Poll shows Marco Rubio with modest lead on Val Demings

0822_RubioDemings_Politicians
Victory Insights shows a general preference for Republicans in federal races this year.

Republican U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio should win a third term in the Senate, according to polling firm Victory Insights. But even a week out from the election, his lead over Democrat Val Demings falls within polling’s margin of error.

The pollster, which has an office in Naples, finds almost 50% of likely Florida voters plan to vote for Rubio in the General Election. Under 46% intend to support Demings. Nearly 5% remain undecided, but if those numbers prove true, Demings would need to bring in all those voters and then would win only by inches.

Ultimately, simulations run by the company predict Rubio will come out ahead by 4 percentage points.

But the incumbent’s lead falls well within the poll’s 4.8-percentage-point margin of error.

Pollsters conducted the survey between Oct. 30 and Nov. 1, closing responses a week before Election Day. A total of 500 individuals’ results were included. The sample is based on a Republican-leaning electorate, with 43% Republican respondents, 38% Democrat and 19% no-party or third-party voters.

Notably, the same poll shows Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis with a much more comfortable lead over Democrat Charlie Crist.

But there does seem to be a general preference for Republicans. Pollsters conducted a general congressional ballot test, and more than 45% of voters statewide intend to support Republican candidates for U.S. House, while under 40% plan to vote Democrat; the remaining 15% remained uncommitted.

That’s notable, as independents surveyed tend to break Democratic if they have a partisan preference at all. About 37% of no-party and small party voters say they tend to support Democrats when they vote, while just 25% tend to swing Republican. But 38% prefer neither major party.

A majority of voters, about 53% hold the Democratic Party responsible for rapid inflation and increased prices, while 47% blame Republicans.

The poll also suggested less potency than Democrats might prefer on the issue of abortion. More than 40% of voters consider themselves pro-choice, more than the 35% who consider themselves pro-life. But nearly 25% of voters place themselves “in between” those extremes on the issue of abortion.

Jacob Ogles

Jacob Ogles has covered politics in Florida since 2000 for regional outlets including SRQ Magazine in Sarasota, The News-Press in Fort Myers and The Daily Commercial in Leesburg. His work has appeared nationally in The Advocate, Wired and other publications. Events like SRQ’s Where The Votes Are workshops made Ogles one of Southwest Florida’s most respected political analysts, and outlets like WWSB ABC 7 and WSRQ Sarasota have featured his insights. He can be reached at [email protected].


13 comments

  • The Real Tom

    November 2, 2022 at 7:43 pm

    Rubio is an empty suit, rusty nail, a rancid pot of Cuban coffee, and a cold drink of piss on a winters day. Vote for Val Demings.

    • Todd

      November 2, 2022 at 7:54 pm

      Maybe so, but he is the Senator from Florida for another 6 years.

      • Impeach Biden

        November 2, 2022 at 7:58 pm

        Yes he is and Demings now has lots of time to find her service weapon.

        • Charlie Crist

          November 2, 2022 at 11:12 pm

          Hopefully it ends up being the one that shoots you in mouth.

    • Tom

      November 2, 2022 at 9:27 pm

      You are scum and manure on the curb Joey corsin. Such a small insignificant human being. You are clueless.

      Rubio wins easily! 52% to 54%.
      Dems in Florida and nationally are in for devastating losses. Enjoy

      • Charlie Crist

        November 2, 2022 at 11:11 pm

        👆Just look at the way this belligerent bar room drunk talks to people. This is the kind of sht head that votes for these far right maniacs. Needs head punt.

        • Tom

          November 3, 2022 at 8:46 am

          It’s easy with scum like yourself Joey!
          Go back to bed with mommy!
          Invert, pervert, degenerate.

          • Charlie Crist

            November 3, 2022 at 11:48 am

            👆 Always talking about incest. What the hell is wrong with this guy? Personality Disorder???

        • Tom

          November 3, 2022 at 8:46 am

          It’s easy with scum like yourself Joey!
          Go back to bed with mommy!
          Invert, pervert, degenerate.

    • eva

      November 3, 2022 at 4:44 pm

      I am already making an additional $43K suitable or more every month from home by performing genuinely uncomplicated and truthful tasks online. I really brought home $35K (vd-96) in income last month, which isn’t necessarily inheritable. Join up on this hobby right away to start increasing your online earnings by learning how to use the tools provided.

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    • Michael

      November 8, 2022 at 9:20 am

      Speaking of piss, anyone find Val’s guns she left in the bathroom while the police chief was taking a pee!

  • Charlie Crist

    November 3, 2022 at 11:49 am

    What in the hell is an invert? You don’t know what in the hell you’re talking about buddy get off the gd internet. You’re making a fool out of yourself 😆

  • Wanda

    November 4, 2022 at 5:45 am

    I think a lot of people are going to vote for Charlie Chris I did and I am a Republican Ron is going to lose .

Comments are closed.


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