Progressive group polling finds Ron DeSantis may be in a closer race than expected
Image via AP.

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis Announces Funding For Nursing Education
The incumbent sits at less than 50% in a new poll.

A poll released by two Florida progressive groups suggest Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis may face more resistance to re-election than expected.

Survey results released by Progress Florida and Florida Watch show 47% of registered voters intend to vote for DeSantis for re-election, while 44% intend to vote for U.S. Rep. Charlie Crist. DeSantis leads Agriculture Commissioner Nikki Fried, 49%-43%. (After initially reporting that DeSantis was up five points versus a generic Democratic, Florida Politics asked for more detail on the head-to-head match-ups and we were provided those details.)

The Democratic nominee will be chosen in an Aug. 23 Primary.

Pollsters Geoff Puryear and Annika Ramnath both say there’s no shaking the fact DeSantis holds an edge “but by less than many would expect.”

“Given his financial advantage DeSantis remains a favorite to win re-election, but his polarizing nature could put a ceiling on his support,” a polling memo reads.

Crist’s campaign hailed the results.

“This poll again cements Charlie Crist as the best candidate to defeat Ron DeSantis. And for the fall, it proves that Florida remains a critical battleground state,” said Samantha Ramirez, spokesperson. “Floridians are uniting behind Charlie to make Ron a one-term governor. And the rest of the country is waking up to the fact that this race will be a marquee battle with major national implications.”

Pollsters found DeSantis holds near universal name recognition but voters have strong feelings as a result. About 50% of viewers hold a favorable view, with 39% saying they view him “very favorably.” But 48% have an unfavorable view, and 40% see him “very unfavorably.”

Pollsters stressed the electorate leaned right. About 41% of those polled were Republicans compared to 37% Democrats and 22% with no party affiliation.

“For the last decade the Republican advantage has never been bigger than 2 points. By party identification the sample is 47% Republican and 44% Democrat,” pollsetrs said.

It was also an electorate that dislikes a frequent foil of DeSantis, unpopular Democratic President Joe Biden. About 57% of those polled see Biden unfavorable and just 40% view him favorably.

The poll found Democratic viewers motivated regardless in part because of the Supreme Court decision overturning Roe v. Wade. DeSantis signed a 15-week abortion ban this year anticipating that ruling.

The Hub conducted the poll using Clarity Campaigns and a panel of Florida registered voters

About 2,244 registered Florida voters weighted to reflect a midterm electorate favorable to Republicans. Respondents were surveyed between July 26 and 31.

Here is the polling memo:

Jacob Ogles

Jacob Ogles has covered politics in Florida since 2000 for regional outlets including SRQ Magazine in Sarasota, The News-Press in Fort Myers and The Daily Commercial in Leesburg. His work has appeared nationally in The Advocate, Wired and other publications. Events like SRQ’s Where The Votes Are workshops made Ogles one of Southwest Florida’s most respected political analysts, and outlets like WWSB ABC 7 and WSRQ Sarasota have featured his insights. He can be reached at [email protected]


70 comments

  • Tom

    August 8, 2022 at 6:26 am

    Sand bag Poll.
    Are you kidding me.
    He’s in the lead by at least 5%, and the b s machine somehow makes him the victim, and opposition the winner. Under any reasonable metric, he’s up by 15%, easily.

    What a crock of manure. He wins with 60% of vote. How Disgraceful.

    • Joe Corsin

      August 8, 2022 at 7:38 am

      – Vote RED for Mini Hitler
      – Vote RED for election thieves like Trump
      – Vote RED for anti-government terrorists
      – Vote RED for fraudsters and grifters
      – Vote RED for fake religious people
      – Vote RED for forced birth of meth babies and crack babies like Tom!!!!

      • Tom

        August 8, 2022 at 7:42 am

        That’s why I am the FP legend dumb ass corsin. I own you and Florida Soros Manchurian nation.

        You can’t run with me.

