Poll: Cory Mills holds narrow edge over Anthony Sabatini in CD 7
Can Cory Mills flip another blue seat?

Cory Mills
But his lead is more pronounced among those who already voted.

A new poll shows a Republican Primary in Florida’s 7th Congressional District remains tight. But St. Pete Polls found that among those who already cast ballots, Cory Mills continues to grow his lead.

The survey, conducted for Florida Politics, shows Mills leading an eight-candidate pack with almost 24%, while closest competitor Anthony Sabatini sits at just over 22%. Brady Duke comes in third at under 16%.

All other candidates remain in single digits, with Rusty Roberts nearing 7%, Erika Benfield at 5%, Ted Edwards at just under 5%, Scott Sturgill around 3% and Al Santos barely over 2%.

Pollsters surveyed 277 likely Republican voters on Aug. 17 and report a 5.9 percentage point margin of error.

The results don’t differ greatly from results garnered earlier this month. But what has changed significantly is how many voters have locked in their thoughts on the race by casting a Republican Primary ballot already. That has climbed from just over 20% of voters on Aug. 5 to more than 34% when the latest poll was taken.

And among those who already delivered their votes, results look substantially different. Mills won more than 27% of the ballot share, and Duke came in second with over 23% of the vote. Sabatini sits at 18%.

There may be a greater aversion among Sabatini voters about voting by mail or through early voting, the poll suggests. Almost 26% of those who plan to vote later prefer Sabatini over all other choices.

Sabatini continues to perform stronger among women, where Mills holds less than a 1-point lead, than among men, where Mills leads 22% to 19%.

But across gender and age, the order of candidate preference remains highly consistent with Mills on top, Sabatini behind him and Duke in third.

The Republican nomination for the seat will be determined in a GOP vote on Aug. 23. The winner heads into a General Election for the open seat as the favorite, as a new congressional map shifts the district from one that went for Democrat Joe Biden in 2020 to one where Republican Donald Trump came out ahead.

Democratic U.S. Rep. Stephanie Murphy represents CD 7 today but is not seeking re-election.

Jacob Ogles

Jacob Ogles has covered politics in Florida since 2000 for regional outlets including SRQ Magazine in Sarasota, The News-Press in Fort Myers and The Daily Commercial in Leesburg. His work has appeared nationally in The Advocate, Wired and other publications. Events like SRQ’s Where The Votes Are workshops made Ogles one of Southwest Florida’s most respected political analysts, and outlets like WWSB ABC 7 and WSRQ Sarasota have featured his insights. He can be reached at [email protected].


  • Scott

    August 22, 2022 at 11:34 pm

    A Note for some of you thinking of voting for Anthony Sabatini – The guy spams text messages from different phone numbers. Has been doing so for weeks. I opt out of all of them yet I keep getting them. Finally I call him to confront him and he didnt seem to like being called a SPAMMER which he is. He was very confrontational with me and this is how he is going to act if one of his future constituents calls him in Washington? He’s gonna hang up on the phone on them because they are not happy with something he is doing? Seriously. Advertise, but sending unsolicited text messages to peoples cell phones over and over is a bit over the top. And the way he treated me on the phone was unbelievable. Considering the people I know in the media, that was a dumb move by him. Just letting you all know.. you get what you vote for. He doesnt care about you. He only cares about himself. He didnt even apologize to me. Amazing.

    • Mike

      August 23, 2022 at 8:52 am

      Who do you know in the media?

  • Stephanie Elders

    August 23, 2022 at 11:02 am

    Sabatini has been a registered democrat 2 years longer than being a registered republican. Look it up. Also he received payments from underage sex trafficker Greenberg. Disgusting.

  • Chris Young

    August 23, 2022 at 11:03 am

    Sabatini was friends with pedo Greenberg.

Comments are closed.


Florida Politics is a statewide, new media platform covering campaigns, elections, government, policy, and lobbying in Florida. This platform and all of its content are owned by Extensive Enterprises Media.

Publisher: Peter Schorsch @PeterSchorschFL

Contributors & reporters: Phil Ammann, Drew Dixon, Roseanne Dunkelberger, A.G. Gancarski, Anne Geggis, Ryan Nicol, Jacob Ogles, Cole Pepper, Gray Rohrer, Jesse Scheckner, Christine Sexton, Drew Wilson, and Mike Wright.

Email: [email protected]
Twitter: @PeterSchorschFL
Phone: (727) 642-3162
Address: 204 37th Avenue North #182
St. Petersburg, Florida 33704

Sign up for Sunburn