images of senior citizens camping out overnight … in captain’s chairs, in the cold … for their chance to get one.

DeSantis’ decent positioning is less a credit to what he has done right than it is to how much everyone else has done wrong.

After the November election and, even more so, after last week’s events in the U.S. Capitol, DeSantis is in far better shape politically than his eventual rivals, and certainly better than his haters predict.

And that might just be enough.

Let’s set on a shelf for a moment DeSantis’ 2022 prospects and look two years beyond. DeSantis is perhaps in prime position for a 2024 presidential run. He has become a fixture on national cable, a God among gods on Fox News. And even though his presence on more left-leaning networks (read: a CNN exchange with a reporter who, depending on who you ask, either shamed DeSantis or got shamed by him) has been less than flattering, the far-right base eats up what they see as the Governor’s fearless commitment to freedom and the economy.

More than that, his would-be rivals have all endured a series of self-inflicted wounds that will follow them well into the 2024 cycle.

Take Texas Sen. Ted Cruz as exhibit A. He not only led efforts in the U.S. Senate to challenge the legitimacy of President-elect Joe Biden’s victory despite dozens upon dozens of court challenges upholding the election as both fair and free of any meaningful fraud, he continued to do so even after a mob of insurrectionists stormed the U.S. Capitol at the behest of their flawed leader.

It’s not a good look to be still aligned with a President largely, even among some in his own party, believed to have encouraged the first U.S. Capitol breach since the War of 1812.

For exhibit B, I present to you the once rising star, Missouri Sen. Josh Hawley who, like Cruz, refused to back down from baseless claims of a stolen election and, worse, was photographed saluting the mob that would eventually send members of Congress scattering to offices and closets, taking shelter under desks and barricading doors with Capitol office furniture.

That image will no doubt be plastered all over every piece of negative creative there is come the start of the 2024 cycle.

Then there are DeSantis’ potential Florida rivals. It’s no secret DeSantis and his predecessor, now Sen. Rick Scott, have no love lost between them. But Scott’s positioning on Trump’s anti-victory won’t play well should he decide to name himself to the 2024 GOP ticket.

Before Wednesday’s terrifying assault on Democracy, which led to five deaths including a Capitol police officer, it’s worth mentioning, Scott expertly calculated his play on how to respond to calls to reject slates of electors in swing states Biden won. He waited until the 11th hour to announce, hedging his bets right up until the last minute by dodging any sort of answer at all. By the time he came out with an announcement, it played to both those who respect the legitimate outcome of the election and those who believed Trump had been robbed.

He rejected claims of a stolen election in all but one state, Pennsylvania, where an argument was easier to defend. There, it wasn’t about dead people voting or rogue Democrats stuffing ballots in unmarked vans in parking lots in the wee hours of the morning. It was about a political process that allowed ballots to be counted later than some thought they should.

Had Wednesday’s riotous events not occurred, Scott could have likely defended that decision away. But when he decided to vote against certifying Pennsylvania’s results even after the insurrection Scott voluntarily gave himself a Scarlet Letter. Now he will forever be labeled complicit at best and, at worst, an enabler.

Florida’s U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio isn’t much better off. In a damned if you do, damned if you don’t turn of events, Rubio’s vote to certify Pennsylvania’s results could land him in the untenable position of fighting off a primary challenge in 2022 when he’s up for reelection.

Add to that the South Florida Senator has been all over the map with his post-riot comments and the picture doesn’t look much better for 2024. In several media appearances and in public comments since Wednesday, Rubio has often in one breath defended the pro-Trump mob and condemned their actions.

Which is worse, aligning oneself with potential domestic terrorists or refusing to take a position one way or the other? A friend of everyone is often a friend of no one. I see “Spineless Rubio” nicknames coming — to an extent, the already have.

All of this while DeSantis is soldiering on with the pandemic.

Yes, he’s taking a lot of grief. Yes, he often looks petulant in his reaction to it. Indeed, he continues to amass scars from Florida’s soaring COVID-19 case load and the mounting body count.

But he has governors of other states such as New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo and California Gov. Gavin Newsom to deflect some of his own failures.

DeSantis has avoided scandals like Newsom’s French Laundry fiasco in which he was photographed at the swank French restaurant flouting his own COVID-19 guidelines. DeSantis can’t be a hypocrite if he doesn’t make the mandates himself, right?

New York has seen a whopping 122 COVID-19 deaths per 100,000 residents, according to the CDC. Florida, you ask: 105. Meanwhile, California has seen 100 cases per 100,000 residents in the last seven days while Florida has tallied just shy of 82.