        • Joe Corsin

          August 8, 2022 at 8:26 am

          ^ Delusional narcissist, racist terrorist, neo nazi neanderthal and propagandist.

          • Gary

            August 8, 2022 at 9:59 am

            You’re a maniacal freak. Get a grip, and seek help.

          • Impeach Biden

            August 8, 2022 at 10:04 am

            Gary, the Joe / Elliott show is definitely on meds, probably unemployed or still living with mom and dad.

          • Jake Wilson

            August 8, 2022 at 4:09 pm

            Vote Blue for crime
            Vote Blue for drugs
            Vote Blue for child molesters
            Vote Blue for illegal immigrants
            Vote Blue for Satanists
            Vote Blue for Hunter Biden, the crack head
            Vote Blue because you hate this country’s guts

          • Ron DeSantis Sucks

            August 8, 2022 at 6:03 pm

            Vote RED if you’re a NAZI. Fuck Ron DeSantis and his fascist clowns.

      • Jake Wilson

        August 8, 2022 at 5:15 pm

        Please go block traffic on the freeway so I can run your antifa ass over. LOL

        • Joe Corsin

          August 8, 2022 at 5:33 pm

          Vote RED for murderous terrorists like Jake Wilson. You going to jail with that attitude buddy! Good riddance!

        • That’s for sure

          August 10, 2022 at 6:21 pm

          So Your already prepared to run away in a truck? lol

      • Tim

        August 10, 2022 at 8:13 am

        Vote Blue if you love Socialism
        Vote Blue for election thieves like Biden
        Vote Blue if you like big city violence
        Vote Blue if you kill babies
        Vote Blue if you think a president should be old and senile

        • AJ

          August 13, 2022 at 2:30 pm

          You might wanna look up what socialism actually is. And all these GOP politicians whining about communism, they are the ones who act like communist leaders! Total authoritarians who practice transactional Politics and get vengeful regardless of costs against anyone who disagrees. GOP is the party of authoritarianism NOT the party of freedom. Y’all get pissy about who people sleep with, marry and womens bodies, very serious personal freedoms, then whine about having to take simple measures to not spread disease or when Cracker Barrel puts soy sausage on its menu. Lol

          • Gary

            August 13, 2022 at 6:08 pm

            Shut your yapper you fascist freak.

          • Conservative Boogeyman

            August 16, 2022 at 4:16 pm

            They’ll never understand what socialism really is. Conservatives live purely on hyperbole, nothing-burgers, & fear of boogeymen (CRT, Socialism). Asking them to read past a headline is asking a mountain to move for a stream.

          • John Doee

            August 18, 2022 at 9:38 am

            Yer an ignorant fool, pretending to be sophisticated. Republicans under Trump have become the party of the little guys, the same ones that the Democrap party claimed to be for since at least the 30s. Now the Democrats stand for LBGTQRSTUVW etc., open borders, censorship, and the elite millionaires. Republicans support limited government, less government, more local control, less federal intrusiveness into our lives. The OPPOSITE of authoritarianism. Even the “control of womens’ bodies” crap is the conservative supreme court saying that the states and their elected officials should decide, NOT unelected judges in D.C. Virtually every other country in the world (except maybe norks) put some restrictions on butchering babies. Hell, most women in America support reasonable restrictions. Good luck arguing your case for unlimited butchery until a baby is actually born you f’n idiot.

      • Large Thing

        August 11, 2022 at 10:05 pm

        BORING.

    • Kev

      August 8, 2022 at 11:11 am

      Considering he won by a hair against Gillum, who was a terrible candidate, I’d say that this is rather believable. Especially against Crist who was a popular governor.

      • Terry

        August 8, 2022 at 4:51 pm

        That’s strange, a Washington Post poll in 2009 said that Charlie Crist was one of the most overrated Governors in America. Of course he was a Republican then, so that could be the reason. Now that he’s a Democrat, all is forgiven.

      • Gary

        August 13, 2022 at 6:12 pm

        That’s a testament to how rock stupid Gillum voters are, and they should have their right to vote revoked.

      • Joseph

        August 14, 2022 at 4:18 pm

        Chain gang Charlie endorsed by the NRA worst governor in the history of Florida things are so bad for the democrats in Florida they nominate a Republican who switched

    • Ormond Beach

      August 8, 2022 at 1:50 pm

      Just blow him already and get it over with

    • J Gene

      August 8, 2022 at 2:15 pm

      DeSantis never broke 50% when he won in 2018. And he’s governed like a far right dictator.

      DeSantis is high off his own supply. Hope it comes back to bite him.

      • Gary

        August 13, 2022 at 6:22 pm

        He’s governing like Florida is a red state with a very Republican legislature, because it is. Although, he has vetoed lots of legislation sent to him, but you’re way too partisan to educate yourself.

    • All of that and more

      August 8, 2022 at 4:04 pm

      He nearly lost to a guy who did drugs in his hotel.
      And that was before he started killing his own voters with COVID monkey pox and giving his wife cancer from being so radioactive lol

      • Jake Wilson

        August 8, 2022 at 4:11 pm

        Sorry, Democrats, you give each other the monkey pox. Just can’t stay away from the tailgate. LOL

        • More of it

          August 8, 2022 at 5:05 pm

          It’s going to be like COVID.
          All the red states are going to want to keep it for themselves lol

          • Jake Wilson

            August 8, 2022 at 5:13 pm

            Not exactly. This will be a blue state phenomenon because that’s where the tailgunners hang out. LOL

          • Going red

            August 10, 2022 at 6:24 pm

            “This will be a blue state phenomenon”

            That’s what you said about COVID before it heard you went over there and started doing gods work lol

        • Joe Corsin

          August 8, 2022 at 5:35 pm

          ^ Yet another stupid comment from Jake the snake terrorist supporter.

    • Linwood

      August 9, 2022 at 2:34 pm

      You are delusional.

      “Under any reasonable metric, he’s up by 15%, easily”
      He won the last election by less than 1%, and that was before his bumbling of Covid killed nearly 80K Floridians, and before he started all this idiotic culture war nonsense.

      • John Doe

        August 9, 2022 at 6:54 pm

        You really are a fucking moron. FL’s deaths due to covid are right in line with all those blue states who locked down for a year and a half. You’d know that if you paid attention, or weren’t lying about it. And he barely won the first time because he was raw and untested, nobody knew he’d be a great governor. And the culture war? He didn’t start it, you and your fellow lovers of the smell of butthole started it. He’s just fiiiiiiiiiiiinally fighting back, and that’s what you gays hate.

        • AJ

          August 13, 2022 at 2:24 pm

          Hahaha. Can you do math? Ever heard of something called a percentage? A WAY lower percentage of people died in California versus Florida. This is like third grade math. Yikes

          • John Doe

            August 15, 2022 at 12:10 pm

            Now do MI, NY, NJ, IL you fucking moron. I didn’t single out CA, you cherry picked them because they help your case. FL has way more old people than CA, as any non-moron knows.

    • AJ

      August 13, 2022 at 2:22 pm

      Bro who is saying he’s a victim? Except for you? Lol
      Also which is it? You say here that he’s in the lead 5% then for sure at least 15%, then he’s winning with 60% of the vote…
      Let’s face it these days most of us are living in echo chambers that make us think the vast majority of other people think like we do. Maybe he does win by one of those percentages, but if you think millions and millions of Floridians don’t hate his guts and every thing he stands for, you’re in dream-land.

  • Tom

    August 8, 2022 at 6:26 am

    Sand bag Poll.
    Are you kidding me.
    He’s in the lead by at least 5%, and the b s machine somehow makes him the victim, and opposition the winner. Under any reasonable metric, he’s up by 15%, easily.

    What a crock of manure. He wins with 60% of vote. How Disgraceful.