It’s bad, but it’s not as bad as them. And DeSantis has free-market, freedom-loving, pro-economy arguments on his side. Never has the Sunshine State taken as drastic of measures against the pandemic as California and New York and the economy, even though it’s still taking a hit, is showing signs of success.

Economists revised an anticipated $5.4 billion revenue shortfall in the 2020-2021 and 2021-2022 fiscal years. They’ve since shaved $2.1 billion from that estimate.

That forecast will only get better as tourism returns and with it flights and cruises.

All DeSantis has to do now is get the vaccine in as many arms as possible. Enter his partnership with Publix last week to administer vaccines to seniors 65 and older, and others like it. The start might have been rocky, but Floridians have a short memory if he gets it right in the long run.

My analysis of DeSantis remains consistent. He’s not as great as he thinks he is, but he’s nowhere near as bad as his critics contend.

As he rounds the corner into the halfway point in his first term, with vaccines rolling in and warm weather on the horizon DeSantis has the opportunity to reestablish himself in a way others lack.

The question at this point will be not whether he can weather the past 11 months and all of its challenges, but whether he can finish the second half of his first term without squandering the opportunity to survive.

Written By

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including Florida Politics and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. Schorsch is also the publisher of INFLUENCE Magazine. For several years, Peter's blog was ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.

7 Comments

7 Comments

  1. Arthro

    January 11, 2021 at 2:08 am

    DeSantis is doing an outstanding job. It’s difficult to win on the issue of COVID, but he has addressed that issue better than any other large state Governor.

  2. Sonja Fitch

    January 11, 2021 at 4:29 am

    25000 dead Floridians and still dying from trumpvirus! Duffus Desantis is willingly slaughtering Floridians! Duffus Desantis is a failure! Rutherford you are just as guilty as Duffus Desantis ! Rutherford and Duffus Desantis are braindead and brainwashed with the goptrump death cult sociopaths lies! Blood and blood is being shed for you two Fing losers! Get out traitors!

  3. Frankie M.

    January 11, 2021 at 8:37 am

    Seniors die from the coco but they’re more likely to vote too. Meanwhile essential workers like teachers risk their lives & those of their families every day only to get screwed. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to see that he’s pandering to his base.

  4. Denise Magiotti

    January 11, 2021 at 11:11 pm

    So DeSantis looks good because the alternatives are so bad? I gotta say here in Florida we have the worst politicians. None of the three mentioned will ever be elected president. As a matter of fact, I could see Andrew Cuomo be elected as president before I could see DeSantis. You may have a lot to say about Cuomo, but he was out there weekly during the worst of it giving the public information and answering questions while DeSantis was hiding. A majority of New Yorkers were happy with the job Cuomo did. I wonder if New Yorkers have a FB page, “unseat Cuomo, like the “Unseat DeSantis” FB page. His biggest problem though, is he thinks he’s better than he is.

  5. Cleo

    January 12, 2021 at 10:47 am

    DeSantis cares about Florida in a very real way. No double talk, no empty promises, and no capitulations. Florida has some of the best politicians in the country who work tirelessly at improving the State. Our growth and advancement bear that out. It’s not easy managing a State with a large vulnerable retirement community and a dominant tourist and hospitality industry which are predictably impacted at any hint of an economic downturn, and which this last year suffered probably the most under the weight of the pandemic. The same sentiment cannot be awarded to Newsom or Cuomo who in fact seem to work tirelessly at destroying their own States economies and who seem to take a careless even reckless attitude towards the suffering of their own residents.

  6. Palmer Tom

    January 12, 2021 at 9:09 pm

    We’ll see. His petulance seems unnecessary. how he handles the current and future issues will be telling. Of course, the other unknown is who decides to run against him in either a GOP primary or the general election. You can’t beat something with nothing.