    • Not again

      August 8, 2022 at 5:10 pm

      “He’s had a lead by at least five points”

      Oh no did COVID get to more of his voters? Lol

    • Ron DeSantis Sucks

      August 8, 2022 at 6:05 pm

      No, he *had* a lead, but he keeps maiming his supporters with COVID-19. It’s quite impressive, really.

  • John Doe

    August 8, 2022 at 7:39 am

    If you can’t trust a bunch of “progressives” (COMMIES) to conduct a fair and legit poll, who can you trust, right Komrades!!? Remember, it is not who votes, but who counts the votes.

    • Joe Corsin

      August 8, 2022 at 8:24 am

      ^ Neo nazi conspiracy theorist and terrorist supporter. When Dems are finally able to govern the state…then the terrorist militias will be annihilated. Until then we must endure these idiots.

      • Impeach Biden

        August 8, 2022 at 9:55 am

        It is YOUR party BLUE that supports terrorism. I give you Ilhan Omar and Rashida Tlaib.

        • Elliott Offen

          August 8, 2022 at 10:29 am

          Ashli Babbitt disagrees. I asked her on the Ouija board!!!!!

          • Why?

            August 8, 2022 at 4:07 pm

            Don’t make it so complicated. You just have to use a door. Lol

      • Jake Wilson

        August 8, 2022 at 4:13 pm

        Vote Democrat for antifa, monkeypox, and crime.

        • Joe Corsin

          August 8, 2022 at 5:36 pm

          ^ Vote RED for neo nazi propagandists and trolls like Jake Wilson

        • Tom

          August 8, 2022 at 6:52 pm

          Laughing Ass Off! Lots.
          Great one.
          Don’t be so mean, you can’t blame or hold soros Manchurian nation accountable. Racist, anti Semitic, in insensitive.

          Just a bunch of bastards, corsin lead bastard.

        • Linwood

          August 9, 2022 at 2:36 pm

          Whenever somebody brings up Antifa, you know you’re dealing with a knuckle dragging moron.

    • AJ

      August 13, 2022 at 2:32 pm

      Bro. Trump sucked up to all the communist rulers. Get a grip. Trump worships communist dictators and DeSantis is a mini-Trump.

  • Ron Ogden

    August 8, 2022 at 7:50 am

    Five percent is a walkover and boosts DeSantis to national contention in two years, if he wants it.
    Even more important, five percent kicks the slats out from under Crist’s career. Good job!
    Hell, five percent could happen in Pinellas just on registration, the way it’s going.

    • Elliott Offen

      August 8, 2022 at 9:40 am

      You mean DeSatan???

      • Inquiring Minds

        August 8, 2022 at 10:15 am

        So are you the guy who got himself kicked off of the Howard Stern show for being too weird (if such a thing can be imagined) or did you just borrow his i.d., along with Corsin’s?

        • Elliott Offen

          August 8, 2022 at 1:38 pm

          Fella by the name of Joe Corsin. Stage Delicatessen…54..7th avenue. I left him for dead riiiiight…

    • Phil Morton

      August 9, 2022 at 6:32 am

      I’m sure most Republicans plan to vote on Election Day unless it rains or the traffic sucks, but so far there is a rather large Democratic tilt in Pinellas voter turnout.

  • bill

    August 8, 2022 at 9:25 am

    It got your drawers in a knot though.

  • Don’t Look Up

    August 8, 2022 at 9:35 am

    Fun Fact:

    Progressive unhappiness with Joe Biden’s slow moving response to his promise’s made …. DOES NOT TRANSLATE to votes for Ron DeSantis or any Republican anywhere.

    Voters in Florida will ask themselves if they want four more years of DeSantis’s DAILY “culture wars” meant to divide America.

    • Impeach Biden

      August 8, 2022 at 10:15 am

      Culture wars? How so? You mean the thousands that move here every month? All shapes and sizes, colors, religion’s. This culture war is purely Democrat propaganda. You probably subscribe to the Sun-Sentinel.

      • Elliott Offen

        August 8, 2022 at 10:32 am

        ^ This guy is pretty removed from reality to the point of legal insanity. Also he’s on here like everyone else but accusing others of not working??? And everyone else is crazy but him? By God this man needs inpatient psychiatric treatment…

  • Bill Williams

    August 8, 2022 at 11:41 am

    What would one expect from a progressive poll.

    • Terry

      August 8, 2022 at 2:51 pm

      On 538.com— Nate Silver Polling sight for ABC News , it says “Both Florida Watch and Progress Florida are partisan sponsors for the Democratic Party.

  • tom palmer

    August 8, 2022 at 3:27 pm

    Again, the only poll that will count will be the one on Nov. 8. Partisan pollsters often conduct push polls to force you into giving a preplanned answer. I got from the GOP a few years back. I say work for your candidate and ignore the static.

    • Ron DeSantis Sucks

      August 8, 2022 at 6:06 pm

      This is the only non-inflammatory post I’ve seen here. You’re right.

  • Jerry

    August 8, 2022 at 8:04 pm

    Yeah… and Gillum was supposed to beat DeSantis by 5+ points. Hillary was supposed to beat Trump by 5 points. Biden was supposed to beat Trump.

    The polls in Florida ALWAYS skew in favor of the Democrat.

  • Claude Kirk the younger

    August 8, 2022 at 8:55 pm

    The polling sounds correct since we know only Democrats and F. P. employees were polled. Likely no Blacks or Hispanics were asked to participate because 86.23% of those fine Americans will be voting ABD (Anyone But Democrats)
    Keep those polls coming America loves a good old fashoned @55 whooping. And it will be 86.23% more entertaning if your side pumps up the polling numbers even higher. Thank you.

  • Just a comment

    August 8, 2022 at 9:01 pm

    I am just deciding what preferable word is better peasants or poverty sticken

  • Yadira

    August 8, 2022 at 10:41 pm

    My opinion is that there are 2 unknowns- Pro-choice group fired up. Homeowners Insurance tripling! Will they come out and vote in droves.

  • martin

    August 9, 2022 at 3:53 pm

    “A poll released by two Florida progressive groups suggest Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis may face more resistance to re-election than expected.”

    The same fake news written by the same fake journalist on the same day.

  • Dan

    August 10, 2022 at 11:35 pm

    The article even states that they are polls by “progressive” groups. Nate Silver’s site ranks these pollsters are Democrat polls. So they are biased. And they are not even based on likely voters.

    This means DeSantis leads by 3 points even in the most Democrat-favorable polling methodology.
    The poll also shows 57% unfavorable rating for Joe Biden in Florida. Again, that’s a Democrat pollster saying that.

  • Lauren

    August 14, 2022 at 8:17 am

    Everyone I know has tripling homeowner insurance rates , our education system js crumbling , teachers walking away left and right . Women access to abortion is in jeopardy , the guy is fighting stupid culture wars everyday . Us common folks in Florida are sick of desantis

  • Roslyn green

    August 14, 2022 at 6:04 pm

    Let’s divide the country. Why don’t Floridians that prefer leftist policies, move to California. It’s a beautiful state. I don’t want to live under progressive/communist rule. Instead of fighting let’s divorce. I love Desantis so do most Hispanics. Why don’t progressive move to Venezuela or Columbia and live the communist dream. Those are beautiful countries that need hard working progressives to make it great.

    • Conservative Boogeyman

      August 16, 2022 at 4:40 pm

      Progressives don’t support communism, I don’t understand how someone buys into boogeyman beliefs yet here we are. It must be the same folks who believe of a magical sky wizard that had eradicated the human race several times.

      If you like the weather but don’t want to move forward with the world then might I suggest Cuba? I hear it’s lovely and they don’t believe in “progressiveness”, plus you’ll pay for the same amount of home insurance and live on an island!

Comments are closed.


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