  7. Chris Walters

    January 12, 2021 at 10:27 pm

    PHONE NO: FBI 1- 800 – 2255 -324

    THE PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP ALOND WITH THESE TWO TED CRUZ & JOSH HAWLEY WERE INVOLVED IN THE ATTACK ON THE STATE CAPITAL BUILDING ON 1/6/2021 ALL THREE ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE DEATHS OF THE SIX PEOPLE WHO HAVE DIED NONE OF THIS WOULD HAVE HAPPEND IF YOU WENT ALONG WITH THIS ISSUE TO HAVE THE ELECTORAL VOTES COUNTED YET AGAIN!!! YOU BOTH NEW THE OUTCOME OF THESE VOTES THERE WERE NO CHANGES IN THE ELECTORAL COLLEGE VOTES THIS WAS JUST A PLAN TO HAVE THE SENATE IN CONGRESS ALONG WITH THE VICE PRESIDENT TO BE PRESENT FOR THE VOTES IN WHICH EVERYONE NEW WOULD NOT CHANGE THESE VOTES AND WHY WAS THIS PARTICULAR DAY PICKED OUT OF ALL THE OTHER DAYS AND WEEKS??? HMMM WAS IT BECAUSE TRUMP WAS HOLDING A RALLY NEXT DOOR AND THERE WERE ONLY A HANDFUL OF POLICE AT THAT RALLY??? AND THERE WERE ONLY A HANDFUL OF POLICE AT THE STATE CAPITAL BUILDING AND THAT TED CRUZ & JOSH HAWLEY WOULD BE IN CONTACT BACK AND FOURTH WITH STAFF AT THAT RALLY OF WHEN THIS MOB WOULD BECOMING OVER TO THE STATE CAPITAL BUILDING TO BEGIN TO CHARGE PAST THAT GATE AND THEN LET THROUGH BY THE POLICE INTO THE CAPITAL BUILDING AND ATTACK WHOMEVER THEY COULD TO GET AT, BUT NEW THEY WANTED TWO PEOPLE FIRST OF ALL THEY BEGAN TO CHANT HANG MIKE PENCE HANG MIKE PENCE OVER AND OVER IN WHICH THEY HAD A HOME MADE NOOSE MADE OUTSIDE OF THE STATE CAPITAL FOR HIM.
    CRUZ & HAWLEY DID A GOOD JOB ALONG WITH TRUMP TO GET THESE PEOPLE TO THE CAPITAL BUILDING, BUT WAIT THEY ALSO WANTED TO TAKE OUT THE SPEAKER OF THE HOUSE NANCY PELOSI THEY WENT TO HER OFFICE LOOKING FOR HER, BUT SHE WAS NO WHERE TO BE FOUND THEY WENT THROUGH HER MAIL AND PRIVATE PAPER WORK AND THROUGH HER DESK DRAWERS THROWING THINGS ALL AROUND HER OFFICE TAKING PICTURES AND POSTING THEM ON SOCIAL MEDIA AND SAT IN HER CHAIR CARRIED HER PODIUM AROUND THE SENATE FLOOR BELIEVE ME YOUR NOT GETTING OUT OF THIS SO EASY THIS COUNTRY KNOWS THAT YOU TWO BASTARDS WERE INVOLVED IN THIS ATTACK OF THE STATE CAPITAL AND THE FBI HAS BEEN NOTIFIED AND HAVE BEEN INFORMED OF YOUR SCHEME TO TAKE OUT VICE PRESIDENT PENCE ALONG WITH NANCY PELOSI WITH YOUR GOOD OLD PAL DONALD TRUMP. THE FBI I WILL SEARCH YOUR HOMES THEY WILL TAKE YOUR PHONES, LAPTOPS, TABLETS, SEARCH YOUR OFFICES, TAKE YOUR FAMILY IN FOR QUESTIONING WILL SEARCH TRUMPS OFFICE WILL TAKE ALL OF THE TAPED PHONE CALLS WHICH ARE ALWAYS RECORDED WHEN THE FBI IS DONE WITH YOU TWO YOU WON’T KNOW WHAT HIT YOU!!! YOU KNOW THAT YOUR FELLOW REPUBLICAN’S & DEMOCRATS HAVE ASKED YOU TO RESIGN THERE NOT STUPID THEY KNOW THAT YOU BOTH PLAYED A PART IN THIS ATTACK ON THE STATE CAPITAL BUILDING NOW YOUR GOING TO PAY FOR IT BY GOING TO JAIL WHEN THEY FIND THE EVIDENCE THEY NEED TO PROSECUTE THE TWO OF YOU!!! DON’T YOU KNOW THE FBI ALWAYS GET THERE MAN OR SHOULD I SAY MEN!!! YOU DIRTY BASTARDS!!! YOUR SCUM OF THE EARTH!!!!

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Florida Politics is a statewide, new media platform covering campaigns, elections, government, policy, and lobbying in Florida. This platform and all of its content are owned by Extensive Enterprises Media.

Publisher: Peter Schorsch

Contributors & reporters: Phil Ammann, Drew Dixon, Renzo Downey, Rick Flagg, A.G. Gancarski, Joe Henderson, Janelle Irwin, Ryan Nicol, Jacob Ogles, Scott Powers, Bob Sparks, Andrew Wilson, and Kelly Hayes.
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Address: 204 37th Avenue North #182
St. Petersburg, Florida 33704

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